WINTER 2018/2019 - Chat thread!
- Thread starter Neil79
- Start date
It's been blowing a gale here on and off all week. Looks nice outside then the clouds come along with gale winds blowing stuff everywhere. I had to go out today otherwise I would have shut myself in all week
Associate
This mornings ECM & GEFS 0z show a continuation of warm surface conditions moving up from the S/SW bringing sunshine and clear skies into next weekend, obviously this is still t+168 away and subject to change if the Atlantic decides to fire up and we are quite close to some marginal situations out west.
All in all the week is looking good, temperatures should peak at around 15-16c with south, south east and east coasts seeing the highest temperatures.
All in all the week is looking good, temperatures should peak at around 15-16c with south, south east and east coasts seeing the highest temperatures.
For me it has been a really disappointing winter in terms of the potential versus what it delivered to us and no signs really of any late blast of note.
Caporegime
Caporegime
As long as the wind dies down! 50mph every day here for the last week.
Associate
Incredibly poor Rroff you're right, the early signs in December were for a significant period of strat warming and PV displacement which unfortunately did occur....but over N.America dumping a hell of a lot of snow on them.
The GEFS 6z is out and predicts low 20/21c towards the end of March.....BUT then the GFS Parallel throws a northerly cold blast at us first week of April with some ensemble members picking this up also.
Long way off so enjoy the warmth this coming week
Associate
Caporegime
Winds die down tomorrow and should peak at around 15mph from the SE
That's good to know, thank you.
IIRC the parallel runs have been over predicting cold all winter unfortunately. Along with the solar minimum and other similar factors we really could have seen a far more notable winter
Associate
GFS on the whole has been wrong in it's predictions all winter, leaving us seemingly at day 10 wondering when if at all the cold will make it past t+72
Associate
12z now onboard with a cold incursion at the start of April
Caporegime
Let’s be honest, we don’t want cold weather at the start of April. It’s spring time.
Fairly good support for the jet being pushed south over the next 10-15 days which could allow colder weather in - some indications of fleeting cold intrusions but nothing really firming up yet other than (unseasonable) warmer air is definitely going to be pushed south for a time.
Soldato
A brief light hailstorm ~1200 in SO15 and what looked like possibly freezing rain ~1545 for a few minutes in SO18... Hard to believe it was glorious sunshine near 20C on Monday afternoon, even up near Butser Hill at ~800 feet!
Soldato
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It was like that yesterday its mostly sunny today. 2c yesterday evening it was 14c only a day or before! Not minding the rain though its the first theres been for at least 3 weeks just need a lot more of it. Looks like the summer drought is starting early this year there are still dead patches in the lawn where it died in last years drought.
Don
16” of new snow at Cairngorm overnight, looks quite good for the next few days for some spring skiing.
Commissario
We didn't have winter in Essex. I think the temperature only dropped below freezing a handful of times here which was very disappointing.
We have had 2 spells of wet snow and big hail down here on the south coast.