This September, Cap Live is reporting a 1.9% or c.£420 decline in values at the 3-year, 60,000 mile point. This is thelargest drop in the month since 2008, when values dropped by 4.1% as the financial crisis at the time affected themarket. It is important to put into context, however, that used car values currently remain some 25-30% above wherethey were before those extraordinary increases in 2021. The downward movements now being experienced are arelatively gentle realignment, not a crash and they are no longer increasing in severity – value drops have beenconsistent for the last 3-months now
...
Amongst the mainstream sectors, SUVs have fared the worst, dropping by an average of 2.1% or just over £500, withall sizes faring similarly with their average drops. There have been only a handful of SUVs experiencing an upturn invalues, and these have been some of the more niche vehicles such as the Citroen C4 Cactus Diesel and the Kia StonicDiesel, whereas Land Rover product has seen some of the largest drops, perhaps not helped by bad press aroundtheft and insurance premiums for these vehicles. New car supply is also improving for Land Rover product, so morepart-exchanges are appearing in the market. On average, Land Rovers have dropped by 3.8% or c.£1,300 at the 3-yearpoint. There were other sizeable drops in values in September for SUVs, including the BMW X2 down between 3% and3.5% dependent on the fuel-type, the Jaguar F-Pace down 6% for the diesel model and the Vauxhall Crossland X andGrandland X, down for both petrol and diesel fuel-types, by between 3% and 5%.
..
The devil really is in the detail for EVs, however. We have continued to see small and medium-sized models performrelatively well against the rest of the market; many of these now carry a trade value that is far enough away frommore aspirational vehicles making them look attractive in the retail market, even with a healthy marginapplied. Examples of vehicles that have seen values increase are the Renault Zoe up 2%/£155, Nissan Leaf up2%/£200, Hyundai Ioniq Electric up 3%/£300 and MG 5 Electric up 3%/£325, all at the 3-year age point. There hasbeen a notable number of EVs that have seen no change in value too, like the Fiat 500 Electric, Peugeot 208 Electricand Volkswagen ID.3, which is no mean feat when the rest of the market has been softening. Although not all smalland medium EVs have performed well, as reductions have been applied to the Honda e (-4.8%/£600) and Mini CooperElectric (-2%/£280).The trend continued for the more expensive EVs, along with the models that are relatively new in their lifecycle in theused market, to be under more pressure due to their higher price point, although many of the reductions are far lessthan those we have seen in previous months. When looking at the 1-year age point, notable downward movers havebeen the Audi E-Tron GT down 3.5%/£2,400, BMW iX1 down 3.6%/£1,450, Citroen C4X down 5%/£1,275, Kia EV6down 3%/£1,175, and Nissan Ariya down 3%/£1,200. Values for the Tesla Model 3 have come down by 2.2%/£670 asbuyers have plenty of choice when buying one of these.