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Intel has a Pretty Big Problem..

Soldato
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Competitive-ish right at the end of a Zen product cycle with a 50% failure rate.

If you had the choice of buying AM5 and whatever Intels latest socket is and didn’t pick AM5, you made the wrong choice.

I am actually on AM4, and am talking purely about performance. I am not taking anything into account like power envelope or (almost certainly not as high as 50%) failure rates.

Plus these things are recent, not over the last decade.
 
Soldato
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I am actually on AM4, and am talking purely about performance. I am not taking anything into account like power envelope or (almost certainly not as high as 50%) failure rates.

Plus these things are recent, not over the last decade.

It’s hard to say what these failures will look like, as by this point in time these parts should be well into most stable part of the bell curve with minimal premature failure rates. I think over time this issue could become worse.
 
Man of Honour
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We don't really know what the ultimate failure rate is yet aside from not being zero - it could be anywhere from point something of a percent through to 100%. There are a fair few forum posts from people with 13th or 14th gen i9 issues but only a subset have details which largely confirm as being this problem specifically and those reports in reality are a tiny number compared to the number of i9 CPUs sold - though that doesn't mean other people aren't suffering from crashes and either living with it or simply replacing or returning the CPU, etc. and a tiny number of individual cases of i7s which may be this issue. Then there is a mix of companies from suppliers to end users with large setups reporting anything from very low to very high failure rates, which could be explained as being a batch related problem maybe, or a difference in use case being more or less likely to expose the issue and so on.
 
Last edited:
Soldato
Joined
28 May 2007
Posts
18,641
We don't really know what the ultimate failure rate is yet aside from not being zero - it could be anywhere from point something of a percent through to 100%. There are a fair few forum posts from people with 13th or 14th gen i9 issues but only a subset have details which largely confirm as being this problem specifically and those reports in reality are a tiny number compared to the number of i9 CPUs sold - though that doesn't mean other people aren't suffering from crashes and either living with it or simply replacing or returning the CPU, etc. and a tiny number of individual cases of i7s which may be this issue. Then there is a mix of companies from suppliers to end users with large setups reporting anything from very low to very high failure rates, which could be explained as being a batch related problem maybe, or a difference in use case being more or less likely to expose the issue and so on.

We can deduce with some certainty that these failures are going to become worse over time. Intels failure bell curve seems upside down.
 
Man of Honour
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We can deduce with some certainty that these failures are going to become worse over time. Intels failure bell curve seems upside down.

To a degree but it still isn't known exactly what is going on and whether limited to certain batches or not. One SI for example is saying they've not (so far) seen degradation with systems built near release but a certain number of those were faulty out the box and the replacement CPUs are the ones which have been degrading.
 
Soldato
Joined
28 May 2007
Posts
18,641
To a degree but it still isn't known exactly what is going on and whether limited to certain batches or not. One SI for example is saying they've not (so far) seen degradation with systems built near release but a certain number of those were faulty out the box and the replacement CPUs are the ones which have been degrading.

This issue is spanning three generations and all parts seem effected to some degree. Power use (essentially frequency) seems to have a statistically significant impact and is being used as a mitigation strategy to prolong life span or regain stability but seems a temporary fix. Considering the power use of these chips some operators may have already deployed this mitigation to reduce opex.

I’d say Intel have more than a single issue to resolve plus all the pending issues. If any of what we’re dropping another node clanger then it’s going to be a big problem for the whole industry.
 
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