Poll: Exit Poll: UK General Election 2017 - Results discussion and OcUK Exit Poll - Closing 8th July

[muon]

don't forget last year the exit polls where saying the remainers had won the referendum turned out to be nonsense.

It was within margin of error. It was effectively too close to call based on phone polls.

There was no exit poll.

 

[cm1179]

may may have shot herself in the foot here

if corbyn gets in, he'll have a panic attack

 

[Greebo]

Exit polls are never that accurate in safe seats apparently. It's the marginals were they perform best.

I thought they only polled 221 of the most important marginal seats?

 

[Captain]

may may have shot herself in the foot here

if corbyn gets in, he'll have a panic attack

So will most of us

 

[qqg3]

if corbyn gets in, he'll have a panic attack

But will he use nukes????????!?!??!?!?!

 

[Trusty]

Not at all. Im peeing myself at how much of a mess May had made.

If anyone needs lambasting it's her.

Yea, Jeremy promising the world to everyone knowing full well he won't be able to deliver, i'd say that was worse.

 

[LOAM]

First show of a swingometer!!! Yes!!!!

Looks like exit polls overestimated the remainder vote pro - labour. Verrrry interesting.

I think its probably insane to try to extrapolate an error in the error margin from two results. Once 100 are in I think we'll have a better idea. I think at the moment the exit polls have sent some shivers up some backs and talk of exit poll errors is more to do with some self reassurance.

 

[SpeedFreak]

I thought they only polled 221 of the most important marginal seats?

I heard 144 I believe earlier on 5 Live.

 

[dowie]

I still think Cons will win. Still predicting a 20 seat majority.
Even though, a disaster for May. Maybe a leadership challenge on the cards.

betting markets seem to agree with you... wonder if they're to be trusted more than exit polls... they still got Brexit and trump wrong

 

[muon]

betting markets seem to agree with you... wonder if they're to be trusted more than exit polls... they still got Brexit and trump wrong

Betting markets don't have more information than you or I. They are reacting to smaller than expected swings.

 

[neil_g]

Yea, Jeremy promising the world to everyone knowing full well he won't be able to deliver, i'd say that was worse.

Did he? Wont he?

May got delusions of grandure and had no real campaign.

 

[wildman]

pfft... that coalition was a pretty decent government tbh..

On that we can agree. I think it was one of the better balanced governments we had. Tories ****** it up for everyone though by throwing Clegg under a bus for the 2015 GE

 

[Nitefly]

Also - dimbleby has really upped his tie game compared to newsnight

 

[norm]

I'm betting Labour get >40% share of the votes.

 

[StriderX]

Jack Straw just said "weak and wobbly" Lol.

 

[muon]

I'm betting Labour get >40% share of the votes.

That would be very tough. >40% would get you more than 266 seats.

 

[LOAM]

Theres quite an odd air about the coverage imho, it seems quite damming towards May at the moment. The travesty that is the sun is already talking about Boris Johnson as PM. The knives are already out!

 

[Rilot]

I'm betting Labour get >40% share of the votes.

That would put them in government. I think that's unlikely.

 

[Rroff]

Theres quite an odd air about the coverage imho, it seems quite damming towards May at the moment. The travesty that is the sun is already talking about Boris Johnson as PM. The knives are already out!

Was just going to say looks like the knives will almost certainly come out for May within the Tories.

 

[Firestar_3x]

Theres quite an odd air about the coverage imho, it seems quite damming towards May at the moment. The travesty that is the sun is already talking about Boris Johnson as PM. The knives are already out!

No shock, more shocked that Kuenssberg isn't wearing a Red dress this time...........