Soldato
"Losing face" is such a huge issue there is always the worry that those involved will feel forced into doing something dramatic to regain their honour or that others behind the scenes will make a move if they feel that that Winnie the Poo is no longer bringing the results they want because, in the end, saving the "face" of China over the long term is far more important overall than saving the "face" of an individual leader in the short term.
IMHO China really should wait a year for the economic reality of COVID-19 to hit the Western world hard before considering any attempts at expansion/intimidation as smaller nations like Australia are still too "strong" to be pushed around diplomatically right now. China's biggest concern really would be another 4 years of Trump, vs someone more malleable to Chinese requests i.e whoever gets the Democrat nomination, as China loved the GDP growth they gained during the Obama era (it tripled) despite an occasional bump in the road politically with Obama. It also used that 8 year period to bolster itself as a "world power", using that tripling of GDP to buy lots of other nations debt in a lot of "real poltik" quid pro quo.
IMHO China really should wait a year for the economic reality of COVID-19 to hit the Western world hard before considering any attempts at expansion/intimidation as smaller nations like Australia are still too "strong" to be pushed around diplomatically right now. China's biggest concern really would be another 4 years of Trump, vs someone more malleable to Chinese requests i.e whoever gets the Democrat nomination, as China loved the GDP growth they gained during the Obama era (it tripled) despite an occasional bump in the road politically with Obama. It also used that 8 year period to bolster itself as a "world power", using that tripling of GDP to buy lots of other nations debt in a lot of "real poltik" quid pro quo.