Soldato
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Ukraine Invasion - Please do not post videos showing attacks/similar
- Thread starter areksnumbr1sxylady
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So, basically Russia is now trying to justify potentially declaring war on Ukraine, in response to attacks it alleges Ukraine made, against a Russian occupied part of Moldova >.>
*EDIT*
Just when you thought Russia's supplies/equipment farce couldn't get any more comical, numerous higher definition (or at least less blurry) pictures are now appearing of some of the vehicles with failed tyres:
That's a "MADE IN USSR" marking, which means one of three things:
(1) This tyre was sat in a warehouse for over 30 years prior to this invasion and they had to use it due to their shortages.
(2) It's one that was exported to China/India over 30 years ago that got imported back due to their shortage.
(3) It was the vehicles spare and nobody thought to replace it in the last 30+ years.
There is no good answer xD
*EDIT*
Just when you thought Russia's supplies/equipment farce couldn't get any more comical, numerous higher definition (or at least less blurry) pictures are now appearing of some of the vehicles with failed tyres:
That's a "MADE IN USSR" marking, which means one of three things:
(1) This tyre was sat in a warehouse for over 30 years prior to this invasion and they had to use it due to their shortages.
(2) It's one that was exported to China/India over 30 years ago that got imported back due to their shortage.
(3) It was the vehicles spare and nobody thought to replace it in the last 30+ years.
There is no good answer xD
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Eurgh this doesn't read well to me.
Potentially abusive men are using a UK scheme to host Ukrainian refugees - to contact vulnerable women, BBC News has learned.
The men, some with a reported history of violence, message the women on Facebook groups specially set up to connect sponsors and hosts.
Some refugees have also become homeless after relations with hosts broke down or because housing was not well vetted.
But a UK government official said safeguards were in place.
BBC
Potentially abusive men are using a UK scheme to host Ukrainian refugees - to contact vulnerable women, BBC News has learned.
The men, some with a reported history of violence, message the women on Facebook groups specially set up to connect sponsors and hosts.
Some refugees have also become homeless after relations with hosts broke down or because housing was not well vetted.
But a UK government official said safeguards were in place.
BBC
If the OSINT stuff from way back is correct then a good number of the vehicles built up for this invasion aren't from current active stock or [main] reserve stock but mothballed reserve stock one stage away from eventually being scrapped. Stuff which likely has been sitting there 30-40 years with little more than cursory maintenance.
Interestingly it seems that when they brought a bunch of mothballed T-80s out to put back into service through a supposed refurbishment/upgrade program they just raided the [main] reserve stock for parts to do that... when they started running out of stuff to replace losses in Ukraine they turned to the main reserve stock only to find it had been cannibalised for parts... (some of which were likely sold on the black market, etc. as well). Also seems similar has happened with other stuff they had a program for putting back into service like the Tyulpan and Malka.
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Soldato
- Joined
- 23 Feb 2009
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You are omitting the possibility the press to stamp out the marking hasn't been changed in 30 years ... but I do prefer your answers.
Reliability is impossible for us to assess, I think. He has a background in military history, gives clear arguments based on verifiable information, and is open about the limits of his knowledge. That makes me think his analysis is worth listening to.
Kremlin coup rumours growing in Moscow: Disgruntled generals join FSB looking to oust Putin and end Ukraine war - City AM
Rumours are swirling in Moscow that a number of former generals and KGB officials are preparing to oust Russia’s president Vladimir Putin and plan to end the war in Ukraine, which is increasingly seen across Russia as a strategic mistake and, above all, an economic disaster. The top of Putin’s...
www.cityam.com
*Governor of Ukraine’s Donetsk Region: More Buses Have Left Mariupol in Evacuation Operation
*Governor of Ukraine’s Donetsk Region: Buses Will Head to Ukrainian-Controlled City of Zaporizhzhia
*Ukraine Border Service Spokesperson: Border With Belarus Has Been Strengthened Since Russian Invasion, Says “We Are Ready”
*Ukraine Border Service Spokesperson: Does Not Rule out Possibility That Russia May at Some Point Use Belarusian Armed Forces Against Ukraine#
*EU’s von Der Leyen: The Future of the European Union Is Also Written in Ukraine
*EU’s von Der Leyen: Announces Sixth Package of Sanctions Against Russia
*EU’s von Der Leyen: Package Lists High-Ranking Military Officers and Other Individuals Who Committed War Crimes
*EU’s von Der Leyen: Package Includes Cutting Sberbank and Other Major Banks From Swift
*EU’s von Der Leyen: This Will Solidify the Complete Isolation of the Russian Financial Sector From the Global System
*EU’s von Der Leyen: Package Bans Three Big Russian State-Owned Broadcasters From Our Airwave
*EU’s von Der Leyen: This Will Be a Complete Import Ban on All Russian Oil, Seaborne and Pipeline, Crude And Refined.
