Caporegime
So.....silence.
Pudney around yet?
Pudney around yet?
[MAFIA] The Thirteen Doctors
- Thread starter JeditOjanen
- Start date
Leprechaun - late to both mafia kills, second to last on Brabbs, hammer on K1LL
Shami - 4/8 for Brabbs, 2/7 for K1LL - therefore unlikely to have jumped on bandwagon, also after our fun last game day it would be odd for him to use a role to effectively prove me town
Chris - didn't vote Brabbs, 4/6 for K1LL, don't care he has reason for Brabbs as it means nothing, town or mafia should have a reason the day after so not reliable
Pookie - hammer on Brabbs (switch from iviv), 3/6 on K1LL.
At this point - Leprechaun, Chris & Pookie most suspicious
Day 1 - Brabbs was voting for Chris (vote:2), at this point joint vote leader with Psy, too early to worry much about a bandwagon though
Day 1 - K1LL was voting for Pookie (vote:4) at which point Chris had 4, Pookie 4 and were the vote leaders. At this stage is it likely K1LL would have initiated a bandwagon on day 1 against a fellow mafioso? Unlikely so remove Pookie from doubt today.
At this point - Leprechaun & Chris most suspicious
So what to do from here? I'm thinking.
Shami - 4/8 for Brabbs, 2/7 for K1LL - therefore unlikely to have jumped on bandwagon, also after our fun last game day it would be odd for him to use a role to effectively prove me town
Chris - didn't vote Brabbs, 4/6 for K1LL, don't care he has reason for Brabbs as it means nothing, town or mafia should have a reason the day after so not reliable
Pookie - hammer on Brabbs (switch from iviv), 3/6 on K1LL.
At this point - Leprechaun, Chris & Pookie most suspicious
Day 1 - Brabbs was voting for Chris (vote:2), at this point joint vote leader with Psy, too early to worry much about a bandwagon though
Day 1 - K1LL was voting for Pookie (vote:4) at which point Chris had 4, Pookie 4 and were the vote leaders. At this stage is it likely K1LL would have initiated a bandwagon on day 1 against a fellow mafioso? Unlikely so remove Pookie from doubt today.
At this point - Leprechaun & Chris most suspicious
So what to do from here? I'm thinking.
Post # 281 - Brabbs states his initial "suspicions", he lists 5 people he's certain are town - 3 of which are now out the game and are confirmed town, me who I know is town and Leprechaun. So at least 4/5 of that list it town, did he hide a mafioso in amongst it?
For reference K1LL was a neutral comment in post 281.
For reference K1LL was a neutral comment in post 281.
Soldato
There's some good reasoning in there, Pudney - especially the bit that exonerates me from your suspicions 
However, it's drawn me back to the vote tracker:
Much like K1LLSW1TCH was one of 4 votes for me on day 1, Brabbinho was one of 4 votes for chriscubed on day 1. Seeing that, as you say, that made me and chriscubed tie for the top lynching spot, I don't think it would have been a good spot for Brabbinho to find himself in if he had to unvote to avoid the hammer going down on a fellow mafia. That logic clears chriscubed, in my mind.
However, it's drawn me back to the vote tracker:
Much like K1LLSW1TCH was one of 4 votes for me on day 1, Brabbinho was one of 4 votes for chriscubed on day 1. Seeing that, as you say, that made me and chriscubed tie for the top lynching spot, I don't think it would have been a good spot for Brabbinho to find himself in if he had to unvote to avoid the hammer going down on a fellow mafia. That logic clears chriscubed, in my mind.
Soldato
Further to my above post #1025, I think it also gives Shamikebab a reasonable alibi - he was also part of the group going for chriscubed on day 1. I think it actually moves Shami a little closer to clean, in my books...
Soldato
We need a lynch tonight, we get 2 chances to take out a mafia that way. If we don't we only get one more chance.
Brabbs was vote 2 - no bandwagon.
Next time Brabbs posts - Chris was not vote leader, it had changed, keeping the vote was safe for Brabbs.
We have until tomorrow do we not?
Soldato
oh is the deadline tomorrow, sorry! 
Soldato
We half ghost/tree stump things have trouble thinking clearly
Caporegime
Yeah we've got plenty of time so there's no need to rush things. I'm pretty convinced on Leprechaun at the moment.
Associate
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- 7 Jan 2010
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I thought the deadline was tonight! I'm at warhammer world tomorrow so won't be available during the day, but will be around tomorrow evening.
Soldato
I'd agree with that, but he's not busting a gut to defend himself. Traditionally the mafia have been relatively active at the end game.
Convinced which way?
