Trading the stockmarket (NO Referrals)

Europe basically banned from US travel, Spain about to enter lockdown. The only positive is a slow, methodical improvement in Asia, but the risk of re-epidemic is severe.

If it still goes up then i'm just going to be confused perennially with how people assess risk.
 
I'm assuming when people topped up their funds/accounts after 2008, they did pretty well?

Working how much should I top up my vanguard S/S ISA given the recent crashes. Is there a general rule of thumb about topping up, eg. when/how much.
 
Probably a fine rule is make a five year plan and dont alter it because the market throws up a lot of dirt and noise. This is extraordinary interference both negative news, near war with Iran flipped over to the massive glut possible after natural disaster.
To some extent negatives are naturally occuring, they are the norm so I'd say carry on as normal and regular investment is the more rational route then many manage, somehow the market makes people sell at the worst times or buy but a regular buy can be superior.
Add on the central banks 'stimulus' is also muddying the waters, people imagine its for the good but the QE is never reversed. Its very likely this leads to instability imo, I imagine its cash which is destroyed because central banks operate their own version of OPEC on that. Its a fake system but easy to stray into politics discussing that, economics has been eclipsed.


Anyhow I was going to post this even though I dont think people like the chart talk and some guy who just wants to sell a service etc. Point is he calls a bottom which I think its totally reasonable to state as a possibility (also its quite succinct for once), I think the info is fine by itself well timed on a weekend to consider & ignore adverts unless you are an active trader.

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Tomorrow morning is going to be a dumpster fire, given what the U.S. have done over the weekend, and basically the whole of Europe closed, and the UK approaching the same fate I can see another 7-10% drop maybe a little more if the US markets open and the Dow loses 2000+ points it regained.
 
Still more to come as well, and it's not absolutely over until a near totality has vaccines in their arm. Though that's almost certainly going to be irrelevant at some point, we're looking at 6 months to a year of instability, I'd say.
 
StriderX said:
Still more to come as well, and it's not absolutely over until a near totality has vaccines in their arm. Though that's almost certainly going to be irrelevant at some point, we're looking at 6 months to a year of instability, I'd say.
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How are you managing your portfolio/investment strategy to mitigate? I'd already moved a lot of my investments out to raw cash waiting for something to happen as I had such a good run on TSLA early in the year, as well as a couple of others.

I'm currently waiting until things start moving up before I jump back in since guessing the bottom has never been a skill of mine, it's usually just dumb luck. Although I am sorely tempted to grab some AMD while the markets are in this much flux.
 
Journey said:
How are you managing your portfolio/investment strategy to mitigate? I'd already moved a lot of my investments out to raw cash waiting for something to happen as I had such a good run on TSLA early in the year, as well as a couple of others.

I'm currently waiting until things start moving up before I jump back in since guessing the bottom has never been a skill of mine, it's usually just dumb luck. Although I am sorely tempted to grab some AMD while the markets are in this much flux.
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Check out Zoom (ZM)

I never got rid of my position in it because i thought Covid might help it, that seems to be playing out, it's hardy taken a knock compared to the rest of the market.

Seems to be in a standard accumulation zone, $105 to $115. Next target will be $140 to $150
 
Journey said:
Tomorrow morning is going to be a dumpster fire, given what the U.S. have done over the weekend, and basically the whole of Europe closed, and the UK approaching the same fate I can see another 7-10% drop maybe a little more if the US markets open and the Dow loses 2000+ points it regained.
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Yeah, 22k needs to hold, if it doesn't, then it'll make a new low. If 22k holds tomorrow, then it'll have a couple of attempts at 24k, if it doesn't break 24k, then it'll make a new low later in the week, maybe friday..
 
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triggerthat said:
I'm assuming when people topped up their funds/accounts after 2008, they did pretty well?

Working how much should I top up my vanguard S/S ISA given the recent crashes. Is there a general rule of thumb about topping up, eg. when/how much.
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How much is your vanguard down?
I think I'm down a massively fluctuating amount, due to recent opening.
It had been up 6 or 7%, now its down -12.5%.
If i can scrounge together some more I'll dump into it, but not for several weeks.
 
So having never invested in the stock market I decided to go in recently.

Here is my experience.

First was a stocks and shares ISA. On 03.03.20 I took up bought into various Index funds around the world. This is currently down 11.57%.

Next was a mix of funds and shares in a few companies. This is currently down 14%.

My plan is to wait until the new tax year then to bed and ISA the funds and keep the shares.

I will then use any capital loss to offset CGT on any gains on the shares in the future.

The old adage time in the market vs timing the market lol.
 
US cutting interest rate to zero pretty much and stimulus... great, god help the world if this doesn't work.

Which it wont long term as the banks will once again put it on junky bonds, I wonder how long this will stave off the domino of corporate overexposure.

Where the hell is the fiscal policy?
 
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StriderX said:
US cutting interest rate to zero pretty much and stimulus... great, god help the world if this doesn't work.

Which it wont long term as the banks will once again put it on junky bonds, I wonder how long this will stave off the domino of corporate overexposure.

Where the hell is the fiscal policy?
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What i don't get, is that this is not going to make the virus go away. Countries are on lock down and many industries (ie travel/tourism/entertainment) are going to be decimated.
 
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