• Competitor rules

    Please remember that any mention of competitors, hinting at competitors or offering to provide details of competitors will result in an account suspension. The full rules can be found under the 'Terms and Rules' link in the bottom right corner of your screen. Just don't mention competitors in any way, shape or form and you'll be OK.

When the Gpu's prices will go down ?

What people don't ever think about when it comes to these GPUs is that all these mining operations are generally present in very few regions and concentrated.
You think they will dump them at local flea markets or what? they will likely be sold buy the pallet and exported to lucrative markets like the USA and EU
 
You think they will dump them at local flea markets or what? they will likely be sold buy the pallet and exported to lucrative markets like the USA and EU

Few understand this.

What people don't ever think about when it comes to these GPUs is that all these mining operations are generally present in very few regions and concentrated. So unless you're buying literal containers worth of GPUs, then there's no "GPU flood" to anticipate for most of the world, and even then it's iffy because miners had issues selling all their GPUs even in the last cycle when shipping costs were much lower.

Overall I think people are expecting way steeper discounts than what's actually going to happen. Particularly for Europe - forget about it.

Finally the penny may have dropped @Harlequin taken a while I must say..

5 days now till the nvidia show isnt it ? cant wait to see the price drops. i expect to see there aint going to be any we know there is though. :D

Merge is no longer the flood.. it is now the nvidia show event!! :cry:
 
Few understand this.



Finally the penny may have dropped @Harlequin taken a while I must say..



Merge is no longer the flood.. it is now the nvidia show event!! :cry:
as soon as they show case the speed of the new gpus obviously it will have a big effect on people buying the old ones. many people who game will already have half decent cards...so it will be like nahhh i will wait or nvidia does some proper deals to entice those on the fence. mining has basically gone pop. loads of cards about and 2 years old.

garage sale...coming soon ! :cry:
 
TBH don't think prices will change. Increased production costs and people (including me) paying silly money for gpus in the past will give both amd and nvidia the confidence to carry on charging these prices.
Going off Jensons shareholder talk, 30 series will fit between 40 series and not change much from what we are seeing now.
I will just hold out from now on (having bought an amd or nvidia every generation since before the 6 series [nvidia]), till performance lags on my current setup (200 fps 3440 monitor) to below 100 fps in the games I play (mp fps).
Hopefully I can buy something for double the performance in 4 years time for £500, unlikely but fingers crossed.
Edit - for clarification
 
TBH don't think prices will change. Increased production costs and people (including me) paying silly money for gpus in the past will give both amd and nvidia the confidence to carry on charging these prices.
Going off Jensons shareholder talk, 30 series will fit between 40 series and not change much from what we are seeing now.
I will just hold out from now on (having bought an amd or nvidia every generation since before the 6 series), till performance lags on my current setup (200 fps 3440 monitor) to below 100 fps in the games I play (mp fps).
Hopefully I can buy something for double the performance in 4 years time for £500, unlikely but fingers crossed.

its already started gibbo best get some super enticing deals going soon. :D
 
its already started gibbo best get some super enticing deals going soon.
I hope your right, but I believe companies will prefer higher margins over sales. We have all seen how game companies have prioritised consoles over pc, the days of crysis are over. I fear it will only get worse and more will move to consoles, especially with the problems faced with hacking on pc.
 
I hope your right, but I believe companies will prefer higher margins over sales. We have all seen how game companies have prioritised consoles over pc, the days of crysis are over. I fear it will only get worse and more will move to consoles, especially with the problems faced with hacking on pc.
i cant see how they wont fall. new cards. high cost of living which will only get worse. mining is screwed. overstock of old tech nividia gpus. hacking is bad on console aswell especially for games like cod. they just plug in units called cronus for eg. its a really big thing.
 
Prices aren't going anywhere for a while.

There's no way they even announce 4080 pricing next week, they'll slate it for late November and price it later. 4090 will get pricing with a release date and will be priced so high the 3000 series will remain uneffected. They want to get every penny possible from those wanting xx80 class cards.
 
i cant see how they wont fall. new cards. high cost of living which will only get worse. mining is screwed. overstock of old tech nividia gpus. hacking is bad on console aswell especially for games like cod. they just plug in units called cronus for eg. its a really big thing.