Caporegime
That he's most likely to be the mafia. Accused townies have generally been a lot stronger in their defence whereas his has been a bit tame.
Soldato
This leaves me with two people to concentrate on. Leprechaun, who has been a source of doubt for me for a few days and Pudney - who, after his little spat with K1LLSW1TCH early doors has left me thinking he's town.
That leaves Leprechaun as my main suspect right now.
Fair enough, I think - but let's have a look through the votes and try to remember what I was feeling when the votes were made. Anyway, I decide to start start looking through all of the votes. I see two people involved in every single lynching: Shamikebab and Pudney.
I look at their voting patterns. Shamikebab was in fairly early on day 1 to help me out with chriscubed. I now believe chriscubed to be innocent. At around the same time as chriscubed had 4 votes, and I had 4 votes, Pudney initiates a vote on a Fortyseven - and is causes a landslide, joined by mafia member K1LLSW1TCH. Shamikebab wields the hammer. I remember thinking that someone had to die and I remember thinking, it's going to be random, but I bet the majority of the mafia will go for him - they are uncoordinated.
Day two has Shami and iviv (with me starting it off) at the head of the lynch line. When iviv pulls off his masterpiece and the suspicion goes over to Brabbinho, the rollercoaster starts: iviv, Kaio, Shami and Egon all jump on Brabbinho. Pudney is unhappy at this and starts a vote on psymonkee - another innocent who has done very little. He quickly realises there's no appetite for it and joins in the attack on Brabbinho. I put the hammer down on Brabbinho. At this point (right now), I stop looking at Shami and start looking at Pudney closer.
Day three and K1LL quickly jumps to four votes to two against Psymonkee - mainly due to how quiet he is. Pudney watches....what does he do? Does he go for Psymonkee and split the town right down the middle - or does he act in the "pro-town" manner everyone has been shouting for? He goes for the kill. It would also make him look good. K1LL goes down.
Day four: Shorttricky gets a couple votes, then loses them and they move to Psymonkee. Pudney, who has gone for him in the past, gets involved and Psy goes down like a sack of spuds. But he's innocent!
That brings us to today. Egon has been murdered, chopped down in his prime. Psy was left dangling by his monkey-nuts. Shorttricky, the gun-toting lunatic was killed off by the remaining mafia before he could potentially murder them....and by spreading a load of doubt about everyone else, one person is slipping under the radar - and has had me completely on his side until the last half hour or so.
I've just talked myself into this, in the last couple of minutes. Total turnaround:
##vote Pudney
That leaves Leprechaun as my main suspect right now.
Fair enough, I think - but let's have a look through the votes and try to remember what I was feeling when the votes were made. Anyway, I decide to start start looking through all of the votes. I see two people involved in every single lynching: Shamikebab and Pudney.
I look at their voting patterns. Shamikebab was in fairly early on day 1 to help me out with chriscubed. I now believe chriscubed to be innocent. At around the same time as chriscubed had 4 votes, and I had 4 votes, Pudney initiates a vote on a Fortyseven - and is causes a landslide, joined by mafia member K1LLSW1TCH. Shamikebab wields the hammer. I remember thinking that someone had to die and I remember thinking, it's going to be random, but I bet the majority of the mafia will go for him - they are uncoordinated.
Day two has Shami and iviv (with me starting it off) at the head of the lynch line. When iviv pulls off his masterpiece and the suspicion goes over to Brabbinho, the rollercoaster starts: iviv, Kaio, Shami and Egon all jump on Brabbinho. Pudney is unhappy at this and starts a vote on psymonkee - another innocent who has done very little. He quickly realises there's no appetite for it and joins in the attack on Brabbinho. I put the hammer down on Brabbinho. At this point (right now), I stop looking at Shami and start looking at Pudney closer.
Day three and K1LL quickly jumps to four votes to two against Psymonkee - mainly due to how quiet he is. Pudney watches....what does he do? Does he go for Psymonkee and split the town right down the middle - or does he act in the "pro-town" manner everyone has been shouting for? He goes for the kill. It would also make him look good. K1LL goes down.
Day four: Shorttricky gets a couple votes, then loses them and they move to Psymonkee. Pudney, who has gone for him in the past, gets involved and Psy goes down like a sack of spuds. But he's innocent!
That brings us to today. Egon has been murdered, chopped down in his prime. Psy was left dangling by his monkey-nuts. Shorttricky, the gun-toting lunatic was killed off by the remaining mafia before he could potentially murder them....and by spreading a load of doubt about everyone else, one person is slipping under the radar - and has had me completely on his side until the last half hour or so.
I've just talked myself into this, in the last couple of minutes. Total turnaround:
##vote Pudney