*EU’s von Der Leyen: We Propose a Ban on Russian Oil
*EU’s von Der Leyen: We Will Phase out Russian Supply of Crude Oil Within Six Months and Refined Products by the End of the Year
*EU Commission Head: Does Not Mention Any Exemptions From Russian Oil Embargo Plan
*Governor of Ukraine’s Donetsk Region: Buses Will Head to Ukrainian-Controlled City of Zaporizhzhia
*Ukraine Border Service Spokesperson: Border With Belarus Has Been Strengthened Since Russian Invasion, Says “We Are Ready”
*Ukraine Border Service Spokesperson: Does Not Rule out Possibility That Russia May at Some Point Use Belarusian Armed Forces Against Ukraine#
*EU’s von Der Leyen: The Future of the European Union Is Also Written in Ukraine
*EU’s von Der Leyen: Announces Sixth Package of Sanctions Against Russia
*EU’s von Der Leyen: Package Lists High-Ranking Military Officers and Other Individuals Who Committed War Crimes
*EU’s von Der Leyen: Package Includes Cutting Sberbank and Other Major Banks From Swift
*EU’s von Der Leyen: This Will Solidify the Complete Isolation of the Russian Financial Sector From the Global System
*EU’s von Der Leyen: Package Bans Three Big Russian State-Owned Broadcasters From Our Airwave
*EU’s von Der Leyen: This Will Be a Complete Import Ban on All Russian Oil, Seaborne and Pipeline, Crude And Refined.
*EU’s von Der Leyen: We Propose a Ban on Russian Oil
*EU’s von Der Leyen: We Will Phase out Russian Supply of Crude Oil Within Six Months and Refined Products by the End of the Year
*EU Commission Head: Does Not Mention Any Exemptions From Russian Oil Embargo Plan
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I've generally found Perun knows his stuff, with some great insight in some areas and ability to deep dive certain aspects a lot of people can't - but he does have his blind spots - there are some specific areas he gets stuck in conventional/highly logical thinking in a situation where things are treading newly unpredictable ground, etc.
Increasing reports or unsuitable housing or being chucked out when payments are not being made (or when demanded). Along with the abusive people traffickers in the UK making money / favours from misery. Understandable why Ukrainians dont want to stay here.
The Chieftain did a `react` to his `Are tanks useless` type video - the answer is the same as in WW2 - unsupported tanks will die. Yes the means to hard kill armour has been updated (Javelin vs 17lb er) but the ethos is the same; send a metal box with limited visability to an area where a soldier can hide with a rocket / barrell , and the tankwont last long. Sweep the route with infantry and have long range high ex death / CAS cover and the same mobile armour artillery is in a better place.
That would be fine if the tyres weren't literally rotting away. We've seen numerous pictures and videos of tyre failures so I think it's safe to assume these are very old tyres from storage. I'm sure they were supposed to be replaced but some General needed to do some renovation work on his villa.
Don't think I've seen that video - though I have watched The Chieftain's earlier video covering the subject.
As always, multiple sources are better than one. Our of interest, what do you see as his blind spots? Is there anything specific you are thinking of?
Before the introduction of kevlar reinforcements and high performance compounds as well. In some remote corner of Siberia the USSR probably still exists.
*German Foreign Minister: Germany Forms Alliance in G7 Framework for Food Aid to War-Affected Countries
*German Defence Minister: To End EU Training Mission in Mali
*German Defence Minister: Will Continue Training Mission in Niger
*EU Commission Proposes Hungary, Slovakia Can Continue to Buy Russian Crude Oil Until End of 2023 Under Existing Contracts
*German Defence Minister: To End EU Training Mission in Mali
*German Defence Minister: Will Continue Training Mission in Niger
*EU Commission Proposes Hungary, Slovakia Can Continue to Buy Russian Crude Oil Until End of 2023 Under Existing Contracts
Yeah, I saw that video. The same answer to Perun and that War on the Rocks article: if not the tank, what? If you need something to zerg rush a position, take a hit, and fires faster than a missile, what else do you use? If I was infantry trying to take a heavily fortified position, do I want to be in an APC, humvee, or M1 block 3 with protections like Trophy, and as a last resort, white phosphorous smoke?
You mean like suggesting Taiwan or similar countries should invest in drones and shoulder-launched missiles, instead of conventional equipment? The sinking of the Moskva would suggest a more balanced approach.
Also, a whole video dedicated to how Russia loses a long war because it can't import goods to rearm, while Ukraine's rearmaments from the west are near-unlimited. His take seems pretty obvious, but I suspect this is the A+B=C logical thinking you're talking about.
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