That model worked when Renault / Nissan leased the batteries. They could predict what quantity of batteries would be available, when they would be available and even approximate estimations on what their state of health would be.
The manufacturer stating "We've got 1500 34kWh packs with at least 75% SoC being available in 3 months" is a much more viable prospect than Joe Blogs the scrappy phoning up "Yeah mate, I've got a model 3, four Zoe's and a Leaf... you interested?"
Another model where it works is the Neo swap stations where reduced capacity packs are taken out of circulation and re-directed as required. That model seems like a non starter outside of China though. The idea seemed fantastic with no worries about battery health, recharge times, home chargers or future obsolescence but it would require multiple manufacturers to get their heads together on a standardised pack which was never going to happen. Especially with the range arms race being one of the key selling points of an EV.
Your missing a few things imo
1) Scale. Those models were low volume niche products. And whilst the batteries were leased mainly from what I see they did one of three things, carried on leasing, bought the lease out, more recently went back for manufacturer reconditioning.
How many model 3s are sold per day now? Look at all the cars in scrappies now, that same volume will be reaching end of life, its just rather than ICE they will be EVs.
2) Value. There will remain a decent value in them for the recoverable materials. I don't think your ever going to see £100 banger EVs like you do with ICE because simply there will be a point before that that they will be worth more as storage batteries (for whatever process) or for reclamation cells/materials.
3) Scrappies as many exist today will struggle IMO. They are dealing with rubbish in a lot of cases, the only real value being the from trying to sell a few parts on, and then steel and a few other metals value.
These new larger scrappies are coming and IMO they will be perfect for feeding the trade for salvaged packs. With the packs becoming less simple bolt on and more integrated some disassembly will be needed, eg cut chassis in four places to get this pack, there and there to get the rest type of salvage. Again wherever the end use will be.
I don't see your average current scrappie crowbarring the cells out being able to compete.
So the
"Yeah mate, I've got a model 3, four Zoe's and a Leaf... you interested?"
I see as far less of a realistic position towards the end of the EV life; and more, "Hi mate, I see you listed a won't run Tesla model 3 for £4k for spares or repair, I can offer £3.5k and send a trailer round to collect it"
I agree in regards battery packs, I have said for some time to me thats a better solution than built in packs. (there are some advantages with built in packs especially in regards where you can place them and it what layout) but for extended range a fast swap would be fine.
We swap out batteries in our Forklifts and VNAs at work in about 5 minutes and the new solution is fully automated. The industry however seems to be uninterested in that approach and with looks for many being as important as utility battery swaps would have to result in a slightly worse product.
Something will have to win out, there is going to be too much value left in on EVs to simply discard so then economics will take hold and IMO the cheapest model will be minimal strip down and then place lots of (say 20-30 cars worth) of identical batteries in a container and sell it as a say 1300kwh storage container. (with ticket original pack size being say more like 2500kwh say).
If you start stripping down the cells then you get variability as well, different tesla cells, almost certainly pouch type cells in future etc