Ukraine Invasion - Please do not post videos showing attacks/similar

[NickK]

Wall Street journal did an interesting video about computer chip production and how if Taiwan was invaded it would tip the world into a recession as we'd lose the supply from Taiwan and maybe China if we imposed sanctions.

It would make the current chip shortages look insignificant and while we are trying to encourage production to come back to the West it will take decades to do so.

Basically China would get the technical jump they want to be #1 and also be in a position to dictate based on technology (selling and restricting for political influence). Also for security Taiwan chips would be restricted from medium level security products such as telecoms switch gear.

 

[Turn]

*Russia to Introduce the Ruble in Occupied Kherson Region — TASS.
https://tass.ru/ekonomika/14701891

Spoiler: *UK MoD Map

'The map below is the latest Defence Intelligence update on the situation in Ukraine - 23 May 2022'

https://twitter.com/DefenceHQ/status/1528692426092724224

Spoiler: *Russian Shipping Group Sells Sixth of Fleet to Repay Debts — FT

https://www.ft.com/content/31b80bbb-59f3-4d7a-b901-329867797d41

Spoiler: *White House Weighs Use of Emergency Diesel Reserve to Ease Supply Crunch — RTRS

23-May-2022 12:08:27 - *Russia's Putin: Transition to Rouble Payments Will Strengthen the Rouble
23-May-2022 12:08:47 - *Russia's Putin: Measures Undertaken by Govt to Support the Economy Have Had a Positive Effect

Spoiler: *Russia’s Putin Jokes About Being Blamed for All the World’s Woes — RTRS

Spoiler: *Lukashenko Accuses Poland and NATO of Plotting to Partition Ukraine — RTRS

23-May-2022 13:38:59 - *Russian C.Bank: Temporarily Eases Capital and Liquidity Requirements for Some Companies, Non-State Pensions Funds

Spoiler: *Belarus Says It Is Checking Combat-Readiness of Army Equipment — RTRS

Spoiler: *Russian Diplomat in Switzerland Says He Resigns Over Ukraine Invasion — RTRS

Spoiler: *EXCLUSIVE- Lithuania, Slovakia, Latvia and Estonia to Call on Tuesday for Seizure of Russian Assets to Reconstruct Ukraine — RTRS

Spoiler: *Ukraine Calls for Help to Secure Safe Passage for Food Exports - BBC — RTRS

 

[potatolord]

Probably Stinger missiles. They've not been made in years and many would be approaching the end of their shelf life as well. Raytheon I think it was were looking into restarting production of them, but the components used are long since obsolete, so they need to basically re-desing the missiles.

Just checked- it was javelins. Economist article, showing figures, is here:

Why weapons crucial to the war in Ukraine are in short supply

A depleting stock of Javelins means America needs to shift to other forms of aid

www.economist.com

 

[Turn]

23-May-2022 14:16:43 - *Starbucks: Decided to Exit and No Longer Have a Brand Presence in Russian Market
23-May-2022 14:16:43 - *Starbucks: Will Continue to Support Green Apron Partners in Russia
23-May-2022 14:16:43 - *Starbucks: Will Pay Green Apron Partners in Russia for 6 Months and Assist Them to Transition to Opportunities Outside of Starbucks
https://www.reuters.com/business/re...n-entity-sota-vision-cites-source-2022-05-23/

23-May-2022 14:23:27 - *Russian Rouble Extends Gains, Firms More Than 6% on the Day Past 59 vs Euro, Its Strongest Since June 2015

Spoiler: *EURRUB MOEX Chart

 

[bingham67]

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1528689381090926593

 

[Turn]

Spoiler: *Austin Pledges US Support to Ukraine ‘for the Long Haul’

Spoiler: *Ukraine Says Food Crisis Will Start to Bite in July

Spoiler: *Member States Disagree Over Aid Package for Ukraine

Spoiler: *EU Stalemate Deepens on Russian Oil Embargo

Spoiler: *[Full Article] *EU Stalemate Deepens on Russian Oil Embargo

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/arti...ens-on-russian-oil-embargo-as-hungary-digs-in

23-May-2022 15:27:35 - *Russia’s VEB Development Bank: Fulfilled Obligations on Eurobond Coupon Payouts
23-May-2022 15:28:13 - *Russia’s VEB Development Bank: Paid Roubles As It Could Not Channel Funds in Foreign Currency
23-May-2022 15:33:54 - *Russian Minister of Industry Calls On BRICS Partners to Set Up Oil and Gas Refining Facilities Jointly With Russia — TASS

23-May-2022 16:15:00 - *Russian Finance Ministry: Russia Lowers Level of Mandatory Conversion of FX Revenues for Exporters to 50% From 80%
23-May-2022 16:15:00 - *Russian Finance Ministry: Move Is Possible As Rouble Has Stabilised, FX Liquidity on Domestic Market Has Reached Sufficient Level

23-May-2022 16:16:42 - *Ukraine’s Prosecutor General: There Are About 13,000 Ongoing Investigations Into Alleged War Crimes By Russia
23-May-2022 16:27:40 - *Italy’s PM Discussed With Bulgarian Premier Over Situation in Ukraine, Need to Tackle Ongoing Food Crisis — Draghi’s Office
23-May-2022 16:28:33 - *Ukraine’s Gas System Operator: Gas Supplies to Donetsk and Luhansk Regions Suspended After Main Gas Pipeline Damaged in Russian Shelling
23-May-2022 16:30:32 - *Western Official: Any Safe Corridor to Let Ships Take Grain out of Odesa Would Need Russian Consent
23-May-2022 16:36:54 - *Lithuania to Withdraw Its Ambassador to Russia From June 1 — Presidential Decree

23-May-2022 16:45:10 - *Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed Bin Salman Is Planning an International Tour Soon —Sources
23-May-2022 16:45:22 - *The Tour Would Include Turkey, Greece, Cyprus, Jordan and Egypt —Sources

 

[adam cool dude]

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1528689381090926593

and?

