It would be hard not to make her look evil.
The next Conservative Leader thread.
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It would be hard not to make her look evil.
Soldato
![[FnG]magnolia](/styles/overclockers/avatars/9.png){kind=avatar}
Caporegime
Caporegime
The Lib Dems are having fun with their 404 page.
TBH I can't see calls for an election gathering steam. Yes, we probably should have one. But the Tories won't want one - they have power. Labour don't want one - too much infighting. The Lib Dems would love one, but they have too small a voice. The Scots have just had one, and UKIP are leaderless and directionless. I guess the Greens would be up for it? So nine MPs, plus a few outliers and rebels, would be in favour of holding a GE (actually, maybe 10+ as Douglas Carswell could escape UKIP if we had an election).
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Caporegime
Labour will call for one, because they know it is politically damaging for Theresa May not to have one, despite the fact that Brown behaved in exactly the same way in 2007 and that there is arguably more reason to hold one now than there was then.
I don't see the Tories calling one though, not a lot of chance of gain, a lot of risk of harm and - as it is - they've got four years of power to lose. However, if Labour really does split, they might well call when and enjoy an extra 50-60 seats as a result.
I'm not convinced. I expect this spat over the Labour leadership to carry on for the rest of the year, leaving Labour incapable of doing much. I can't see it resolving itself peacefully unless Corbyn loses the ballot (highly unlikely). If Corbyn wins, expect defections, resignations and reselections. If he's kept off the ballot, a legal challenge, ground-up rebellions within CLPs from the influx of new members, and possibly a split in to two parties (with at least some of the Unions following Corbyn out).
If Corbyn calls for a General Election, it will be an empty call, based on the assumption that the Tories will oppose the idea, rather than because Labour is ready to fight an election.
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[FnG]magnolia;29771372 said:
have you seen this site:
Don't do that. Gilly.
maybe, but they'll do that with any politician with a dodgy look
Jack Straw looks a bit like the Daemon Headmaster (kids TV program)
pound is up again today
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/artic...-for-third-day-as-may-prepares-to-take-office
(for people who seem to be interested in short term movements)
(disclaimer before anyone decides to attack a perceived/imaginary personal view - this is a comment, it is simply a factual comment and you are welcome to comment on it with your own arbitrary facts, however I'm not putting forth a personal view in commenting on this and as far as my personal view is concerned I wouldn't be too confident in further gains unless we start getting warm noises from Brussels and/or May saying things they want to hear... since there is a likely rate cut coming soon. I'm simply commenting on today's move. I'm also aware of where it was previously and have seen charts etc..etc..)
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/artic...-for-third-day-as-may-prepares-to-take-office
(for people who seem to be interested in short term movements)
(disclaimer before anyone decides to attack a perceived/imaginary personal view - this is a comment, it is simply a factual comment and you are welcome to comment on it with your own arbitrary facts, however I'm not putting forth a personal view in commenting on this and as far as my personal view is concerned I wouldn't be too confident in further gains unless we start getting warm noises from Brussels and/or May saying things they want to hear... since there is a likely rate cut coming soon. I'm simply commenting on today's move. I'm also aware of where it was previously and have seen charts etc..etc..)
Soldato
pound is up again today
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/artic...-for-third-day-as-may-prepares-to-take-office
(for people who seem to be interested in short term movements)
(disclaimer before anyone decides to attack a perceived/imaginary personal view - this is a comment, it is simply a factual comment and you are welcome to comment on it with your own arbitrary facts, however I'm not putting forth a personal view in commenting on this and as far as my personal view is concerned I wouldn't be too confident in further gains unless we start getting warm noises from Brussels and/or May saying things they want to hear... since there is a likely rate cut coming soon. I'm simply commenting on today's move. I'm also aware of where it was previously and have seen charts etc..etc..)
what do you think they are betting on ? Soft exit (EEA) of full out ?
Agreed. Although we will never know now, I wonder if Leadsom had won, whether the exchange rate would have dropped further?
I wouldn't like to guess too much, I think the important thing is simply that the uncertainty of who the leader will be is over + it is someone who is not Leadsom!
It is only a small move upwards in the grand scheme of things and it generally isn't a good idea to assign a narrative to the market as a whole beyond simply observing that there seems to have been a reaction to that particular news event.Obviously I think some sort of EEA- or Canadian deal is considered more likely under May.
I agree. From Labour's point of view, the last thing they need is a general election. All that would do is shine a massive spotlight on their vast internal divisions, and see them throw even more bricks at each other (just like they already have done, at Angela Eagle's constituency office yesterday). Left-Wing violence and thuggishness. Therefore the call for a general election from Labour is a bit daft because it is so hollow. The Lib Dems want an election also? Remind me, who are they again?
Man of Honour
This thread has run its course.
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