The motor insurance market is cyclical in nature, prices go up, car insurers actually make money for a year or two, prices go down as we fight over customers, we lose money for a year or two, rinse, repeat. The only thing that was a bit abnormal is the 'up' trend of the last two years was much sharper than you traditionally see, mainly driven by repair inflation.
With the positive news on the Ogden rate ruling, and the fact that everybody had a good year last year to build their war chests, all market analysts expect a general softening this year. Depending on which of the analysts you ask, it'll be somewhere between 5%-10% over the year.