Soldato
(pulled from another forum)
If you are waiting for prices to go down to HDD prices, it NEVER will. The modern day NAND cell cannot scale down in size to match the prices of HDDs of several years ago let along where they will be in several years. I've done the math, I work at Micron so I see numbers/wafer costs, and we will run into Lithography limits well before we get anywhere close to today's HDD $/Gb. Some might say, MLC/3LC/4LC/etc but ECC and the read/write performance hit will not make it feasible let alone the very much reduced cycling.
For SSDs of some sort to compete with HDDs, SSDs will need to store data in some other technology than todays floating gate transistor stack. Maybe some sort of technology storing the state on the rotation of the spinning election, only then will silicon SSDs be able to get down to the mainstream costs of HDDs.
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If you are waiting for prices to go down to HDD prices, it NEVER will. The modern day NAND cell cannot scale down in size to match the prices of HDDs of several years ago let along where they will be in several years. I've done the math, I work at Micron so I see numbers/wafer costs, and we will run into Lithography limits well before we get anywhere close to today's HDD $/Gb. Some might say, MLC/3LC/4LC/etc but ECC and the read/write performance hit will not make it feasible let alone the very much reduced cycling.
For SSDs of some sort to compete with HDDs, SSDs will need to store data in some other technology than todays floating gate transistor stack. Maybe some sort of technology storing the state on the rotation of the spinning election, only then will silicon SSDs be able to get down to the mainstream costs of HDDs.
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