I found this blog with some really useful analysis on Flux vs GO:
My conclusions are that:
- For small solar PV installations (<~4,000 kWh/year), the big savings from using the night time electricity on GO outweigh the gains from exporting electricity at a good price.
- For large solar PV installations (>~6,000 kWh/year), this situation is reversed: The savings from using the night time electricity on GO are outweighed by the gains from exporting electricity on the FLUX tariff.
- For medium-sized solar PV installations, the two tariffs have similar costs.
Click on Image for a larger version. Estimates of the annual cost of electricity on the Octopus Go and Octopus FLUX tariffs as a function of the amount of solar generation. This applies to my household – see text for details – and assumes a 13.5 kWh storage battery.
[There is a follow up article to this one with a better spreadsheet available here] Friends, I have struggled to write this article. As you may have noticed, it has taken weeks. I started writing a…
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Yes although thats a good base point your own usage needs to be factored in as well.
Unless your going to put effort to min max the use cases will vary.
Oh and the actual controls of your system to allow easiest and best usage of Flux.
Go is easy you only have two periods to worry about. Flux is more complicated and you need to be able to control it a little more.
My system for example could fully discharge the batteries in little over 1.5 hours on a dark day, on a good day my generation even 4-7 can be getting close to my max discharge rate so the rate i could afford to discharge at would be max, dark day shoudl probably retain a chunk to ensure the 3 hours are 100% non import.
The other thing is, for the majority even with a large array Flux will suck over the winter.
I would for sure be generating a profit on Flux right now on many days, but the bad days will be bleh.
So I think many will look to switch away from Flux in winter. Now Octopus say you can switch smart tariffs any time, but they also are supposed to have a cooling off period.
It should be noted that they may gatekeep Go more now. I would not assume that unless you meet the criteria you can 100% get back onto it should you leave it.
Other tariffs are ok as well though, Eco 7 with the wider lower unit cost window is not bad for winter as well.
But my and most people who I have seen analyse it come to the conclusion that both are very good tariffs. Flux will potentially make you money in summer but will cost more in winter.