The ongoing Elon Twitter saga: "insert demographic" melts down

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With Twitter losing 75%+ of it's staff and that associated long term cost reduction vs short-term severance pay-outs, added to the millions of new users signing up increasing Ad revenue, minus the loss from companies reducing Ad spend on Twitter etc - I wonder if Twitters infamous "It's losing $4 million a day" pre-Musk has changed much yet or is it still to early to tell?
I've missed this fresh news, in bold. Help a friend out :thumbs up:
 
Complaining for months that Twitter has too many bots, then not dealing with that problem as a priority and making polls instead to impliment major changes is pretty stupid.

So now he's not concerned that bots could easily sway the poll?
Also making changes with the vote so close is pretty dumb.
 
With Twitter losing 75%+ of it's staff and that associated long term cost reduction vs short-term severance pay-outs, added to the millions of new users signing up increasing Ad revenue, minus the loss from companies reducing Ad spend on Twitter etc - I wonder if Twitters infamous "It's losing $4 million a day" pre-Musk has changed much yet or is it still to early to tell?

Probably way too early, those severance payouts will be huge + he's lumbered with a load of debt and has massively overpaid for the company.
 
He will need a full years worth of figures to prove any financial impact. Anything else is just speculation. Plus this is Musk we are talking about so I would not be surprised if he values it in conkers, tears or even doge.
 
Indeed, pretty much confirmed now... absolute mad man! He didn't need to do this so soon, reassure the advertisers etc.. a bit first that Trump poll could have waited.



Apparently this is the full latin quote

full quote is "Nec audiendi qui solent dicere, vox populi, vox dei, quum tumultuositas vulgi semper insaniae proxima sit.” it translates to: "Do not listen to those who say the voice of the people is the voice of God, since the tumult of the crowd is always close to madness."
 
I've missed this fresh news, in bold. Help a friend out :thumbs up:

From the 7th Nov 2022 - https://www.theverge.com/2022/11/7/23445476/elon-musk-twitter-user-growth-all-time-high-advertisers

Since Musk’s dramatic takeover, Twitter’s monetizable daily user (mDAU) growth has accelerated to more than 20 percent, while “Twitter’s largest market, the US, is growing even more quickly,” according to an internal FAQ obtained by The Verge that was shared with Twitter’s sales team on Monday to use in conversations with advertisers. Per the FAQ, Twitter has added more than 15 million mDAUs, “crossing the quarter billion mark” since the end of the second quarter, when it stopped reporting financials as a public company.

A "monetizable daily user (mDAU)" is an account of either people, organizations, or other accounts who logged in or were otherwise authenticated and accessed Twitter on any given day through twitter, so thats 15 million more accounts per day that were creating money for twitter by adverts being shown to them.
 
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just lols so much at the people in this world that are so much smarter than Elon, have done more, and are far better than him.
Yet they have no car company, no boring company, no twitter, no space rockets, no flame throwers except throwing flames in forums.
The pile on is revenue itself.
Nobody is saying he isn't successful.

From the 7th Nov 2022 - https://www.theverge.com/2022/11/7/23445476/elon-musk-twitter-user-growth-all-time-high-advertisers



A "monetizable daily user (mDAU)" is an account of either people, organizations, or other accounts who logged in or were otherwise authenticated and accessed Twitter on any given day through twitter, so thats 15 million more accounts per day that were creating money for twitter by adverts being shown to them.
Probably all bots so Musk can point towards it as proof he was right.
 
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Would be interesting to see if they have actually plugged that 4 million a day loss

Problem is the drop in ad revenue might be more than 4 million a day
 
With Twitter losing 75%+ of it's staff and that associated long term cost reduction vs short-term severance pay-outs, added to the millions of new users signing up increasing Ad revenue, minus the loss from companies reducing Ad spend on Twitter etc - I wonder if Twitters infamous "It's losing $4 million a day" pre-Musk has changed much yet or is it still to early to tell?

From reporting he has added $1b a year in interest payments.

From the 7th Nov 2022 - https://www.theverge.com/2022/11/7/23445476/elon-musk-twitter-user-growth-all-time-high-advertisers



A "monetizable daily user (mDAU)" is an account of either people, organizations, or other accounts who logged in or were otherwise authenticated and accessed Twitter on any given day through twitter, so thats 15 million more accounts per day that were creating money for twitter by adverts being shown to them.

He can add those numbers but if the big advertisers are running for the hills it doesn't help. He hasn't addressed that problem, if anything he has made it worse since taking full control.
 
From reporting he has added $1b a year in interest payments.



He can add those numbers but if the big advertisers are running for the hills it doesn't help. He hasn't addressed that problem, if anything he has made it worse since taking full control.
And the world is heading into a recession where advertising spend across the board will be slashed so alienating the biggest companies probably isn’t a great move.

The one thing I will say is having ludicrous people in charge of things certainly makes them more interesting. Our politics has got dull since Rishi came in, US politics is dull under Biden, twitter was dull before Musk arrived. Interesting isn’t necessarily a good thing but it does give us something to talk about about!
 
From the 7th Nov 2022 - https://www.theverge.com/2022/11/7/23445476/elon-musk-twitter-user-growth-all-time-high-advertisers



A "monetizable daily user (mDAU)" is an account of either people, organizations, or other accounts who logged in or were otherwise authenticated and accessed Twitter on any given day through twitter, so thats 15 million more accounts per day that were creating money for twitter by adverts being shown to them.

I don't think thats how it works, well yes it does but with a big BUT
Now I must disclaimer I am about as far from an online marketing budget expert as you can get, but I know someone loosely (used to work with him about 10 years ago) who does this as part of their marketing day job

My understanding is (this is the simple model I was told its getting more complicated) that when agreeing a budget for an advert or campaign its capped.
The first part would be a simple, you must get our advert in front of x people, that may generate say 30% of the pot. The other 70% would be for want of a better term "click" based, so people following up on the advert by link. So they will need to generate y clicks to get the 70%
What can happen is the 70% can be earned before the 30% if it just happens to be something popular. Say someone planned an airfrier campaign six months ago expecting low take up, right now it would probably blast right by the clicks metric very quickly, but they still need to get the in front of x people to get the 30%, even though there is no more budget for the clicks.

Hope that makes sense.

So in theory there could be a lot more transactions taking place that are not generating any more revenue for twitter as the parts of the budget that are variable are already maxed out. The budgets are almost always fixed, not variable but capped.

Although I think the big issues is that Elon as part of the acquisition added around $13B of debt onto twitters books. The interest was predicted to be $1B, being VC that sounds reasonable.
Thats a massive increase to fund from either increased revenue, or reduced costs. The headcount reduction of employed and subcontractors is probably going to be around that, the big question in that case is can he really keep it working with that headcount drop.
 
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