Vettel has a great track record when he starts from pole position. When Button beat Vettel (when Vettel was on pole), Button had a faster race car. On this occassion, Red Bull appear to have the faster race car.
My money would be on Vettel...unless Hamilton can do something VERY special.
Well yeah, my money is on the outsider as you can never rule him out. Both guys are new to the circuit too remember, just I feel Hamilton has less pressure and nothing to lose really. KERS won't be much of an advatage through the race, but could make things interesting to the first corner, there's a fair run down there though not really a stop until the second corner.