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All bets are off atm. I still don't think we will see a top-to-bottom new range. I think there will have to be at least one or two rebrands in there. Biggish Polaris might make 3 cards and tiny Polaris 2, but in theory there is a large gap between them.
AMD did say (in the Forbes interview) that "some of their cards were getting old and needed replacing", but they didn't say /all/ of them did.
I'm not sure if Fiji with it's HBM1 (not used for anything else) will be rebranded, or if the 390 will have a final outing.
I doubt that Fiji with its HBM1 will make it to the rebrand list, as it is too big a chip and consequently expensive to make, but the 380/x Tonga chip is the next newest one and I wouldn't be surprised if that might make a appearance.
well they really just need 4 cards, one for 4k, one for 1440p and one for 1080p and one low end card. Its likely to be a Polaris replacement in each segment as HDR screens in each resolution is coming out. so for HDR and 144hz and such Polaris is there due to the DP 1.3 spec.
I doubt that Fiji with its HBM1 will make it to the rebrand list, as it is too big a chip and consequently expensive to make, but the 380/x Tonga chip is the next newest one and I wouldn't be surprised if that might make a appearance.
Flopper, it's about hitting price points as much as hitting performance levels. Four cards as you said could hit four common performance targets, but you'll have massive price jumps between each card.
It would be like having only the 980ti, 970, 960 and 950.
£500, £300, £180, £130
It could work I suppose. The vanilla 980 wasn't a very popular card after the ti landed, as far as I can make out.
But it also depends on being able to make a top-tier £500 card, disable parts of it, sell it at £300 and still make a profit.
Otherwise if you have £500, £400, £180, £130 you've got too big a gap in between. All your competition has to do is release a good card at £300 and you lose a lot of customers.
So as said, it's not just about performance. You /have/ to hit the best price points too.
People are forgetting one thing though - if the higher end SKUs have HBM2,it will be easier to have cut down versions on the chips simply by having different numbers of HBM2 chips.
IIRC, almost the entirety of the memory controller is part of the actual RAM stack.
Whilst it might be "easy", it might not be profitable.
Essentially you could make every SKU from your biggest top-tier GPU, right down to the £50 SKUs. But you'd (probably) lose money doing so.
Historically most GPUs have made 2 SKUs each. Esp at the higher end.
With only 2 new chips coming i think the one used for the high to mid will feature hbm 2 and the low will be gddr5. So we could see 3-4 hbm2 variants and 3-4 gddr5 chips.
But when has a high-end GPU made 4 SKUs? I can't think of any examples.
But when has a high-end GPU made 4 SKUs? I can't think of any examples.
Fiji made 3 cards, but before that 2 cards from one chip was the norm. Tahiti was 2 to start with then they introduced Tahiti lite some years later. Hawaii/Grenada was 2. Pitcairne was 2. Tonga was until recently was a single card in each generation.
Expecting two GPUs to fill the entire range is not something we've ever seen before, so I'm curious why people are making these predictions with such conviction it could be true?
Short memory then.
Tahiti.
7870XT
7950
7950 boost
7970
7970 GHz Ed.
7990
That's 6 GPU's right there. ( the 7950 and 7950 boost might not have sold along side each other I cannot remember, so it might only be 5 GPU's)
NVidia GK104
660 OEM
660Ti
670
680
690
That's 5 GPU's.
That's a bit pedantic. Like I said, the 7870 came years later, not on release.
The "boost" and "ghz editions" were also not on release, but we're more like the "rev2" editions, and kept the same price points.
Correct me if I'm wrong, but on release there was only the 7950 and the 7970. And the "boost"/"ghz" /replaced/ those cards rather than sitting alongside them, at a later date.
So I don't think that's the same at all.
That's a bit pedantic. Like I said, the 7870XT came years later, not on release.
The "boost" and "ghz editions" were also not on release, but were more like the "rev2" editions, and kept the same price points.
Correct me if I'm wrong, but on release there was only the 7950 and the 7970. And the "boost"/"ghz" /replaced/ those cards rather than sitting alongside them, at a later date.
So I don't think that's the same at all.
Well if AMD ever release the twin Fiji card that will be 4 as well.
The 7970 and 7970 GHz did indeed sell along side each other, as I said not sure about the 7950 and boost variants though.
Over a year later than Fiji launched tho...
In as much as there was still stock in the channel of the non-ghz editions when the ghz editions were released.
After a time only the the ghz editions could be bought. The "rev 1" cards were phased out.
And again, they didn't launch together.
I'll eat my words if AMD makes two GPUs into 8 cards /on release/, and not years later.
I'm pretty sure they won't.
It might not be on release but from top to bottom i think they need around 6 to fill in the price points. 4 will not cut it.
There is however some speculation that Tiny Polaris might feature in multi-die cards on an interposer. People more clued up than me seem to think it's a very unlikely scenario, however.