The all-new betting thread!

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sanaxe1 said:
Mine for tonight :
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£24 won then off £20. Profit no matter how you look at it :)
 
Anyway, the bet365 thing, I didn't win the pre match bet but won my in play one. I presume that's that and no refunds are necassary? Annoying really as my winnings don't cover my deposits, grrr.
 
I think you just get your in play stake refunded (up to £50) and use it for any normal bet from then on. Could be wrong though, haven't done it for a while.
The way I normally play those promotions is to simply bet £50 on my chosen outcome and then double up with another £50 in play on the same outcome. Then it just effectively means that I've had a £100 bet but get half my stake back if it loses.
 
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el_dazza said:
Nice little acca for tomorrow:

FC Puuma vs JK Tammeka Tartu II (11/10) - Puuma played 7, lost 7, GD -14 already. Tammeka won 0-4 away at Flora II who are a lot better than Puuma. Should be about 2/5. Tammeka are +1 GD after 6 games but don't tend to score hatfuls, however I still expect a comfortable 0-2, maybe 0-3 win.

Kivioli Irbis vs Flora Tallinn II (5/6) - Flora II aren't brilliant but Kivioli are just awful. -16 GD from 5 games which they lost all 5 of. Flora II have only won 2 out of 7 but are a mile better than this lot. Kivioli have lost 5-1, 5-0, 3-0, 3-0, and 1-2 so far to average teams.

Levadia Tallinn II vs Vandra JK Vaprus (8/13) - 3rd vs 8th here and in these leagues, the difference between the top few and the bottom teams is astronomical. The only curve-ball here is that Vandra have only played 3 games compared to the rest of the division having played 7 or 8. Levadia's fairly healthy GD suggests they can score against teams like this and Vandra's only win was against the god awful Puuma 2-1.

Nomme Kalju II vs FC Elva (2/5) - Again, Elva have only played 3 compared to 7 or 8 for everyone else but their only win was against Flora III 2-1 who are bottom with 1 point from 8 and conceded 24 in that time. Kalju are 2nd in the league winning against some of the better teams and thrashing Flora III 5-1 so this should be a routine win by a healthy margin.

K-Jarve JK Jarve vs HUJK Emmaste (3/4) - Should be a lot shorter that this. Emmaste are top (5-1-1) but both teams games tend to have few goals in. K-Jarve only drew with Flora III at home (Flora's only point this season), and scraped a 1-0 win over Tallinna Dunamo who are 1 place below them.
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Tammeka II are 4/7 now, I knew that they'd priced that up massively. :(
 
I just find them much easier. 5.50 is obviously lower than 6.00 whereas I have no idea if a fraction is higher or lower than another especially when they're crazy like 8/13, 11/10, 4/7 etc.
 
I tend to play the odds as much as anything. For example if a team is 1-0 up after 85 miniutes at 1.15 i'll back them.

As a tactic its been working pretty well for me for the last year (bar some one off large losses)

This time around after posting the above post i layed Puuma for quite a bit of cash, mainly based on Dazza's post above. The other team have equalised now so if it stays like this i'll be quids in and definately owe Dazza a pint or 2!

EDIT: and Tammeka have taken the lead, looks like my money is safe! Cheers Dazza

EDIT2: Scratch that Puuma have just taken the lead again!
 
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MissChief said:
14/1 Barca to qualify? Hmm, couple of quid on that I think.
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can't see it personal and Messi starts on the bench tonight.

Gone for Over 2.5 goals in the match (2/5) and also 30 card points (10 for yellow and 25 for red) for Bayern as they will be time wasting/tackling etc etc (8/13).

VERY tempted by the draw @11/4 - Bayern will score at least one and I can see Barca just heads going down as they will need 6 then.

Will see what happens in play
 
I've been at work all day, apparently Tammeka let in 2 late goals, if that was the case surely you'd cover the double chance to guarantee a nice profit.. never mind. 3 of the other 4 won. Flora 3-1, emmaste 5-1, levadia 1-0.

It's not a case of betting on things we know nothing about, it's trying to find value away from the high profile stuff like the premier league, CL etc. I could tell you plenty about these leagues over the last 12 months, followed them with great interest. Doesn't always work but thats the chance you take.
 
What really ****** me off is that time after time I've cashed in on these games yet when I post them here they never ever seem to win making me look like a right fool and feeling guilty for costing people money. One day i'll get them right, roll on the new estonian cup in the first week of june..
 
Don't worry about it Dazza, end of the day we all know the risks involved with betting. After reading your post i went and checked a few stats myself and decided it was worth a punt. 9/10 it probably wouldn't netted me a tidy profit, this time it didn't. Tis life and you should'nt feel guilty about it :)

Out of interest what do you mean by cover the double chance? I tend to do all my betting on Betfair Exchange and aren't familier with the term.
 
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