Why is Intel fine, I heard chip sales to china is being restricted or something ? Not sure how that would work as the sales will just go indirectly. I had taken off 99% of XLK as something minor but most of this is gloom, wait and see market action. Do we get 20% inflation, sounds bonkers
I sold some PSX and CHK but starting to think I should have at least halved any hold for XLE as it was doing too well to last I guess
FTSE wont vary on whoever the next PM is, I dont see that. IF they did anything useful of note, sure it could matter in time. Most of politics is how much harm and cost are they causing, who is least worst & we can at least reverse back prior mistakes with a new face
Long GBP/USD @ 1.165 target 1.4 by June 23
Big call by OP FOREX is really hard, USD isnt just Dollar, its calling out the YEN and EURO which are inverse to its strength. Hard to say, Bank of Japan has big problems fairly sure. I do think BOE raises rates higher then FED because 25% of our debt is linked to inflation, no high principle it just would cost us more not to do so.
Im thinking we have to find the fate of Germany in the bleak of winter are they unable to manufacture, export hence weak EURO strong USD; if its all overdone negative sentiment vs a less worse reality then be bullish
So don't be overweight UK stocks in your portfolio, most of us already have significant UK exposure with houses and other assets. World trackers are about 4% UK exposure, that's enough for me.
a lot of UK stocks arent UK stocks. FRES is largest silver miner in the world, none of the revenue is UK its more Dollar, Mexico etc. BP isnt actually British Petroleum, has not been for decades. Can someone go through every company and say how much is actually UK and what sector but I think FT250 is the UK index with RMG ; even that isnt all UK afaik
World tracker I think has too much bias to USA. Does it include ARMCO and a lot of other giant non USA business is not listed, the gov controls them but sure world GDP should grow. Its why I dont hate tech, they are involved with global growth and something smaller like retail may be strung up in red tape and anti competitiveness but tech is more liquid and demand driven then bricks and mortar assets I guess imo. IF its valid and efficient then I anticipate 5 year growth from here (vs weak currency standards GBP EURO USD YEN)