Poll: The official I voted/election results thread

[Judgeneo]

UKIP ahead of PC in Wales there

 

[thenewoc]

Be interesting if they had the predicted share of the vote for each seat in relation to that exit poll.

 

[Azza]

Ouch at the LD curb stomping - can't agree with them completely selling out/entirely deserving it though.

As someone said either it looks very much like people have thought, "FU Lib Dems, let's take my vote to the Cons after you didn't hold a backbone". Strange mentality, imo.

 

[Stretch]

That's not surprising is it? Aren't LD and their supporters sitting right in between the narrow gap between Conservatives and Labour?

So actually people are leaving the Lib Dems because they weren't Tory enough?

The accusation during the campaign was that the Lib Dems would be punished for dropping manifesto commitments they were forced to drop by the Tory's during coalition negotiations.

 

[Dark Light]

Sky Bet odds for a Conservative majority 7/4, I think it was 14/1 at 21:59.

 

[cu3ed]

BBC really have gone all out on this lol .

 

[Azza]

UKIP ahead of PC in Wales there

To be fair there's a lot of Poles and other eastern Europeans in Wrexham so it's not that surprising.

 

[George Hincapie]

I don't understand the Lib Dem collapse. People seem to be saying were not voting for you because you gave too much ground in the coalition, and sold out your principles.

So we'll vote Conservative instead.

It is probably Conservative voters who were misled by voting for him last time realising their error and returning to the flock.

 

[muon]

So actually people are leaving the Lib Dems because they weren't Tory enough?

The accusation during the campaign was that the Lib Dems would be punished for dropping manifesto commitments they were forced to drop by the Tory's during coalition negotiations.

The people that care about the more progressive measures and a less austere government budget would vote Labour. Other LD supporters are probably just disenchanted with LD or even voting tactically to avoid a Labour government (potentially propped up by SNP).

 

[Rosbif]

You know its bad for Labour when people start referencing Michael Foot.

 

[dunker]

how is an exit poll of only 22k peeps even relevant? umm it is'nt, rubbish exit poll imo.

 

[foster grant]

I want a free dog

 

[Glaucus]

It's a shame LD are getting a kicking as pretty much every other party is way to authoritarian.

 

[Jono8]

how is an exit poll of only 22k peeps even relevant? umm it is'nt, rubbish exit poll imo.

It was bang on (pretty much) the last two times.

 

[dl8860]

how is an exit poll of only 22k peeps even relevant? umm it is'nt, rubbish exit poll imo.

It turned out to be pretty accurate last time. Time will tell, but results so far do support it

 

[McBain]

how is an exit poll of only 22k peeps even relevant? umm it is'nt, rubbish exit poll imo.

....

 

[muon]

how is an exit poll of only 22k peeps even relevant? umm it is'nt, rubbish exit poll imo.

It's not only that which makes it something to be taken carefully.

A lot of those 22,000 votes will be in seats which I could have predicted anyway.

So there are even fewer covering the marginal seats. An exit poll being correct in one seat doesn't automatically mean another exit poll elsewhere will be correct.

 

[dunker]

but how? the last two times i guess were similar numbers? so how does that represent millions?

 

[muon]

It's how probabilities and variances work.

If you toss a coin, me being correct on any single toss is 50%.

However, over 100 tosses I can be more certain in predicting say 45-55 heads.

 

[dunker]

but still, very interesting evening, morning and day heh and, byebye cleggy awww