OK, I'm done with this game. It's just a game of roll the dice.
I just had a Thin Man, not in any sort of cover at all, and he's in overwatch so I can't run up to him. The game dropped him right in front of my squad (alien reinforcements). Anyhow, he was really close, like 6 tiles away from where my men where clustered.
I have four guys aim and shoot at him, with 78% chance to hit at best (the sniper), and 45% chance to hit at worst (everybody else). This guy is within arms reach.
Every single soldier misses every single shot for two whole rounds, and he kills 3 of my men plus the VIP I had nearly got out.
That's not bad luck. That's a combat system that is plain broken.
So yeah, I'm done with this. UFO was hard but fair. This is just a game of roll the dice and miss shots a four year old would make, let alone professional soldiers.
Let me repeat that: no cover for alien; arms length away; 4 soldiers shooting (had no 'nades), every single shot misses for two whole turns. He blasts two people with his plasma and poisons two others to death.
It's not Classic by a long shot. It's a "you're going to lose now, for now apparent reason" game. My tactics were fine. I know someone will be along any second now to say "bad tactics". All my guys were in cover - the thin man was dropped in on us - he had no cover. We all missed every single shot for two whole combat rounds. That's 4 shots round one, and 3 shots round two. All misses.
I don't care if the game says I have 45% chance to hit POINT BLANK against a stationary target. It's retarded. Firaxis, your game is disappointing me.
According to my maths, you had only a 99.7% chance of hitting at least once with those hit chances. Whilst very high, it's certainly not a certainty but you managed to hit the 1 in 300 chance of failing right there. I guess that's the nature of statistics. It's almost certain that there are many many people out there who have had worse runs of misses than that!
My own story of terrible luck was actually quite amusing. Managed to trigger an overwatched sectoid (last on the map) with my last move of the turn who missed but hit the car 2 of my guys were stood next to. The alien had his go and missed again, and the car blew up at the start of my turn. 2 guys died without having chance to respond and 2 of the remaining 3 panicked whilst stood next to a neighbouring burning car, didn't move and died the following turn. One miss resulted in 4 of my 5 team being killed... I had one shot with the sniper to kill the last sectoid before the second explosion to end the attck and he missed at 85%

