Poll: General election voting intentions poll

Voting intentions in the General Election?

  • Alliance Party of Northern Ireland

    Votes: 2 0.3%

  • Conservative

    Votes: 254 41.6%

  • Democratic Unionist Party

    Votes: 1 0.2%

  • Green Party

    Votes: 40 6.5%

  • Labour

    Votes: 83 13.6%

  • Liberal Democrat

    Votes: 31 5.1%

  • Not voting/will spoil ballot

    Votes: 38 6.2%

  • Other party (not named)

    Votes: 4 0.7%

  • Plaid Cymru

    Votes: 1 0.2%

  • Respect Party

    Votes: 1 0.2%

  • Scottish National Party

    Votes: 25 4.1%

  • Social Democratic and Labour Party

    Votes: 1 0.2%

  • Sinn Fein

    Votes: 1 0.2%

  • UKIP

    Votes: 129 21.1%
  • Total voters
    611
  • Poll closed .
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Glaucus said:
As soon as he mentioned the vacuum regulations, it was clear he didn't have a clue about anything.
Click to expand...

Yea, I had to delete my initial reply to that comment while I formulated a response that was.... more....the higher levels on that debating pyramid and less the lower levels...then I realised I would be wasting my time anyway.

So keep waving those pitchforks and "they took our Jerbs Vacuum Cleaners!!!!" banners
 
Freakbro said:
Spoken like a person who has no experience of importing/exporting goods, you really think it only comes down to calculating a currency exchange? :D

Have a read of this and then come back and tell us it's no easier trading within the EU than outside of it

https://www.gov.uk/exporting-goods-from-the-eu-to-a-third-country-outside-the-eu

That's what it used to be like with every individual country within the EU, each with it's own different import laws/duties etc. It was an administrative nightmare, you obviously have no idea how the free trade agreement within the EU has simplified the matter.
Click to expand...

But those rules are down the country themselves. You don't HAVE to be part of a superstate to make agreements with other countries.

Why is so much of our trade with the US and China if it's so hard to trade with companies outside the EU?

Glaucus said:
As soon as he mentioned the vacuum regulations, it was clear he didn't have a clue about anything.
Click to expand...

Monkeynut said:
Falling into the fallacy of watts = ability to suck stuff up, I guess.
Click to expand...

Well done on missing the point guys.

Freakbro said:
Yea, I had to delete my initial reply to that comment while I formulated a response that was.... more....the higher levels on that debating pyramid and less the lower levels...then I realised I would be wasting my time anyway.
Click to expand...

You have the cheek to mention the 'debating pyramid' whilst supporting posts that deliberately miss the point of my post and digresses to the efficiency of lower wattage models? Maybe you need to check that pyramid again yourself.

My point was one of freedom. It was stated that regulatory frameworks make trade easier, it is my claim they dictate to businesses what they can and can't do so in fact do the opposite.
 
Found this results model

http://electionforecast.co.uk/

through Nate Silver's site (the guy who got the last few USA elections mostly right)

http://fivethirtyeight.com/interactives/uk-general-election-predictions/

They're suggesting (at time of writing)

287 Conservative
271 Labour
42 SNP
27 Lib Dem
<10 for the others, including 1 for UKIP.

with 90% confidence intervals too, so there's a small chance of a Tory majority, but it's very likely to be "more hung" than last time (in the sense that Con and Lab will be on a more even footing, making it even less clear who should have first go at making a coalition).

Reading the methodology is very interesting. Forecasting 1 for UKIP is especially interesting as it means a loss of at least one of their current bi-election wins.
 
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