Premium Bonds - If you post to say how much you've won, please also say how much you have invested.

Mrwong · 3 Mar 2023 at 18:30

Diddums said:
Complicate matters?

I think you'd struggle with 1+1 tbh.

No my fault you struggle with the concept.

Mercenary Keyboard Warrior · 3 Mar 2023 at 18:33

Mrwong said:
You can roll the dice 12 times and get two of each numbers from 1 to 6 ? lol I can predict with 99.9 confidence that you cant.

Thats not what you said before.
Do you mean 12 dice for 2 sets of 1-6 or 2x sets of 6 dice for 1-6.
It would really help if you could English.

But anyway this ISN'T relevant to your statements you have made before.
Its called obfuscation.

Anyway I am out, cancel your bonds and reinvest them, frequently. Just increases the odds of winning for the rest of us. Yes really, it 100% does.

Diddums · 3 Mar 2023 at 18:33

Mrwong said:
No my fault you struggle with the concept.

Loads of things aren't your fault, luckily it's 2023, the age of accepting people who struggle with basic comprehension <3

200sols · 3 Mar 2023 at 18:37

Mrwong said:
I am going by frequency wins v number of bonds, the frequency of winners has be slightly higher even taking into account the difference bond purchases within their respective time groups.

What evidence do you have "If so your still falling for the trap of that every bond does not somehow have exactly equal chance of winning as any other bond." you cant say with accuracy can you, you can only predict that case but the outcome can be different.

A dice rolled 6 times has 1/6 chance of each number appearing, however roll a dice 6 times, and reality is that 1 number will appear more than once and 1 number will not. Now roll the dice for 2 sets of 6, one or two numbers will have higher count but all the numbers have the same chance.

You actually are describing gamblers fallacy.

Mrwong · 3 Mar 2023 at 18:42

Mercenary Keyboard Warrior said:
Thats not what you said before.
Do you mean 12 dice for 2 sets of 1-6 or 2x sets of 6 dice for 1-6.
It would really help if you could English.

But anyway this ISN'T relevant to your statements you have made before.
Its called obfuscation.

Anyway I am out, cancel your bonds and reinvest them, frequently. Just increases the odds of winning for the rest of us. Yes really, it 100% does.

I changed it because you were struggling.

Your chance only increases if some leaves and no one joins with equal numbers of bonds, but the chance difference is so small it is negligible.

Mrwong · 3 Mar 2023 at 18:50

200sols said:
You actually are describing gamblers fallacy.

Let me put it this way, I never said the chance has changed.

You talk about I.I.d and not. and decisions based sequences.

What I have done is slightly different.

Diddums · 3 Mar 2023 at 18:51

Mrwong said:
Let me put it this way, I never said the chance has changed.

You talk about I.I.d and not. and decisions based sequences.

You literally say this in the post above, you can't possibly be this thick :confused:

Mrwong · 3 Mar 2023 at 19:04

Diddums said:
You literally say this in the post above, you can't possibly be this thick

lol, you just don't get it.

Diddums · 3 Mar 2023 at 19:05

Mrwong said:
lol, you just don't get it.

No, nobody does. Except you.

We're all wrong, you're the only person who's right.

200sols · 3 Mar 2023 at 19:08

Mrwong said:
lol, you just don't get it.

Neither do I.

Mrwong · 3 Mar 2023 at 19:12

Diddums said:
No, nobody does. Except you.

We're all wrong, you're the only person who's right.

i never said anyone was wrong, there is no wrong or right.

Diddums · 3 Mar 2023 at 19:13

Mrwong said:
i never said anyone was wrong, there is no wrong or right.

Yes there is.

You're wrong.

The end.

~Mike~ · 3 Mar 2023 at 19:26

Mrwong said:
i never said anyone was wrong, there is no wrong or right.

MrWrongOrRight or MrRightWrong

Derek W · 3 Mar 2023 at 19:35

NEVER ARGUE WITH STUPID PEOPLE. THEY WILL DRAG YOU DOWN TO THEIR LEVEL AND BEAT YOU WITH EXPERIENCE

Mrwong · 3 Mar 2023 at 22:11

Derek W said:
NEVER ARGUE WITH STUPID PEOPLE. THEY WILL DRAG YOU DOWN TO THEIR LEVEL AND BEAT YOU WITH EXPERIENCE

There is no certainty that it is wrong or right. That's is what I find strange with some people say it is wrong when referring to events like these.

Derek W · 4 Apr 2023 at 07:25

Nothing again this month but bumped my holding to just over 3k. I think with average luck I may have to wait approx 6 month to a year before I get any winners

DJMK4 · 4 Apr 2023 at 07:33

A measly £25 this month when I put £4.9k in end of march. £37.5k invested.

Had better months. Better than nothing I guess. At least I seem to be winning each month

Pigeon_Killer · 4 Apr 2023 at 07:49

£200 for me this month from 50k.

danlightbulb · 4 Apr 2023 at 08:28

£50 prize from £10k invested. First win in a few months now.

iron_monkey · 4 Apr 2023 at 09:13

50k and no win the last 2 months. Over the last year under 1%