Poll: The EU Referendum: How Will You Vote? (April Poll)

Should the United Kingdom remain a member of the European Union or leave the European Union?

  • Remain a member of the European Union

    Votes: 452 45.0%
  • Leave the European Union

    Votes: 553 55.0%

  • Total voters
    1,005
  • Poll closed .
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So let me get this straight, you don't think:

i think its a **** in the wind of wild speculation with no time frame to say it.

for a start the only thing you can say for certain is that each and everyone of those things post exit will continue for 2 years. after that who knows extensions and negotiations are probably the most likely course as the EU wont want any large shocks to their economies.

as they wont want there to be any negatives to give more fuel to other countries wanting to leave.


It's unlikely we'll continue to be part of the EU healthcare scheme that grants free health care on holiday in the EU.


you realise it's not free, you still pay for it same as you do here right?
 
You might want to revise your vote then, pretty sure May's stated position is to remain in the EU.

As has already been pointed out by others - what her stated position is and what she's actually saying appears to be very different. But then that's Theresa Mays MO down to a tee.

Her stated position - "More Safeguards" - What she means - less safeguards
Her stated position - "More privacy" - What she means - less privacy

etc etc.
 
as they wont want there to be any negatives to give more fuel to other countries wanting to leave.

Which would probably mean the rest of the EU would want to make an example of the UK, to stop others thinking leaving is a good idea.
 
As has already been pointed out by others - what her stated position is and what she's actually saying appears to be very different. But then that's Theresa Mays MO down to a tee.

Her stated position - "More Safeguards" - What she means - less safeguards
Her stated position - "More privacy" - What she means - less privacy

etc etc.

So she's voting 'in' and you say you will do the opposite of what she is going to do, so you will vote 'in'
ok.
 
*Sigh*

You asked for the 55 times we've voted against the EU and been ignored, so I provided that in detail, each and every one of the 55. You completely ignore all the other evidence that supports my argument and just say I'm "changing my tune". Eroded influence, no influence, what's the difference - the fact you're focusing on these sub plots and not the issues shows your argument is weak. And has been since you got personal many pages ago.

If I have the weak argument, how come there are so many holes in your argument? Let's ignore the fact that you changed your tune and look at the Brexit campaign pdf.

The two main arguments are:

Since records began, the UK has not managed to prevent a single proposal placed in front
of the Council from becoming European law. This amounts to 55 measures that the UK
has opposed, since 1996, but have gone on to become British law.


However, as the document admits, those 55 votes represent just 1.9% of all the votes since 1996. This is a very small percentage, particularly when we consider some of the votes were against things such as "Regulation of the European Parliament and of the Council amending the Staff Regulations of Officials", "labelling of certain foodstuffs" or "the common organisation of the market in bananas" . Shockingly dreadful stuff and those EU evil doers shoved them down our throats!

Since 1973 the UK’s voting power in the Council of Ministers has decreased from 17% to 8%, in the European Parliament it has decreased from 20% to 9.5% and in the European Commission it has decreased from 15% to 4%.

This argument sounds a bit stronger but not long ago you said:

We are not influential in the EU. You can point to reports about "connections" but as has been discussed in this thread and elsewhere the EU spins on a Franco-German axis.

Can you guess where I'm going now? Both Germany and France dramatically lost their voting power in the Council of Ministers, in the European Parliament and in the Commission. Yet by some magic, they retained their influence as "the EU spins on a Fraco-German axis".

You contradict yourself because it's hard to avoid that when your argument makes no sense. France, Germany and Britain are by far the most influential countries in the EU, it's very difficult to pass anything when they object and probably impossible to take any major decision.


Huh? So presumably you don't dispute the EU is growing the slowest out of India, China, the US, Australia etc in the past 10 years as I proved from the data you linked to!

Over the last 10 years our exports to the EU have grown by 75%, whilst our services exports to China have grown 130% and to Switzerland by 191%.

The fact you continue to focus on a 2 year time frame again just shows how weak your argument is.

You keep rambling about the past 10 years but you are for Brexit now and if we vote for leave, we have to find new customers for our most important export, services, now. Also now, the demand for services in China is decreasing, which was my point when this exchange started. We don't have good options for our exports, should we leave the EU common market.

Switzerland has loads of great trade deals, like this one with China.

