The disappearance of Nicola Bulley

Most logical idea is fell into water heavy clothes cold shock and possible head injury would have the body submerged and tidal river flow takes her out to sea.
The abduction idea is within a 20 minute ish window. To boof her over the head. I guess she would weigh 70 to 80 kilos. That has to be carried to a transport point. Add in the dog not following etc and remaining riverside.
And no one seeing anyone with a large bag, a carpet or a body over their shoulder.
Also it was said she repeated this routine many many times which would mean only someone local would know she walks the dogs at this time. Would work out others walking dogs. Would realise their is 20 ish minute window. And after considerable study and stalking boom go for it.
Not entirely impossible but hmmmmmm. You are still talking about subduing an adult of 70 to 80 kilos and carting them away.
The third idea is some fraud or financial scam or life insurance that has been pre arranged and the timing and the spot has been well planned and put together over some time and carefully planned.
 
ChrispyKarma said:
Most logical idea is fell into water heavy clothes cold shock and possible head injury would have the body submerged and tidal river flow takes her out to sea.
The abduction idea is within a 20 minute ish window. To boof her over the head. I guess she would weigh 70 to 80 kilos. That has to be carried to a transport point. Add in the dog not following etc and remaining riverside.
And no one seeing anyone with a large bag, a carpet or a body over their shoulder.
Also it was said she repeated this routine many many times which would mean only someone local would know she walks the dogs at this time. Would work out others walking dogs. Would realise their is 20 ish minute window. And after considerable study and stalking boom go for it.
Not entirely impossible but hmmmmmm. You are still talking about subduing an adult of 70 to 80 kilos and carting them away.
The third idea is some fraud or financial scam or life insurance that has been pre arranged and the timing and the spot has been well planned and put together over some time and carefully planned.
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I don't buy the abduction at all. There is no way a criminal would attempt an abduction in a field full of dog walkers. The chances of being seen were just too great.

I'm not sure whether she could have fallen in the river or not. It does seem very strange that no one saw or can find a body. Having said that, such things have certainly happened before, without the body ever being found - it just seems unlikely.

The Sherlock homes in me tends to favour that this was staged. What better place to disappear? The one problem with this is that we (the public) don't know in which direction she was travelling when she was last seen and where everyone else was located. That information may preclude an escape to the nearby estate road.
 
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