Soldato
- Joined
- 18 Oct 2012
- Posts
- 8,341
How do you turn rust back into iron? Is it easy? Can it be done without modern technology? Who knows how to do it? Did they survive?
it won't all be rust, and it'll be discovered the same way it was discovered the first time round.
if anything you might find instead of the bronze age it might be aluminium, melting and casting old engine blocks.
question is, what is this disaster that we're somehow surviving without the use of modern technology.
Everything online would go quickly. Digital hard copies would last longer, but would survivors have access to them and have the equipment to read them and have the electricity to power the equipment? Paper generally doesn't last anywhere near as long as parchment, so even paper copies are temporary. Even assuming that the information is available to some groups of survivors, how could they make use of it? You mentioned merkava. I looked that up - it's a top quality modern tank. The blueprints for that would be of little use without the facilities, infrastructure, supply chains and power to run a suitable manufacturing facility.
it would take several generations for people to forget how to read/write, put fuel in a generator, operate a pc etc, and the survivors as a group would more than likely have a range of professions each with their own knowledge base, at least assuming the group is large enough to sustain/repopulate without resorting to incest.
the merkava thing was just a specifically israeli example of something technical, point is any old libraries around are going to have books with plenty of knowledge, sure you ain't starting straight back building cpu's and messing around with particle physics but you're gonna be skipping big chunks of historical misconception like thinking all medical ailments were the work of the devil rather than drinking dirty water.
Maybe population will decline voluntarily. More prosperous countries often have a downward trend in population. Maybe if things go well population will reduce to more sustainable levels quickly enough, in combination with more sustainable use of resources and acquisition of offworld resources (e.g. automated asteroid mining). Maybe. It seems a stretch to me, but humanity does have form for pulling last minute solutions out of the air when problems become impossible to ignore.
i'm not convinced that on the global scale that will work. it must be remembered that the way we've set up the world is the prosperous countries are leaning on the labour and sweat of the less prosperous (who work their way up to becoming prosperous shifting the load onto someone else) and someone always has to be bottom of the pile.
but then there's not much precedent telling us which theory will hold true, however as good as humanity is at taking drastic steps when there's no other choice, we're equally as good at forcing drastic choices by kicking the can down the road. the hope we never do that so long that by the time we realise it's already too late.
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