Free trade with China? Are you serious? :D

We have 18k people working in the steel industry, if we started buying without any restrictions all the steel China is dumping on the global market at lower then production prices, they would all go unemployed. China also regularly dumps other products such as solar panels, a free trade agreement would be disastrous for Britain, it would literally destroy whole production industries.



I work in capital markets.

Again, why only focus on the recent headlines? We're voting over a 40+ year timeframe, China still grew 6% last year despite the slowdown. You're saying our long term trading prospects with China are worth ignoring just because of its recent headlines? Nah, it's well known we need to up our deals with the likes of China, as per Cameron's and Osborne's recent dialogue:

In the long term, the possibility that China will turn into an important customer for services is real. But, as I said, you want to leave now and right now China is not a good potential customer to replace what we may lose in the EU.

This was my point from the start.

The most important clients for services are developed countries and there's not a single developed country in that list. If some of them become developed in a few decades, they will be suitable potential clients. Until then, Britain will focus its services sales on the US and the EU, the only large, developed economies in the world.

Why are you adding EFTA again? You realise the debate is about Britain potentially joining EFTA and leaving the EU?

So you are not against the free movement of people?
 
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i think its a **** in the wind of wild speculation with no time frame to say it.

It's wild speculation to say we don't know what will happen in the case of a Brexit? O_o

For a start the only thing you can say for certain is that each and everyone of those things post exit will continue for 2 years. after that who knows extensions and negotiations are probably the most likely course as the EU wont want any large shocks to their economies.

That's nice. 2 years*. What happens then? The answer is, dun dun duh: we don't know. Exactly as it says. Brexiters cannot guarantee a single one of those benefits we enjoy now and will continue to enjoy if we remain as part of the EU.

Also, I do wonder how much we will enjoy during those two years. A great deal of EU stuff works on a longer timescale than two years. Will they continue to issue 5 years grants during the two year period? I doubt it. Will EU employers consider potential UK employees a risk given the uncertainty? And so on.

you realise it's not free, you still pay for it same as you do here right?

You do not pay for it here; you pay taxes. Pooled taxes are then used to pay for healthcare among other things. This means it is free at the point of use and not dependent on the ability to pay.

* - Technically, it's not a certain 2 years. Two years is merely the minimum time we have to negotiate; it's possible for the exit to occur earlier. Very unlikely though, I think. But maybe that's "wild speculation".
 
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It's wild speculation to say we don't know what will happen in the case of a Brexit? O_o

no its wild speculation to stick vague as **** "unlikely" etc on the end of it.

That's nice. 2 years*. What happens then? The answer is, dun dun duh: we don't know. Exactly as it says. Brexiters cannot guarantee a single one of those benefits we enjoy now and will continue to enjoy if we remain as part of the EU.

no one has argued otherwise.

Also, I do wonder how much we will enjoy during those two years. A great deal of EU stuff works on a longer timescale than two years. Will they continue to issue 5 years grants during the two year period? I doubt it. Will EU employers consider potential UK employees a risk given the uncertainty? And so on.

if they don't that would open them up to legal action as we'd still be a full member and as such unable to be discriminated against.

You do not pay for it here; you pay taxes. Pooled taxes are then used to pay for healthcare among other things. This means it is free at the point of use and not dependent on the ability to pay.


so yes you pay for it here, and its those same taxes paying for it there, they bill the uk government.


* - Technically, it's not a certain 2 years. Two years is merely the minimum time we have to negotiate; it's possible for the exit to occur earlier. Very unlikely though, I think. But maybe that's "wild speculation".

no its a 2 year notice period.


so what happens if we vote to stay in then say France has a referendum and leaves?

"in" is certainly not a sure thing at this stage, many countries have started rumbling for referendums.
 
Which would probably mean the rest of the EU would want to make an example of the UK, to stop others thinking leaving is a good idea.

which would hurt their own economies which would fuel the "look the EU is hurting us, the EU is costing our companies money and jobs, we demand a referendum now!!".


thjere is no way they can punish us without affecting their own economies which will add to the widespread dissent in the EU countries and risk more leaving.
 
I don't think they'll 'punish' us but neither will we get special treatment either. We'll get a similar 'deal' or 'treatment' to other large economies from outside the EU.
 
[TW]Fox;29427413 said:
I don't think they'll 'punish' us but neither will we get special treatment either. We'll get a similar 'deal' or 'treatment' to other large economies from outside the EU.

a similar deal though still represents a shock to thier markets which may not go down well domestically.

there will be pressure to make sure there is as little pain as possible to the rEU
 
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