Lets say that the 2015 CTR is going to be £25-28k based on the FN2 launch price in 2007 - £22,995. Obviously things have got a bit dearer.
Assess the competition:
Renaultsport Megane - £26k
Focus ST3 - £26k
Golf GTI - £26k
Leon Cupra 280 - £27k
Astra VXR - £27k
M135i - £31k
In order for the car to be a success, it will have to be in the same region at least.
Or be an absolute front-wheel-spinning beast capable of doing the Nurburgring in 1 minute 10 seconds.
I think at 26k it has a good chance as people not worried about badge/interior (VAG) will probably choose it over a Focus or Astra, but if it's close to 30k then the BMW and 'better' metal becomes a viable option.
If I had the choice of having a CRZ + supercharger or CRZ + saving for the new Civic I'd be in the latter camp.