Trading the stockmarket (NO Referrals)

Any of you making any spread bets on the US election outcome? I think a Trump win would see a large immediate Wall St drop, especially as Wall St is currently pricing in a Hillary win. Dollar would also be another one with an instant reaction, but that is a bit too volatile for my liking.

By that reasoning if Hilary wins then there will be no change since the markets have already priced her in. The polls are calling it close but I expect her to win comfortably.
 
anyone traded Binary Options?

I read really bad things about this.

I want to move into Forex, but must find a getting started guide from the ground up.

Already know about candles and wicks etc, but really more which platforms are cheapest to trade and easiest to use to get started.
 
Hi Guys,

Apologize if this a bit noddy for this thread but I want to buy some NASDAQ shares in a specific US company.

Will probably be keeping the shares for 2-3 years and then sell them off.

What's the best way to go about this?

Ideally I want something that has no yearly costs and just charges for transactions. So would something like the Halifax Share Dealing account be suitable?
 
By that reasoning if Hilary wins then there will be no change since the markets have already priced her in. The polls are calling it close but I expect her to win comfortably.

not really - what the other poster stated doesn't necessarily assume p = 1 q = 0

if candidate A is good for the markets and has a .9 chance of winning and candidate B is seen as bad and has a .1 chance of winning then you'd see a bigger reaction should candidate B win but also some reaction should candidate A win
 
anyone traded Binary Options?

I read really bad things about this.

I want to move into Forex, but must find a getting started guide from the ground up.

Already know about candles and wicks etc, but really more which platforms are cheapest to trade and easiest to use to get started.

I think you're probably best staying away from both at the moment.

Binary options are trade on some exchanges but I think you're looking for something rather simple in which case they're unlikely to be suitable anyway.

Most retail traders dabbling in FX seem to use bucketshops which would kill a lot of potential edges when it comes to short term trading.

FX futures, LMAX and interactive brokers are possibilities though.
 
Dunno, but I'm looking at a US ETF (look at IUSA.l)if the market tanks over the coming days/weeks and just holding on for a recovery. Am also looking at Asia too as a potential strong market over the coming years.
 
The market will be fine. The FTSE was down in overnight trading and is already recovering.

Some businesses will welcome the tax cuts Trump claims he wants to bring in. There might be some bargains while things work themselves out though.
 
Dow futures were down 800 points overnight but by the time of the announcement had pretty much stabilised and even bumped up a bit once Trump was declared winner.
 
The market is higher now then it was Monday. That amount of bounce, volatility seems whacky. I had a short and closed it last night but could have gone long too, thought about it but this immediate bounce back seems extreme. No guts no glory :p

Fresnillo and Centamin up 10% cant really complain. Volatility is generally good for gold

Solid advice - https://t.co/qzMEXbnG7x Someone on this thread called a lower sp500, made me think ty. Its generally 'full' I agree.
Sterling is still struggling to get back on the rails, still weak, legless

After 2:30 I expect all this to replay in real time. This news struck out of hours, so yea some trading can be done but the majority is still to come, traders should love this stuff. Im just confused lol

0.1% margin between win for either candidate is what I just heard with now Clinton still possibly getting the most votes.

The stock price for Weir Group PLC with ticker code: LON:WEIR has gained 5.69% or 91 points during today’s session so far. Investors are a positive bunch while the stock has been in play. Range high for the period has seen 1690 meanwhile the session low reached 1514.98. The volume total for shares traded up to this point was 1,122,743 whilst the average number of shares exchanged is 1,297,465. The stock 52 week high is 1806 about 207 points difference from the previous days close and putting the 52 week low at 764.5 a difference of some 834.5 points. Weir Group PLC has a 20 SMA of 1717.88 and a 50 day moving average at 1667.14. The market capitalisation currently stands at £3,679.78m at the time of this report. All share prices mentioned for this stock are traded in GBX. Mcap is measured in GBP. This article was written with the last trade for Weir Group PLC being recorded at Wednesday, November 9, 2016 at 12:59:21 PM GMT with the stock price trading at 1690 GBX.
http://www.directorstalkinterviews....fagasta-plc-rolls-royce-holding-plc/412715519
*Very buoyant market, make hay while the sun shines right. Sold some WEIR, betting I can buy again lower before they go ex-div next april
 
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You think Wall St will take a dip on opening? Overnight the Dow dropped 800pts but it's back up just 200pts down now :eek: And cable behaving as if nothing happened.

