The disappearance of Nicola Bulley

MadMossy said:
There are 2 measuring stations either side of where she supposidly vanished, on the date of her disappearance the measurement from west of St Michaels was 0.45m, and the measurement from north east of St Michaels it was 7.04m, river flows east to west I think towards the sea on blackpool coast.
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West of St Michaels the Wyre is tidal. So you'd need to check the tide charts for that morning.
 
Leaving the phone on the bench makes you think she planned to jump in the river, perhaps the teams meeting just flipped a switch and she'd had enough, if she was just looking at something and accidentally fell in, why leave your phone on the bench ?
 
Minusorange said:
Leaving the phone on the bench makes you think she planned to jump in the river, perhaps the teams meeting just flipped a switch and she'd had enough, if she was just looking at something and accidentally fell in, why leave your phone on the bench ?
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Wasn't it on speaker and only she could hear them? If the dog or something drew her to the waters edge she probably just put it down.
 
413x said:
Suicide makes more sense than murder.

What a way to do it if it is that. You'd hope the husband had some idea she was struggling. But it doesn't always work out like that.

I'm guessing as it's medical and private we wouldn't know about any medication but police would?
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Yeh, from the evidence so far, it does seem like suicide is the most likely thing.
 
sigma said:
Have you called the detectives and told them what they should do next?
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Why do you assume the police are always right?

They come up with a theory with no evidence and you don't question it.

Yet everytime others put forward a theory, which is equally as valid i.e. evidence isn't required, you're picking at them?
 
Firestar_3x said:
As spaniels love to swim, if she'd fallen in the river I'd fully expect the dog to be right in after her thinking it was play time*

*Unless this particular spaniel is scared of water.
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Hold on I thought the dog was on a lead tied to the bench next to her phone ? Maybe I’m wrong .

Either way something is very fishy here .
 
As for the suicide theory, I'm not convinced. Throwing youself in a freezing cold river doesn't seem like the nicest way to go.
 
BowdonUK said:
Why do you assume the police are always right?

They come up with a theory with no evidence and you don't question it.

Yet everytime others put forward a theory, which is equally as valid i.e. evidence isn't required, you're picking at them?
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Go look up "Occam's Razor" and then come back to us.

They did not "come up with a theory" as you suggest.

Nice wording by the way, really subtle (not) attempt to portray a police investigation as "coming up with a theory" to facilitate you to then attempting to draw equivalencies with your own crackpot theories.

There is a vast difference between what the police are doing - Working the scene, taking into consideration all the likely possibilities to formulate the most probable outcome(s).

And what you're doing - Which is reading Social Media and newspaper clippings and then attempting to completely dismiss the most likely, obvious and reasonable explanation for her disappearance, in order to cling to some conspiracy-theory-esque claims that require 10 different hoops to be jumped through to make happen, with absolutely zero supporting evidence there was any foul play.

Why is it you choose to completely and repeatedly ignore the most obvious and likely, in favour of repeatedly parroting your own unfounded, unsupported, unevidenced claims that it's either "Something Dodgy" or "The Police being Incompetent"?
 
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Uther said:
As for the suicide theory, I'm not convinced. Throwing youself in a freezing cold river doesn't seem like the nicest way to go.
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Might be easier for the family/friends? If no note is left or signs to a suicide no one really knows if its an accident or a suicide
 
Uther said:
As for the suicide theory, I'm not convinced. Throwing youself in a freezing cold river doesn't seem like the nicest way to go.
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I know someone who did just that. He had spent the afternoon with a mate of mine, which on hindsight was probably saying goodbye to him not that my friend had any idea, dropped him off home then went and killed himself by going into the Witham.

And as for how long it can take to find a body, he did it on the 28th Nov, his body wasn't found until Jan 3rd only a mile or so away.

Messed my friend up for a long time, they had been life long friends and very close.
 
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Devilman said:
Go look up "Occam's Razor" and then come back to us.

They did not "come up with a theory" as you suggest.

Nice wording by the way, really subtle (not) attempt to portray a police investigation as "coming up with a theory" to facilitate you to then attempting to draw equivalencies with your own crackpot theories.

There is a vast difference between what the police are doing - Working the scene, taking into consideration all the likely possibilities to formulate the most probable outcome(s).

And what you're doing - Which is reading Social Media and newspaper clippings and then attempting to completely dismiss the most likely, obvious and reasonable explanation for her disappearance, in order to cling to some conspiracy-theory-esque claims that require 10 different hoops to be jumped through to make happen, with absolutely zero supporting evidence there was any foul play.

Why is it you choose to completely and repeatedly ignore the most obvious and likely, in favour of repeatedly parroting your own unfounded, unsupported, unevidenced claims that it's either "Something Dodgy" or "The Police being Incompetent"?
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Have you any more un words?

The police haven't provided evidence for their own theory - to anyone, yet you believe it. Why? Because someone in a uniform said it?

You're right there is a social media problem, and it started when the police started putting out a theory very early on that they havent got any evidence for. Why did they feel they had to say anything?

All those un words can be applied to the police. There is no use trying to straw man this.

It's not the most likely explanation. That's why I choose to keep an open mind. Why don't you?
 
Uther said:
As for the suicide theory, I'm not convinced. Throwing youself in a freezing cold river doesn't seem like the nicest way to go.
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And throwing yourself off a building or jumping in front of a train is a nice way ? :cry:

Just don't go drowning yourself in the Sea, it takes longer to drown because of the salt than drowning in fresh water
 
BowdonUK said:
Have you any more un words?

The police haven't provided evidence for their own theory - to anyone, yet you believe it. Why? Because someone in a uniform said it?

You're right there is a social media problem, and it started when the police started putting out a theory very early on that they havent got any evidence for. Why did they feel they had to say anything?

All those un words can be applied to the police. There is no use trying to straw man this.

It's not the most likely explanation. That's why I choose to keep an open mind. Why don't you?
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Hypothesis not theory.

It is the most likely though based on the evidence that we currently have. That evidence though is mostly the lack of other evidence. Alive or dead, she somehow got out of the immediate area but there’s currently no evidence of suspicious activity of witnesses or suspicious people or vehicles. So the river is a good hypothesis for getting out the area.
 
Uther said:
As for the suicide theory, I'm not convinced. Throwing youself in a freezing cold river doesn't seem like the nicest way to go.
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One of my mother's childhood friends walked into a lake during winter and never came back. Her son jumped off a block of flats and her husband was an abusive drunk so was pretty messed up from all those years. She left a daughter behind.
 
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