Hang on people,
why do black people die more from covid ie death rate significantly higher?
- obesity in black - black 73% obese vs 63% obese white. So why 5x black to white death rate.
https://www.ethnicity-facts-figures.service.gov.uk/health/diet-and-exercise/overweight-adults/latest
According to the ONS, it's 3.3x for men and 2.4x for women. Not 5x.
The death rate for men is about 2x the death rate for women, regardless of "race". Why isn't that being treated the same way?
- culture behaviour and inter generational housing - lack of evidence to suggest this. From behaviour and lock down fines, more white have been fined than black. So who’s breaking the rule more?
Uncertain. Firstly, you're referring to the number of fines, not the number of fines per population. Secondly, a simple comparison of numbers of fines (or number of fines per population) would assume no differences in how likely it is that a person breaking the rules would be fined. That's an unsubstantiated assumption and I think it's a bad one in this case.
Also, you're not providing any numbers. Given that the only number you did provide was very wrong, that's not a good sign.
Also, since when has inter generational housing been illegal? Or delaying seeking treatment?
EDIT: As a minor point, the article you linked to does not have the numbers you claim it has. Those percentages are for overweight or obese, not just obese. They also don't give any further details about the extent of how overweight the people are. There are degrees of obesity and that's relevant to the increase in health risks.
- more likely to be front line services thus more exposure - true, this would explain more cases of covid in blacks. However the normalised death rate per population takes the exposure out of equation ie if 100 white had covid vs 10000 black with covid if all things being equal then death rate should remain the same within these two population groups. So for every 1 white death there would be 100 black. but the fact is that Black Death rate is 5 times that of white or for every 1 white there are 500 black. So exposure cannot explain the increased death rate.
i) It's not 5x.
ii) Comparing the death rate amongst people in front line services with the death rate amongst the population as a whole is at best very dubious because it's nowhere near a like for like comparison. If being in front line services substantially increases the risk of death then a difference in the %age of people in front line services would substantially affect the %age of people dying.
Do you have a number for these two things:
Death rate for people in front line services compared with death rate for people not in front line services.
Death rate for "black" people in front line services compared with death rate for "white" people in front line services.
That would be better, but still not accurate enough because it's not a like for like comparison because "front line services" covers a wide variety of exposure risks.
- underlying health and mental health issues - we know this is a factor, however is this the result of societal prejudice? We know health is related to obesity, but blacks are only 1.2x more obese across a population than white so why is the general health condition over 3 times worse quoting stats from the video.
Obesity isn't the only health issue.
- poverty and income level - false. blacks and whites have very similar levels.
https://www.ethnicity-facts-figures...nefits/pay-and-income/household-income/latest
for the record, I don’t believe our NHS is institutionally racist or biased. Many of the nurses and doctors are ethnic minorities. The video even said that 44% of NHS staff are from ethnic group so it would be massively weird that ethnic minority is racist against itself. The last 20min of the video is interesting but full of statistical issues and doesn’t stand up well in the light of critical analysis and I think it is added to push the agenda more than anything.
So if there isn’t race issue at play with respect to the covid death rate and general health of black, what is the under lying issue that is causing such high death rate amongst black communities when compared with national average and white populations?
Uncertain.
One possible explanation comes from a doctor whose channel I used to watch. They're convinced that the entire field of medicine (and a lot more besides) is absolutely institutionally racist against everyone who isn't "white". Which is why I no longer watch their channel. They stated that there is no average difference in outcome between patients of different "races" arriving at hospital with comparable cases of covid-19. If that's true, the difference in death rate is caused either by a delay in seeking treatment or more serious illness from the same cause or a combination of the two.