Ukranian Army is hardly comparable to the mujahedeen in terms of effective opposition.

 

[terley]

Wall Street journal did an interesting video about computer chip production and how if Taiwan was invaded it would tip the world into a recession as we'd lose the supply from Taiwan and maybe China if we imposed sanctions.

It would make the current chip shortages look insignificant and while we are trying to encourage production to come back to the West it will take decades to do so.

I know the US recently invested $52b in making their own 5nm & 7nm fabricators in the US, one of the plants will be run by TSCM. Meanwhile Taiwan are working on 2nm/3nm projects.. basically whoever had their fabricators are the worlds number 1 superpower.. because of AI and weaponry powered by the worlds best silicon chips.

However... All of Taiwan's fabricators are located along the coastlines of the country, an invasion would likely destroy them.. if they didn't the Taiwanese would destroy them themselves.

Those fabricators prevent a china invasion, and ensure American assistance, not to mention if Taiwan is lost the US would lose naval superiority in that region of the world.

 

[Turn]

Deleting to re-bump this post due to the embed below.

 

[Colonel_Klinck]

I hope this guy isn't heading back to Russia, nothing good will greet him there.

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1528668629482541057

 

[Turn]

*Austin, Milley Hold Pentagon Briefing on Ukraine — https://youtu.be/uUsr4GuGc7c
23-May-2022 17:36:02 - *U.S. Defense Secretary: 20 Countries Announced New Security Assistance Packages for Ukraine
23-May-2022 17:37:18 - *U.S. Defense Secretary: Denmark to Provide Harpoon Launcher and Missiles to Defend Ukraine’s Coast
23-May-2022 17:48:02 - *U.S. Defense Secretary: Ukraine’s Military Needs Long-Range Fires, Armor, Drone Capabilities
23-May-2022 17:50:38 - *U.S. Still a Ways Away From Any Reintroduction of U.S. Forces Into Ukraine — Top U.S. General
23-May-2022 17:52:17 - *U.S. Defense Secretary: Thinks Biden Was Clear That U.S. Policy Has Not Changed on Taiwan

More here w/ more details than I have: https://twitter.com/jseldin/status/1528777272223744001

 

[Rroff]

I hope this guy isn't heading back to Russia, nothing good will greet him there.

And people console themselves with the notion Putin is looking for an off-ramp.

 

[bingham67]

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1528775269905051656

Looks like Lyman next one to take the brunt

 

[Rroff]

Looks like Lyman next one to take the brunt

From the linked Tweet - "Wonder if the people who ordered him into Ukraine will ever be standing in the dock…" - I think that is likely to be a resounding no - they'd probably attempt to launch nukes before it came to that.

 

[Turn]

23-May-2022 17:45:35 - *Phosagro Pao - Vladimir Litvinenko Has Notified Company of a Change in His Shareholding, From 20.98% to 0.39%.
23-May-2022 17:46:02 - *Phosagro Pao - Tatyana Litvinenko’s Stake in Company’s Share Capital Has Increased From 0% to 20.60%.

23-May-2022 17:56:53 - *Fed’s Bostic: Full Effect of Ukraine War Has Not Been Felt yet, Upward Price Pressure for Industrial Inputs Still to Come
23-May-2022 17:58:06 - *Fed's Bostic: Ukraine “A Big Additional Source of Uncertainty” for the Fed

 

[Colonel_Klinck]

And people console themselves with the notion Putin is looking for an off-ramp.

I was listening to a podcast a couple of weeks ago with a Russia expert (can't remember who now) and he pointed out that Putin doesn't need an off ramp. Putin can say what ever he likes back in Russia and that will be the reality as far as media and the public are concerned, so the West looking to supply Putin with an off ramp is pointless, if he wants out he'll supply himself with one for the only place that matters to him, back in Russia.

 

[Harlequin]

Russians reverting to WW2 style - rolling barages moving forward and millions of shells used

 

[Turn]

*Biden: China Is Flirting With Danger in Taiwan

*China Says US ‘Playing With Fire’ on Taiwan — Xinhua
https://twitter.com/AFP/status/1528784875532210176
Haha

23-May-2022 18:16:46 - *Turkey’s Erdogan: Greek PM Mitsotakis Does Not Exist for Him After His Visit to the United States

 

[Malevolence]

Time for the Black Sea Fleet to get worried.

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1528786931118657536

 

[Turn]

23-May-2022 18:16:46 - *Turkey’s Erdogan: Greek PM Mitsotakis Does Not Exist for Him After His Visit to the United States

23-May-2022 18:25:32 - *Turkey’s Erdogan: To Launch New Military Operations Along Its Southern Borders to Create 30-Km Deep Safe Zones
More here:
https://twitter.com/ragipsoylu/status/1528787378948775938

https://twitter.com/ragipsoylu/status/1528790458197020673

https://twitter.com/ragipsoylu/status/1528792713990119425