Ukraine Invasion - Please do not post videos showing attacks/similar

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Doesn't seem to be much evidence of a drawdown going on. No noticeable reduction in equipment which has built up, new lots of heavy equipment spotted moving into the region. Some convoys of trucks and trains, etc. used for carrying troops have been seen moving away from the region but unclear what purpose and if they are even occupied or in some cases seem to be empty.
 
Minusorange said:
And on the other side of the World looks like China is getting ready to take Taiwan
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The hybrid warfare is immense - it looks like China is applying pressure by all avenues so that sooner or later Taiwan buckles rather than necessarily having a specific plan they are just waiting to see what gives.

That companies like TSMC are relocating and/or setting up significant operations in the US, etc. gives me grave concerns for the future.
 
The build up of Chinese forces in the South China Sea and the development of space domain assets has been alarming really. They've invested massively to catch the US and Russia up in their capability to shoot down MRBMs and they have some whacky space laser kit.

Their test facilities in Korla have proven they can defend against missiles and satellite now. They have some incredible EW kit deployed to Hainan and it all seems to be progressing exponentially. It's interesting times.

https://www.orfonline.org/expert-speak/chinas-bmd-asat-progress-49578/?amp
 
Rroff said:
Was gonna say looks a bit underwhelming for a CSG but looks like it will be complimented by an AB class destroyer and frigates from other nations as well.
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Yes 6 RN ships, a submarine, a US Destroyer and a Dutch Frigate a bit pitiful really, especially when 10 of the carriers 18 F35's are US Marine Corps, all seems a bit rushed
 
Still no real evidence of a Russian troop draw down - movements so far suggest only 1/10th of the additional troops thought to have moved into the region recently have pulled back. Much of the heavy equipment still seems to remain.

US admin sources quoting 80K troops remain in the area but that is only around 10K more than are usually stationed in the nearby military districts.
 
Enkore said:
I personally believe both are bad in that sense. My biggest problem is that West by its actions has normalized violence on international arena and propaganda but at the same time keeps reserved rights on those actions. So we have a situation where A could do whatever they want, if B tries to do same, emboldened by A - they get punished.

A and B are both ultimately bad because they only care about their own goals - at expense of 3rd party.

This perception that neither are good or bad comes from Western normalization of violence and advantage taking of 3rd world countries for its own benefit.

We are the 'pod boss' in American prison essentially. We push violence on other people when we see fit for our gains and everyone supports us. When someone else tries to exert violence for their own gain - we put them down. There are no good/bad guys in this scenario.

Its hard to claim that Russia is the good guy when given an opportunity, they'd use monopoly on force themselves. They are not offering anything better or new - simply to change the person/country that exerts monopolistic power for its own benefit at expense of others.
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Great few posts mate. Taken a few things away with me that I didn’t know previously to research elsewhere.
 
No suggestions to far they are using Victory Day as cover for larger troop movement - though a lot of attention is elsewhere currently.
 
Rroff said:
No suggestions to far they are using Victory Day as cover for larger troop movement - though a lot of attention is elsewhere currently.
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The reality the whole thing has just once again shown that what MSM shows and what goes behind doors are different worlds. Russia has not really moved their troops back yet everyone already moved on. Ukraine has declared it as a victory, that they are mighty and scared Russia off. To claim otherwise would damage their viewpoint, so everyone is going along with it.

The actual situation at border has not changed yet no one is talking about invasion anymore. So it means likely in first place it was all a show.
 
Noise about a build up again, different posture this time. Analysts reckon Russian forces would be in position for a late January push though I'd find that unlikely - cold, possibly wet or snowy, muddy terrain doesn't tend to favour an attacking force although it would be the best time if they wanted maximum leverage for NATO to stay out of it.
 
Yeah apparently they have about 92,000 troops within earshot of the Ukrainian borders in various places this time.

Really don't understand what Putin hopes to gain out of all of this over than having a victory parade*

* If they actually can win, could turn into another Chechnya for them, and this time the enemy are armed with western weapons and intelligence, so could prove to be his downfall also if he goes balls deep.
 
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