But unless you could see into the future you wouldn't know the situation surely. No increased safety risk, okay.
I'm guessing this is one of those things where I'm wrong because my opinion differs from the majority.
I'm with you. Home birth is more risky. There's lots of things that can go wrong, and being in a hospital means more access to methods to fix that. I'd be dead if I'd have been a home birth, because I ended up being an emergency c-section.
I mean, there's no more chance that a home birth will require an emergency action, sure, so I guess they're no more risky in that sense. It's just if something does go wrong, you're usually in a lot more trouble. Even the simple things, like stitching up after any tearing, I'd rather have a professional doing that. Even if he does appear to have 25% of his skull missing (amazing story, especially that he was able to return to surgery).
For 2nd births and later, which tend to be a lot easier and smoother, then perhaps, but even then, unless there's a good reason to avoid the hospital (and with covid cases as they are now, I don't believe there is, a few months ago, perhaps I'd be thinking differently), why wouldn't you go?