Winter 2017/2018 - Thread

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Clouds have been getting lighter throughout the day between the heavy flurries, temp goes up a degree or two and it'll be rain instead of snow.
 
A friend sent me this, up near Aberdeen this morning.Coming down harder now apparently!
CHRjR2Z.jpg
 
We don't always get snow down here on the south coast but we had a good few years back 2009+ - that was until I bought some kickass new sleds - haven't had a flake since! :P
 
Summary
Some of the background signals suggested an elevated risk of colder periods developing during winter 2017/18. However some seasonal forecast models such as GloSea have been consistently pointing towards a milder and wetter than average season. Synoptic developments during November so far have been mixed but a tendency for higher pressure over Greenland has been present. The TWO winter forecast will be issued at the end of November.
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https://www.theweatheroutlook.com/t...=hpnews&id=4069&title=Winter+2017/18+update+4
 
ajf said:
What does this actually show?
I struggle to comprehend these models, but really want to know more!
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Simplified all the lines through the middle are different runs of temperature modelling of the air mass overhead which give a general indication as to conditions - at -5 ground temperature is usually about 0-3C.

The lines along the bottom are rainfall totals for the different model runs and below that are numbers representing how many model runs out of roughly 20-21 are showing snow.
 
OK.
What are the numbers down the left and rights sides representing?
I assumed temperature but they are both different.
 
Rroff said:
Simplified all the lines through the middle are different runs of temperature modelling of the air mass overhead which give a general indication as to conditions - at -5 ground temperature is usually about 0-3C.

The lines along the bottom are rainfall totals for the different model runs and below that are numbers representing how many model runs out of roughly 20-21 are showing snow.
Click to expand...
So 7th is going to get very cold with significant rain/snow ?
 
Had a good few days of snow out here north of Aberdeen - all melted away this morning though. Had to abandon a trip to the Cairngorms owing to not being able to make it up hills / through junctions!
 
Aye, it looks like the council have given up with treating roads these days with all the cut backs.

Even the main road into Aberdeen wasn’t treated or gritted and that’s Bear that is supposed to look after it. Only the Tyrebagger had seen a gritter when I went in the first morning.
 
Had a nights camping last week on Carn Dearg to test my new tent. Was a good night and I was very comfortable, very cold with lots of snow.

Watched Outlander on my iPad to set the scene ;)
 
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