Because memory has been a commodity for quite some time, its pricing will work in cycles. Those who play with commodities use this cyclical movement to make a killing. Gambling works better when you’ve nailed down as many cyclical movement “indicators” as possible. It’s like the alignment of the planets. Unless you are into the memory price game big time, you’ll won’t know enough of the nuances that affect prices or else every TD&H will be rolling in money. Such cyclicals, when tracked and back-tested over, say, 15 years, should give the “big-time dabbler” a high-ish [60-75%] chance of success every time he plays the options. This year, it’s been different and Vista is a possible “indicator” that was not there in previous years and won’t be again for quite sometime, if ever, should MS’s wet dreams of achieving a perpetual income scheme to licensing OS comes to fruition.
In the buying game, always buy when you need it, not should you need it, unless you are a spectulator and prices then will have very little to do with your decision because then, you are out of the cycle of screwing and be screwed. If everyone does that, speculation in just about anything, will be at a minimum and people can then enjoy their lives as Nature intended, not as “entreprenuers” dictate. A pat on the back for Gibbo/Spie and Crucial’s “involuntary discharge” has nothing to do with any excuse other than “market forces”.
