Ukraine Invasion - Please do not post videos showing attacks/similar

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d_brennen said:
Hitting infrastructure with precision missiles is what you do in the opening stages of a land invasion, not hit a few apartment blocks and playgrounds here and there. One way to galvanise resistance is to randomly kill civilians. Russian conscripts and even their regulars don't want to be there, the Ukrainians are fighting for their lives, their family and their land. Russian men of fighting age are running from their homes, Ukraine can't take all their volunteers, there were/are too many. From my armchair I reckon Russia lost in the first week of the Special Operation. Winter will be brutal for everyone, doubly so for invaders as inept as Russia has shown itself to be
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In the opening stages Russia almost certainly thought they could replay 2014 and that Ukraine would fold so limited their initial strikes - you literally had people in the Russian leadership booking restaurants in Kyiv for days after the invasion seemingly under the impression it would mostly be a change of government and a bit of mopping up!

Intimidation seems to be all Russia really knows - so I suspect another round of strikes against civilian infrastructure is on the table before winter sets in.
 
Nobody, probably not even the Russians themselves, know how many missiles, mortars and artillery rounds they have. They could be close to running out, or they could have another 6 months supply. We also do not know what state their production lines are in and what capacity they have.

It's fair to say that they have surprised some "experts" who claimed they didn't have the means to see this war through, past a few months.
 
Gypo said:
Nobody, probably not even the Russians themselves, know how many missiles, mortars and artillery rounds they have. They could be close to running out, or they could have another 6 months supply. We also do not know what state their production lines are in and what capacity they have.
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Given the sheer scale of blatant corruption in the Russia military, I'm guessing that there is quite a disparity betwixt the numbers claimed and the actual number in storage.
 
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Gypo said:
We also do not know what state their production lines are in and what capacity they have.
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The bulk of precision missile production is done at Novator and facilities at Votkinsk, there are a few smaller plants as well. There is good data on pre-war output levels and some likely within the ballpark information for max production capability (without significant upgrading), and likely output levels currently.
 
Rroff said:
The bulk of precision missile production is done at Novator and facilities at Votkinsk, there are a few smaller plants as well. There is good data on pre-war output levels and some likely within the ballpark information for max production capability (without significant upgrading), and likely output levels currently.
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Would you like to share the source?
 
d_brennen said:
Hitting infrastructure with precision missiles is what you do in the opening stages of a land invasion
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Not necessarily, they chose not to try and attack the power grid for example initially but have escalated a bit now. It's kind of tangental to the point I was making though which was about the quantity of missiles rather than the targets.

Rroff said:
Roughly 70 or so of that kind of missile used in widespread strikes is quite pitiful, the US launches like 100 against one target :s they'd almost certainly use more if they had the capacity.

EDIT: The way people even officials talk is as if they are completely done and depleted - I think we'll still see probably monthly rounds of precision missile use by Russia like recent strikes.
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Depends who you're referring to, the recent news story is re: a statement from a NATO official and doesn't come across like that:

www.reuters.com

Russia has depleted large part of precision ammunition - NATO official

Russia has depleted a significant proportion of its precision-guided ammunition in its invasion of Ukraine and its industry cannot produce all kinds of ammunition and weapon systems due to Western sanctions, a senior NATO official said on Wednesday.
www.reuters.com www.reuters.com
Russia has depleted a significant proportion of its precision-guided ammunition in its invasion of Ukraine and its industry cannot produce all kinds of ammunition and weapon systems due to Western sanctions, a senior NATO official said on Wednesday.
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d_brennen said:
They have men on the ground stealing white goods while retreating :cry:
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We laugh... but a lot of white goods use stuff like the iSensor MEMS which are literally used by Iskanders missiles...

dowie said:
In other news more T-62 tanks for Russia... yikes!

Remember when the earlier ones were just going to be for defence of rear areas, checkpoints etc.. not sure that's the case anymore, they're getting desperate:

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Does make one wonder as a recent poster mentioned about stocks of 115mm shells... I don't buy it means they've exhaustively run out of "modern" tanks - though by all reports they can only produce ~10 new ones a month. The reasoning for trotting out T-62s IMO is a lot more complicated than that.

EDIT: Supposedly they can put less than 60 tanks back into service a month - so 800 would take over a year unless they significantly scale up the industry.
 
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Werewolf said:
I'm guessing it's based on the size of the facilities compared to similar ones in other countries, and things like observations of staffing numbers, known Russian methods of production and traffic in and out.
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Anyone can say anything. Therefore I would like to see the source. Without the source it is a hearsay.
There were lots of fires in the facilities that suppose to make missiles. Have a wild guess why?
 
martynr said:
Would you like to share the source?
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I don't have one succinct source for it.

martynr said:
Anyone can say anything. Therefore I would like to see the source. Without the source it is a hearsay.
There were lots of fires in the facilities that suppose to make missiles. Have a wild guess why?
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Any numbers are going to be approximate without official figures from the manufacturer.
 
Hungary Foreign Minister Szijjarto: Hungary Will Maintain Opposition Against Gas Sanctions

Ukrainian President Zelenskiy, Speaking at IMF-World Bank Event:
- Ukraine Is Seeking Permanent Working Group to Provide Financial Support
- Ukraine Needs $38 bln to Cover Budget Deficit Next Year
- Also Needs $17 bln to Rebuild Critical Infrastructure, Damaged Housing, Schools
- Ukraine Needs $2 bln in Targeted Credits to Rebuild Electric Power Infrastructure
- Needs No Less Than $5 Billion in Credit Limits to Purchase Gas and Coal
- Ukraine Seeking New IMF Lending Program Valued at Up to $20 bln

Ukrainian PM Shmyhal:
- Western Sanctions Against Russia Should Be Tightened
- Ukraine Will Need $55 bln in External Financing Next Year
- Asks Finance Ministers to Support Ukraine’s Call for Confiscation of Hundreds of Billions of Dollars in Frozen Russian Assets
 
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