Edit 14:37: Straight back to where it was at closing yesterday :confused:.com
 
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The futures were way out of whack, funny how extreme these things can be. Cable is just floating along, dollar is quite strong so relative to that its doing ok but UBS says there could be a break out upwards with 1.55 target.
That is feasible but UBS is the swiss who are not in EU and of course realise thats no great negative, doesnt mean the market comes to that conclusion this year.
December should be quite quiet vs January barring any real news. Often theres a drift up but we are already high, its a very noticeable bias year after year from low volume

GPX up 50% today, I dont see any news but I was thinking about it and it might make some sense. The 50% alone doesnt mean anything much, its 6p and rights were 4p at year start.
Its a destroyed asset in the Syrian battleground. How broken I dont know but prices move on differences which this Trump dynamic absolutely is. Its all speculation but his policy with Russia and so with Assad and the Syrian army could I suppose benefit this share, the reality being very harsh but the rumour allows for the share to rise like this is my guess. 30p would be something, I dont suppose it'll do that as its not likely a working asset any more.
http://www.malcysblog.com/2016/04/o...eon-gulfsands-caza-bahamas-petroleum-finally/
http://www.thesundaytimes.co.uk/sto/business/Companies/article1684426.ece

Sold some more Weir. 1800 is good, they could make 2000 before next spring if fracking is in recovery I guess. I should rebuy them, I dont think they expensive and it depends on oil price also etc
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Bought tiny bit of VOD, I should have sold BT year start and I realise(d) RDSB or similar would have been a good switch at the time. I did get some, somebody said the merger was known as a sure thing:confused: Utilities have a premium in some negative type markets, its more challenged now. I dont actually like BT at all tbh :o never did, too much of an ex government blob. I said sell in 2000 but they were held by a relative at that point. Its a bit worrying their reliance on size, I dont think the regulator will split them while we leave EU
http://www.proactiveinvestors.co.uk...luded-from-23ghz-spectrum-auction-169255.html

RMG looking very unwanted there, maybe it can come back to 500 before any further decline. Not sure if its expensive or not, not especially:confused:

Sold all my Shell, Im not the optimistic type re: OPEC etc - 2200 is a good area, Im not that far off that. I can easily be wrong but Im overweight oil anyway
http://www.thecountrycaller.com/394...vestment-of-iraqi-assets-under-consideration/
 
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This is possibly the laziest thing I've done all year but has anyone downloaded a profit/loss spreadsheet that they use?

My online portfolio thing (ADVFN) is good for tracking daily movements but is useless for long term profit/loss.
 
So while I know a fair bit about individual trading now, I'm a bit of a greenhorn on brokerages. I'd always heard E*TRADE was the powerhouse, but seems they don't accept customers from the UK after they shut doors here a few years ago.

Looks like a lot of brokerages in the UK also charge insane per trade fees, but I read up about degiro - almost seem to cheap to be true.

Anyone here knowledgeable on them?
 
wish i had some spare money this month Under Amour has had a tanking, but they're are growing year to yer and think they will do well.

what i the cheapest site for share dealing, got an ISA with HL but that's £11 per transaction.
 
I was going to say Morningstar for profit/loss and it updates news for each holding etc

BP has the highest exposure in the countries that have said they will cut oil production, Rystad Energy says, with the likely participation of Russia, where BP holds a 20% stake in Rosneft (OTC:RNFTF), puts it ahead of rivals Total (NYSE:TOT), Shell (RDS.A, RDS.B), ExxonMobil (NYSE:XOM), Eni (NYSE:E) and Chevron (NYSE:CVX).
Im thinking BP has royalties deal in Iraq anyway and not sure about Russia, wont they cut the expensive oil first. Rosneft bought BP's old profitable assets there?


Sterling is more positive shorter term, its hit its head right this moment but its back within a trend. That trend long term is downwards, I mean obviously we know thats the case for years but it is up off the floor. 1.288 I think is a good level of previous lows to watch for it to beat, typically it keeps trying and failing and does not immediately break through such barrier areas.
Sterling affects the price of everything especially I think it makes gold stocks more negative in our viewpoint Even BP div is coming from dollars, so its something I watch for timing. One fund I hold is short yen long sterling so ideally I lean more on that if possible. More conventional might be FT250 as its more UK then ft100
 
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My broker is just about to move into subscription only via trades, you trade 3 times and its all good. They used to be 50p a trade but FCA stepped in because... :confused:

iii also has a cheapy monthly buy scheme as well. Mine doesnt have that, only thing I miss. I dont like iii because of some their charges meant I lost half my scrip dividends in fees which is not ok


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Goldman Sachs says buy nvidia. Way beyond me estimations, to hear a broker like that means others had that info a month ago or so I guess


Gold is so broke, as a chart. On the actual fundamental or long term view I reckon this is a period of buying and hopefully you realised some profits previously, wish I had sold more.
Anyhow I dont mind lower price, not on this kind of news anyway which is perception based.
Malcolm Graham wood says Rockhopper is far too cheap, but when would they make a profit and if no profit you are liable to the 'generosity' of others

http://www.forbes.com/sites/timwors...dium=email&utm_campaign=20161221#a1bc94e64138
Actual reforms in India
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