Nvidia are going to have to make up for lost sales in China $400 million estimated (current quarter). They are not going to do that by making things cheaper. I could be wrong and hope so.
edit - clarification
Code:
https://www.cnbc.com/2022/08/31/nvidia-stock-falls-after-us-government-restricts-chip-sales-to-china.html
 
Nvidia are going to have to make up for lost sales in China $400 million estimated (current quarter). They are not going to do that by making things cheaper. I could be wrong and hope so.
edit - clarification
Code:
https://www.cnbc.com/2022/08/31/nvidia-stock-falls-after-us-government-restricts-chip-sales-to-china.html

The goal is profit. They have to balance margin and volume to maximize profit. Since these cards can no longer print money they way they used to, more margin means less sales.

Nvidia *wanted* to sell the 3090Ti for $2k, but the volume just wasn't there, and the prices had to come down.

This is not the mining-boom market anymore.
 
It's a free market though - miners will be happy to cheaply ship cards to other markets that didn't have concentrated mining operations if it means they get a premium over selling locally.
Where's that premium coming from, particularly when adding in shipping expenses? Not to mention the obvious opportunity costs here there's shipping, there's handling, there's the storage, there's the listing & testing etc. etc.
You think they will dump them at local flea markets or what? they will likely be sold buy the pallet and exported to lucrative markets like the USA and EU
Why will they be exported? The USA is the largest mining market so they'll sell locally. After that where could all these GPUs come from? China? It's another USA situation, their market is big enough to simply absorb them. Kazakhstan? Never, the shipping costs are too high (and the regional prices are also high enough that they don't need to ship them out). Russia + UA (RIP)? Long gone.

So again there is no flood of GPUs coming for Europe (least of all UK) because there's no big mining operations in the region & shipping costs are too high. That's why I said even last time they couldn't do it. The complexity (and risk) of getting thousands of GPUs and shipping them around isn't like ordering a single item off of ebay.

Watch (I linked to the timestamp):
 
These youtube influencers and tech sites are not helping either. Yes they are also in the high regions like the US which may pertain to their region, but as @Poneros post, and what myself and a few others have been saying since this nonsense was hyping up at the end of 2021. The UK market only had bedroom and small scale ops, they all saturated the market since January (selling off over the past seven months) where the real squeeze came from the electricity price rises and not the ETH merge.
 
These youtube influencers and tech sites are not helping either. Yes they are also in the high regions like the US which may pertain to their region, but as @Poneros post, and what myself and a few others have been saying since this nonsense was hyping up at the end of 2021. The UK market only had bedroom and small scale ops, they all saturated the market since January (selling off over the past seven months) where the real squeeze came from the electricity price rises and not the ETH merge.

I think it's a case of said influencers not caring about the UK since they are predominately located in NA. But people need to stop spreading news as gospel for markets which is not even applicable.
 
Well said. A lot of ignorance is also applied to mining, but surprised to see such an enthusiast forum that has had distributed computing for decades in a sub forum. One of my main criteria when changing GPU factored in its ability to compute if I was not gaming as the stronger the card the better it is for other disciplines with software adopting it in various apps these days too. Naturally a solid gaming card for many generations has been able to do these tasks.
 
Where's that premium coming from, particularly when adding in shipping expenses? Not to mention the obvious opportunity costs here there's shipping, there's handling, there's the storage, there's the listing & testing etc. etc.
The premium comes from not having local mining operations dumping pallets of used cards on the local market. It's a simple numbers game - bulk shipping is still cheap compared to the cost of a card, listing/processing is as cheap as it's ever been. And testing... when was the last time you saw cheap Ebay/Ali cards with proper QA? :D Any time local price+cheap shipping etc. costs < the price in the new market you'll get redistribution.

Video was interesting, but talking about a western dealer importing via a broker - which I guess could happen too if the price difference was high enough, but that's a very expensive way of doing it - there was testing, and each stage needed their salary margins etc. In a global market there's no barrier to local sellers instead selling directly worldwide with only a fraction of those costs.
 
Video above assumes everything is 8.3% inflation when thats an average calculated using specific items
Why will they be exported? The USA is the largest mining market so they'll sell locally.
lets pretend massive farms don't exist in asia
 
Last edited:
Back
Top Bottom