Trading the stockmarket (NO Referrals)

"Buying high and selling low never appealed to me"
I'm with you there, surprising how hard it is to actually achieve. I'm looking at the US tech sector and wondering where the dip actually is, is this it ? or is this just a blip with further downside to come ?
Bound to be a dead cat bounce today for day traders.

Unless you are old you should welcome a market crash and the chance to hoover up cheap shares as they don't come around all that often. Nobody really knows what will happen of course but history shows markets can fall a lot more than they have so far.

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US/UK governments need to take more money out the economy to stem inflation, the result is obviously a slowdown. As markets are forward thinking you need to figure out what the economy is doing in 6 months. Mid 2023 will see a relaxing of inflation and interest rate rises, economic growth will kick in a few months later.

Everything you read in the UK media is backward thinking and just noise, try and read Goldman Sachs economic forecasts as they are the best in the business.

tl;dr buy second quarter 2023
 
Adobe just plummeted 13.80% and is now back to pre pandemic levels

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google says they have an upcoming earnings call but they already released the earnings report



Soo tempted to buy but something tells me the stock markets going to get nasty real soon
 
Paid a good chunk of the mortgage off.
Felt stupid having so much cash waiting and waiting gathering zero interest... for something that's not going to happen for a "good" time....
It's all relative to each of us individually but to me seems sensible given how my new fixed rate will be come renewal next year.
 
Paid a good chunk of the mortgage off.
Felt stupid having so much cash waiting and waiting gathering zero interest... for something that's not going to happen for a "good" time....
It's all relative to each of us individually but to me seems sensible given how my new fixed rate will be come renewal next year.

There is something to be said about certainties vs hypotheticals for sure. I am always torn between investing money and paying off the mortgage as it would be really nice to be mortgage free before I'm 40. Even though I know the smart move is to invest, that stability and QoL that having no mortgage can offer is very tempting.
 
Well the bear market has resumed, Dow hit a new 52week low today, Nasdaq and S&P500 are close. Wonder how low we go.

I personally think we are close to the bottom for this bear run (depending on what happens in China) but we will see further pumps and dumps till next year sometime.

Not financial advice :D
 
well I have a quite heavy UK bias ,the speed that sterling crashed was scary ,my vwrl took the sting out a little with a decent rise on the dollar strength ,but injecting cash into the economy while trying to cool with interest rate rises ? Someone on the news said it's like digging a hole and using the soil to fill it back up again
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Kwarteng is in desperate need of an eye test but I expect nothing more from a bunch of clowns who are now in a position to add more fuel to the fire:



Expect more aggressive stance from BoE in regards to rate hikes
 
well I have a quite heavy UK bias ,the speed that sterling crashed was scary ,my vwrl took the sting out a little with a decent rise on the dollar strength ,but injecting cash into the economy while trying to cool with interest rate rises ? Someone on the news said it's like digging a hole and using the soil to fill it back up again
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Thing is, the pound going lower circa 20% has propped up UK investors portfolios while the US has seen big falls. When the stock market reverses and the pound with it UK investors will not see the gains they think they will unless they move to GBP hedged investments. Timing will be everything.
 
Kwarteng is in desperate need of an eye test but I expect nothing more from a bunch of clowns who are now in a position to add more fuel to the fire:

Everyone wants tax cuts, until you realise that those cuts benefit the rich more than the poor, then there's outrage...
 
Forex isnt clear as they arent earning in sterling often. The companies themselves often report earnings in Dollars and also even dividends before it gets through the exchange rate to here. a lot of business in London is global, we are quite lucky

I have a short Yen on one fund, sadly I think they are long GBP for the cross :o
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pound going lower circa 20% has propped up UK investors
So Friday we lost 5.54% adding both losses together and SP500 is showing -1.72%. Its hard to compare the two, EWU is FT100 etf dollar quote but its also triple the yield and thats part of returns so to compare would need the chart for total returns inclusive etc.


Glad I sold XLE but also I think not too early to nibble oil, FTSE probably anything with decent cashflow is ok despite storm clouds and markets running for cover. Do you really want to hold cash to any great extent lol

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Bond value being far larger then shares, a reduction in total value is probably quite significant. Feeds price elsewhere, I did always think this would happen ~ the unwind to QE
 
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Currently mostly in US tech which has been nicely cushioned by the sterling collapse. Don't really want to sell until things start to recover next year, but on the other hand, at some point it's going to make sense to move back into more UK assets to actually make anything of the FX moves.

I think the wisest thing is probably just pile as much as possible into a spread of funds in my SIPP and not think about it too much!
 
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