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Why GPU prices are NOT likely to drop significantly EVER!

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Harold lloyd

Harold lloyd

Harold lloyd

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Hi everybody,
I thought I would put in a post of why inflation is going to keep up and create a new normal in the world.
I know lots of you are sitting on the side lines waiting for a big drop in GPU prices before buying but the days of getting a decent GPU for £500 or £700 are well gone, expect to pay £1k+ for decent and £2k+ for top end.

1. inflation isn't something that just goes up a few points per year when it really appears there is a huge
surge which goes on and on

2. the commodities upcycle is only getting started=inflation

3. the US has trillions in debt, they don't have the money to pay bond holders so the fed and treasury will keep interest rates down and inflate their dollar to try and inflate away the debt=inflation.
Once inflation appears and surges like you seeing now they are *NOT* going to raise interest rates to combat it but keep inflation running high which is in their interests! (and what do you think BOE will do here in the UK!) what you'll get in a short space of time is a currency devaluation not just US/UK but globally.

4. You may know I'm predicting all 3 major US stock markets to go over finally during the last few months of this year. Now this will be the first of the major bubbles to pop followed by the housing bubble a bit later. As the huge bubbles pop you're going to get more currency devaluation=inflation!

5. GPU shortages/prices are just the tip of the iceberg, once you see the surge of inflation go into food and everyday items then its time to be worried.

See what happens in a few months and Prepare for the biggest financial event of your lifetimes!

Regards, Harold
 
Pretty much, and if all that wasn't enough then these past few years have amply demonstrated how willing people are to pay more for GPUs. Plus everything exciting that's on the horizon in terms of new tech looks to be ever more expensive (MCM, faster memory/wider configs, >400w targets => req. better components etc.), heck even with Ampere/RDNA 2 looking so good on paper it's really only the higher end cards that looked that way, but the highest end got more expensive (3090 et al) and the middle end has stagnated too (3060 & lower), while low-end has been almost unchanged for 5 years now (RX 480/GTX 1060 tier). Then there's a bunch of other factors as well that will also add on top to it (component shortage medium-term etc), so overall the situation isn't going to change for the better any time soon. High prices are the new normal for most of the '20s.
 
Harold lloyd said:
Hi everybody,
I thought I would put in a post of why inflation is going to keep up and create a new normal in the world.
I know lots of you are sitting on the side lines waiting for a big drop in GPU prices before buying but the days of getting a decent GPU for £500 or £700 are well gone, expect to pay £1k+ for decent and £2k+ for top end.

1. inflation isn't something that just goes up a few points per year when it really appears there is a huge
surge which goes on and on

2. the commodities upcycle is only getting started=inflation

3. the US has trillions in debt, they don't have the money to pay bond holders so the fed and treasury will keep interest rates down and inflate their dollar to try and inflate away the debt=inflation.
Once inflation appears and surges like you seeing now they are *NOT* going to raise interest rates to combat it but keep inflation running high which is in their interests! (and what do you think BOE will do here in the UK!) what you'll get in a short space of time is a currency devaluation not just US/UK but globally.

4. You may know I'm predicting all 3 major US stock markets to go over finally during the last few months of this year. Now this will be the first of the major bubbles to pop followed by the housing bubble a bit later. As the huge bubbles pop you're going to get more currency devaluation=inflation!

5. GPU shortages/prices are just the tip of the iceberg, once you see the surge of inflation go into food and everyday items then its time to be worried.

See what happens in a few months and Prepare for the biggest financial event of your lifetimes!

Regards, Harold
Click to expand...


Mate if the global stock market amd housing bubbles pop like you are predicting the price of graphics cards will be the least of problems for people
 
There is a large inflation risk in our Western economies due to money printing and the run up in debt due to Covid support mechanisms. The hope is that the economy rebounds sufficiently to capture some growth, but not too much to push inflation. The central banks do not want short term high inflation. They will want to deflate debt eventually, but the target would be to allow the power of compounding to work to slowly erode the debt. However, we are just one shock away from a big financial market hit

What I have learned from my many years on this planet (with a Masters in Economics and Economic History) is that guessing the timing is a mugs game. I was convinced the dot com bubble was a bubble and would crash horrifically. I was right, but I was also out by 3 years! 3 years! That was 3 lost years of investment.
 
Pricing was where it was due to a balance between cost to produce and what the consumer can afford. What the consumer can afford hasn't changed. Cost to produce will return to where it was due to competition.
 
I think it's kinda what we've been expecting, Turing saw card prices go sky high or price performance stay the same when moving to a new range, Ampere pushed it in the same direction to a lesser degree & than mining broke everything. I was lucky this time around, I sold my 5700XT to fund a 6800/XT but I never managed to get one on release so rather than wait I went back to the MM and bought another 5700XT just as Mining blew its top, Close shave as I would've been stuck on a pair of 480's (when cross-fire even worked) for what would have felt like forever. :rolleyes:
 
Grim5 said:
Mate if the global stock market amd housing bubbles pop like you are predicting the price of graphics cards will be the least of problems for people
Click to expand...

Yeah, agreed.

£700 budget cards aren't sustainable. OP post has no backing/support so i'll just leave my opinion/prediction too. Prices will drop significantly, be it today or tomorrow.
 
I am not knowledgeable enough economy etc but if it's GPUs we are talking about shouldn't there be a big wave of incoming 2nd had GPUsthe moment this "mining boom" explodes? And wouldn't those 2nd hand GPUs "eat" some of the next gen graphic cards Nvidia and AMD market? Nvidia 2XXX cards sold less than usual due to the market flooded with "cheap" 1xxx cards if I am not mistaken.
 
Plenty of Gpus in stock and prices have already dropped 30% in the last month alone, with mining profits falling miners don't want to pay over the odds now there is only so many gamers willing to pay over the odds and most of those will have cards by now.

As more and more GPUs sit on shelves gathering dust expect prices to fall further.
 
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