Ukraine Invasion - Please do not post videos showing attacks/similar

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That's an interesting thought, but i don't believe that to be the case with my political beliefs as I held them long before partaking of either nicotine or alcohol. I don't believe that the correlation is sound in my case.

I did notice than when the legalisation of cannabis was discussed somewhat heatedly in this forum, the main protagonists supporting it were well known strongly left leaning forum members, so the idea certainly has some merit. Who knows...? Degree course?

Could well be. Degrees generally encourage critical analysis and being able to look beyond a single set of interests, something which doesn't align with certain political beliefs.
 
LOL Kazakhstan might have different ideas there...

The grain thing is interesting, apparently, the current Russian claim is that the bridge thing was caused by explosives shipped out of Ukraine as a result of that corridor then shipped via some third-party countries - Armenia and Georgia into Russia.

The massive strikes thing is perhaps blatantly a lack of missiles, they simply can't sustain that sort of thing, several dozen fired in one evening is a huge depletion of their stockpile, according to this they have relatively few Iskanders left and the cruise missiles would quickly run out within a few days of them attempting to continue mass deep strikes like that. no wonder they've had to rely on things like anti-ship missiles or using S300s in ground attack mode etc.


Those numbers seem to be based on extrapolating US intelligence reports from May https://en.defence-ua.com/weapon_an...s_russia_left_quantitative_research-2825.html I'm not sure I'd hold much to them as by this point Russia has used more like 1844 of those kind of missiles in Ukraine already out of nearly, if not, 4000 guided munition strikes of that type by all munitions available to them.
 
Putin has said the military has hit 22 out of 29 of their targets in Ukraine...any insight into what they were? Can't see anything really obvious. :confused:

Surely he is just making it up?
 
Putin has said the military has hit 22 out of 29 of their targets in Ukraine...any insight into what they were? Can't see anything really obvious. :confused:

Surely he is just making it up?

Many of the missiles were aimed at command/communications buildings, power infrastructure and railway depots. The intent seemed to be to try and make conditions tough for Ukraine in the winter but the damage largely seems underwhelming in that respect.
 
Interesting note on the missiles:


I think their appraisal on stocks is a bit off though - the production facility for Kh-101s ramped up with the activity in Syria, then reduced down again to about 3 missiles a month post 2019 once they'd replaced older stock used in Syria - they probably used up a lot of the earlier stock in Syria.

EDIT: Interestingly they don't seem to have restarted bulk production on the Kh line - not sure whether that is due to component shortages, thinking they have sufficient stock or tactical reasons (i.e. need other missiles more). While they do seem to have ramped up production on Iskanders.
 
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Doesn't really seem to align with the actual soldiers on the ground in Ukraine who have said they have to buy all the terminals themselves since the start.

I can't say what is happening in terms of buying - but there was footage on social media of truck loads, straight from production, of the terminals being delivered to Ukraine which doesn't suggest private purchasing (unless they are having a whip around and buying in bulk).

EDIT: First hit I could find from a quick search https://twitter.com/Archer83Able/status/1503849987049938944
 
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Those numbers seem to be based on extrapolating US intelligence reports from May https://en.defence-ua.com/weapon_an...s_russia_left_quantitative_research-2825.html I'm not sure I'd hold much to them as by this point Russia has used more like 1844 of those kind of missiles in Ukraine already out of nearly, if not, 4000 guided munition strikes of that type by all munitions available to them.

What data are you basing that on?

I'm not sure that number is based on those reports from May, for example, that article states 200 Iskander back then and the twitter post put it at 124 now.
 
Not sure the veracity of this considering the source but:


The way things are moving I can see it as a possibility.
Will be way too late if Ukraine consolidates positions on the right bank of the Dnieper and his forces accelerate their attrition due to nobody trusting these near useless mobilized forces many of which likely intend on surrendering at the first opportunity.
 
Will be way too late if Ukraine consolidates positions on the right bank of the Dnieper and his forces accelerate their attrition due to nobody trusting these near useless mobilized forces many of which likely intend on surrendering at the first opportunity.

Russia increasingly facing some stark choices with the realities of this war I think - they can't afford a slog with indefinite ending to hold current positions, they need to find some way to stall things while buying time to mobilise what they can to try and find some kind of decisive outcome - I don't think they will accept a loss or negotiated ending which isn't one they've dictated the terms of.
 
Well re-reinforcements are on the way back to the front lines to give the Russians more nightmares:


For the record I posted previously four of these systems have broken down mostly due to wear and tear (faults typically include the loader getting jammed) as a result of the intensity these systems are being put through (several hundred shells a day).

More details here.
 
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Not sure the veracity of this considering the source but:


The way things are moving I can see it as a possibility.

Doubt it, it's a complete non-starter from the Ukrainian side for obvious reasons, highly unlikely they're going to just agree to a ceasefire now when they haven't even taken back Kherson yet and then have Russia invade further in Feb 2023. Ukraine is currently winning it's more just Russia that is keen for things to pause.
 
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