Poll: The official I voted/election results thread

[dl8860]

Jeremy Vine is a genius, obviously a lot of credit due to the graphics wiz's behind his features too. That liberal house of cards was amazing!

 

[mattyfez]

Do you even politics bro?

They see me rollin...

 

[Glaucus]

They haven't done true random sampling though. They have picked 140 polling stations.

I can imagine there are strong biases by polling station due to the demographics and affluence of the surrounding area. You'd like to think those biases are minimal.

just because it's 140 polling stations doesn't mean it's bias. Surveys like the people dint have to account for all. as long as the 140 selected are of a suitably diverse nature.

This doesn't mean it's right. The probabilities though make it likely.
And so far exit poll have followed what we've seen much more than pre voting surveys.

 

[George Hincapie]

Surely they're are just happy to take your money. Nothing to do with generosity.

It's a saving of over 40% over standard cost. They don't have to do that; I think it is.

 

[Azza]

Lib Dems, go straight to jail, do not pass go, do not collect your £500.

 

[eddiemcgarrigle]

Looking like Jim Murphy is losing due to a 34% swing to the SNP.

 

[GreatAuk]

Haha BBC actually showing a house of cards for the Lib Dems

 

[muon]

Labour haven't gained Nuneaton, a target seat which actually matters.

 

[Jono8]

lol, Labour.

 

[jas72]

This house of Lib Dem cards!

Lol

 

[dunker]

so, scotland voted "no" to leave UK, but was'nt that Alex Salmon? and Nicola Sturgon took over from him? now majority of Scotland are voting for SNP? i'm prolly just making an error here due to execess wine but going on the exit poll thing, Scotland wanna leave?

 

[jas72]

Looking like Jim Murphy is losing due to a 34% swing to the SNP.

great news

 

[muon]

just because it's 140 polling stations doesn't mean it's bias. Surveys like the people dint have to account for all. as long as the 140 selected are of a suitably diverse nature.

This doesn't mean it's right. The probabilities though make it likely.
And so far exit poll have followed what we've seen much more than pre voting surveys.

Well if they are looking at 140 seats. That's only one poling station per seat from which you extrapolate for the entire seat.

On average that is 157 votes per seat you are using to predict very marginal seats. I think the uncertainty is high at a seat by seat level.

Most of the certainty comes from aggregating back up to a national level.

 

[robfosters]

Didn't even get close to Nuneaton.

 

[George Hincapie]

That fella needs a haircut and a new suit.

 

[Azza]

pffffffft bed time it is then?

 

[Mason-]

Well, UKIP are getting a lot of votes, but will they get any seats?

 

[Glaucus]

so, scotland voted "no" to leave UK, but was'nt that Alex Salmon? and Nicola Sturgon took over from him? now majority of Scotland are voting for SNP? i'm prolly just making an error here due to execess wine but going on the exit thing, Scotland wanna leave?

Well it was an extremely close call on referendum.
On top of that just because some don't want to leave doesn't mean they don't want more. It is no surprise at all SNP are predicted to do so well.

 

[Rroff]

Wait there is actually a "Cannabis Is Safer Than Alcohol" party? how did I miss this before? :S

 

[Terminal_Boy]

Haha BBC actually showing a house of cards for the Lib Dems

LD's getting bummed to death in every result.