A good time for a
gamble on BP, perhaps. But remember that the US public is in an angry mood over a whole variety of issues and this BP thing might be a very useful political lightning rod to distract attention from all sorts of issues in the build up to the important Senate elections later in the year.
At the very least the American legal system is likely to tie BP up in knots for several years. They can smell a cash cow a mile off, and BP generates a lot of cash. So the question we, as teeny weeny investors, always have to ask is... what do we know that all the big investment houses, with their teams of dedicated analysts who do this 24/7, don't?
Don't get me wrong, as a peak (supply) oiler I'm dying to get back into oil & gas related assets as a long term investment. And if I'd bought in the March 2009 lows I would probably be hanging on. But getting into BP now seems risky
unless you have the earning power to shrug off and replace losses.
My problem is that I'm a low earner but a great saver (ie boring as hell), and that combination makes me overly cautious. So for me there may never be a "right time" to get back in. However if I had £2k spare every month instead of £400 I might be inclined to do the sensible thing and drip feed money in in 1k chunks, buying on the dips and doing the cost averaging thing over a period of months. I wouldn't be buying just BP though. The idea would be to hedge by buying competitors as well, so that if BP gets stuffed, the competition should benefit.
So, er... I think that's a no. Or a qualified yes. As with the markets themselves, pick your own interpretation.
Andrew McP