Soldato
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It’s not like there’s US military satellites above Russia 24/7/365 either.
Ukraine Invasion - Please do not post videos showing attacks/similar
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They've seriously eroded their ability to fight WW3 (conventionally) between sending stuff piecemeal into Ukraine, training deficiencies and lacking maintenance for their reserve equipment - but I think people underestimate what Russia still can drag out of storage, albeit given time, and how much of their regular armed forces are still intact but for various reasons not being used for Ukraine - though they have expended a large amount of their more experienced soldiers in Ukraine.
I think the opposite,
I think we've all completely overestimated them and have done for years, I doubt that anything they have in storage really works, or even exists - it's likely all been stripped of copper and optics and sold off.
In any case, even if they do drag stuff out of storage, the levels of corruption which permeate through all levels of the political and military hierarchy, would probably result in the tyres, fuel, armour plate, electronics - basically everything being stolen and sold off - before it made it to the frontline.
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It does exist, but most is outdoor storage aka a scrap yeard. Therefore what actual condition its in is another question.
Boost phase intercept would be the way forward for ABM. However, it threatens Russia
You not see the comments by Ian Bremmer today? Putting those satellites over Crimea will send a very clear indication that Crimea is going to be invaded. Musk doesn’t even provide coverage over the annexed regions. He doesn’t want to be a target of an assassination or to be the one that escalated things. Crimea is the red line for Russia.??
Why on earth would a satellite internet service trigger WW3?
Russia aren't even in a state of sending troops and vehicles more than 100m down the road, what makes you think they'd be up for taking on the entire world?
Interestingly a lot of the most decrepit vehicles in their tank/armour storage seem to have disappeared from satellite imagery since this war started - they aren't exactly well known for tidying things up in that regard. It seems they've managed to get 1 working T-62 out of several hulks and sent them to the front lines - where most apparently end up as static gun emplacements due to lacking maintenance and lack of fuel then abandoned when the position becomes untenable.
Though there is clearly desperation and the reserves have in many cases been raided for various reasons due to corruption I think there is a lot of underestimation of how much Russia is prioritising using up the old **** first with this war - Russian's don't tend to care the same way as the West in this respect. Life is cheap.
Same as people keep superimposing what they think Putin's position and mentality is based on what they understand... Putin isn't a very naughty boy who accidentally sent his forces into Ukraine and now regrets it, he isn't interested in the off-ramp that so many think is the solution to this situation.
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Do you have the faintest idea what Starlink is, how it works or just how many Satellites are already in the constellation?
Starlink satellite tracker
Live view of SpaceX starlink satellite constellation and coverage.
satellitemap.space
Do you have the faintest idea what Starlink is, how it works or just how many Satellites are already in the constellation?
Starlink satellite tracker
Live view of SpaceX starlink satellite constellation and coverage.
**** WW3 any moment!
Russia doesn't have any leverage at the table anymore, because it's basically been beaten fair and square - it can't achieve victory at this stage.
You can't simultaneously be getting your ass kicked, at the same time as handing out demands or making further threats, over things you stole previously and be taken seriously.
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He’s not providing signal to Crimea or annexed areas.
**** WW3 any moment!
Crimea is going to put Russia into a corner. They will have to stand down then but this is Russia.
It is an interesting question how far Russia would escalate (nuclear) over Crimea - the loss of Crimea is going to be the biggest factor Putin can't ignore (or hardest to ignore) by a long way - the loss of the port facilities and ability to use it as a staging area for any current or future military action against Ukraine would be a huge blow along with many of Putin's vanity projects like the bridge.
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I think the only circumstance in which Russia would use tactical battlefield nuclear weapons in Crimea, would be as a scorched earth policy, or something - if I can't have it, you can't either, or something. But even then - I think it's highly unlikely, simply because it wouldn't change the end result much, Russia still wouldn't be able to achieve victory.
From the Russian political circle Putin would have lost Crimea, which would seriously weaken him or worse (who knows) as in the final analysis - the whole thing would have ended up being a massive military blunder, he could have kept and defended Crimea, and not have made this stupid miscalculation which made them all look like idiots and vandals.
Then there's the law of unintended consequences - if Russia starts lobbing battlefield nukes around in Crimea, there are so many pathways to NATO escalation (fallout drifting into NATO countries, etc).
Deleted User 298457
Deleted User 298457
That isn't how satellites work pal
??? They have reported on the ground that they can’t receive signal in annexed regions. It’s probably denying service based on location of receiver.
Senior NATO Official:
- Russia Has Depleted a Significant Portion of Its Precision Guided Ammunition
- Russia’s Military Industry Is Suffering From Sanctions, They Do Not Have the Capability to Reconstitute All Kinds of Ammunition or Weapons Systems
- I Don’t Know How Long It Will Take Russia to Mobilise 300,000 Troops, Could Be at Least a Few Months
- We Assess That Minsk Does Not Currently Intend to Officially Join the Fight
- Russia Has Depleted a Significant Portion of Its Precision Guided Ammunition
- Russia’s Military Industry Is Suffering From Sanctions, They Do Not Have the Capability to Reconstitute All Kinds of Ammunition or Weapons Systems
- I Don’t Know How Long It Will Take Russia to Mobilise 300,000 Troops, Could Be at Least a Few Months
- We Assess That Minsk Does Not Currently Intend to Officially Join the Fight
Kremlin Aide:
- Turks Will Not Miss an Opportunity and Will Offer Something, I Think There Is a High Probability of Such a Development
- Many Say That Turks Are Going to Present Initiatives to Resolve the Conflict in Ukraine, Cannot Rule out That Erdogan Wil Touch on This During Talks With Putin
- Putin to Meet Turkey’s Erdogan in Astana on Oct 13
- On Ukraine’s Zelenskiy Remark That There Will Be No Talks With Putin: ‘Never Say Never’
- I Would Single out Our Cooperation in Energy Markets, Interaction Between Russia and Qatar at Gas Exporting Countries Forum
- Putin Will Meet Emir of Qatar in Astana on Oct 13, Discuss Cooperation in Politics, Trade, Investments
- Turks Will Not Miss an Opportunity and Will Offer Something, I Think There Is a High Probability of Such a Development
- Many Say That Turks Are Going to Present Initiatives to Resolve the Conflict in Ukraine, Cannot Rule out That Erdogan Wil Touch on This During Talks With Putin
- Putin to Meet Turkey’s Erdogan in Astana on Oct 13
- On Ukraine’s Zelenskiy Remark That There Will Be No Talks With Putin: ‘Never Say Never’
- I Would Single out Our Cooperation in Energy Markets, Interaction Between Russia and Qatar at Gas Exporting Countries Forum
- Putin Will Meet Emir of Qatar in Astana on Oct 13, Discuss Cooperation in Politics, Trade, Investments
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The way military hardware seems to be being pulled out of Belarus I think Russia may have given up on getting Belarus into the fight, maybe, and decided to raid them of what they can instead to use themselves.
Belarus increasingly seems to be being used to repair and maintain Russian armour as well.
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