Intel haven't said this will manifest itself over time, they've said 5-15% will end up failed after several years. The problem is, that figure will include the fact that the vast majority of systems only use a single hdd and a single optical drive, and never use the sata 2 ports.
This is frankly a simple design flaw, its not a failure rate thats slightly above normal, its a fault by design in every single chip. Considering probably less than 20% of systems use more than 2 drives, and they are predicting 5-15% will fail, with the 10% being a HUGE margin of error, thats almost certainly down to the simple fact they can't tell how many people will use more than 2 drives.
Considering the fault is from this transistor having ANY voltage applied and it always has voltage applied, even when the sata 2 is not in use, basically the chipset will have a 100% failure rate, however, only 5-15% of people will actually notice the failure rate, as it doesn't stop the entire chipset working but only the sata 2.
Intel WILL offer to replace every single last board, they can't do anything else, and you'd be mad not to take them up on it for the simple reason that even if you don't use the sata 2 ports, if/when you sell the mobo on, other people likely will and so resale value will be utter crap, when you can get a replacement for free.