Taiwan and China thread.

Unless China changes direction there is going to be a confrontation at some point. I think this Russia/Ukraine is an experiment, to see if the West can drain a country without physically fighting it. It's not really working.

Problem is the West isn't willing to take the upfront short term costs for the longer term effect. Mobilising civilian workforces, etc. and combining budgets to alleviate things like the gas situation.
 
A lot of this as to do with the semiconductor industry, which Taiwan is a leading player.

China is trying to get a monoply on all the precious metals on earth.

Unless China changes direction there is going to be a confrontation at some point. I think this Russia/Ukraine is an experiment, to see if the West can drain a country without physically fighting it. It's not really working.
Some of that might have a small bearing but ultimately it comes down to the One China rule https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/One_China

This has been bubbling for a long time, lets hope the US deliberately ambiguous agreement to help Taiwan defend itself holds up. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Taiwan_Relations_Act
 
Unless China changes direction there is going to be a confrontation at some point. I think this Russia/Ukraine is an experiment, to see if the West can drain a country without physically fighting it. It's not really working.
seems like it's draining the whole of the EU and people will only blame Russia for so long before they start to turn on their leaders and representatives who put everyone in a silly situation of energy reliance from an enemy state int he first place.
must be creating a nice atmosphere within the EU of solidarity ;) especially when some places are refusing to cut back
 
seems like it's draining the whole of the EU and people will only blame Russia for so long before they start to turn on their leaders and representatives who put everyone in a silly situation of energy reliance from an enemy state int he first place.
must be creating a nice atmosphere within the EU of solidarity ;) especially when some places are refusing to cut back

The EU always claimed solidarity but Merkel wanted solidarity with Russia too.
 
She just made China look like they have a limp sausage, trolling level 1,000 !

I bet poo is having a fit of epic proportions right about now!
 
She just made China look like they have a limp sausage, trolling level 1,000 !

I bet poo is having a fit of epic proportions right about now!

Next few days things are gonna be a bit precarious IMO potentially precipitating a full blown crisis depending on how China decides to respond. Xi may feel like there is no choice but to escalate due to the risk of appearing weakened by the situation.
 
Looks more like a military build up like Putin’s special military operation/exercise/war…

Can't see China having much success with what they've assembled so far - the Naval forces alone couldn't do much, amphibious warfare capabilities just aren't there vs an opposed landing let alone the ability to transfer a lot of the heavier equipment and artillery systems which won't do much good from the mainland. Never mind the airbases to support the tempo of operations required.

They could try to suffocate Taiwan long and slow though by kicking off a disruptive military campaign against them rather than a decisive one.

EDIT: If they continue to build up longer range missile forces though in the Fujian region that is only for one reason though.
 
Next few days things are gonna be a bit precarious IMO potentially precipitating a full blown crisis depending on how China decides to respond. Xi may feel like there is no choice but to escalate due to the risk of appearing weakened by the situation.

Not so sure, they have to realise the massive economic consequences of attempting it, they will have even more people at home questioning the status quo when the economy tanks due to western countries pulling out and sanctions.

The cost in Chinese military lives attempting that crossing will be imense.
 
They are an island and China have one of if not the biggest navy in the World. They could isolate them nothing gets in or out.

Big, not better, not by a looooong way.

Also Taiwan has anti ship missiles probably lots and lots of them and an airforce that isn't equipped with russian knock offs, they will make a blockade tricky at best.
 
I guess these islands could be the canary in the coal mine so to speak, they're so close to the Chinese mainland:

qkdFaA8.jpg

Taiwan probably should be part of China anyway. It was originally and was only created by an offshoot of Chinese officials post 2nd world war.

It probably shouldn't, they've developed far better as an independent country without China. They were a Japanese dependency for about 50 or so years until the end of WW2, they'd be better as part of Japan than as part of China.
 
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