Eh? You're well aware that I've directly asked you why several times, none of what I've said depends on the views of anyone else.
You're not taking the IAAF's line on it, are you? Instead of replying with whatever hangups you have about micropenises etc.. why not just address the question?
The micropenis thing is yours, and has been all along.
And yes, I am taking the IAAF's line on it, which is why you're now taking the perspective of it being flawed.
Why do *you* expect that? Are you able to answer or will you just reply with more deflection and some waffle about unnamed experts and vague claims about taking the IAAF position... I'm asking about the ttaskmaster position here.
My position is that the IAAF's reasearch and reasoning are both flawed to ****, full of holes and use cherry-picked janky science to support a very narrow policy that contradicts itself... none of which justifies or supports their decisions on Semenya
and similar athletes. There are also a number of ethical and moral issues resulting from the same, but that part of the discussion seems to have been utterly ignored.
I *expect* what I said earlier on the basis of that's what everyone has been saying - She's a male, she has all the male advantages, has testosterone that causes all the male advantages, etc etc... and when you ask what this advantage actually is, the IAAF's 10-12% "
in all running events" gets trotted out, although some studies state 10.7% as the stable gender gap since 1983, when charting only the performance stats across the decades.
Either way, that performance advantage is pretty consistently reported between the sexes, even if testosterone levels are not.
Can you show where the IAAF said Semenya would or should beat the very best few women in the world by 10-12%? I think you're drawing a dubious conclusion here yourself which is flawed for the reasons already explained and perhaps why you can't give a straight answer to it when questioned.
"
If a 46 XY DSD athlete's body can make use of the testosterone that it produces, then she has all the same advantages as a 46 XY man has over a 46 XX woman"
IAAF's own FAQ.
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Prior to male puberty there is little or no difference between male and female athletic performance. However, after the onset of puberty, male testosterone levels increase to around 15 nmol/L while female testosterone levels remain under 2 nmol/L. At the same time, males become 10-12% better at running events and 20% better in jumping events"
Prof. David Handelsman delivering the IAAF's submission in the 2018 case vs Semenya.
"
There is a wide sex difference in circulating testosterone concentrations and a reproducible dose-response relationship between circulating testosterone and muscle mass and strength as well as circulating hemoglobin in both men and women. These dichotomies largely account for the sex differences in muscle mass and strength and circulating hemoglobin levels that result in at least an 8% to 12% ergogenic advantage in men".
Handelsman again, this time with Bermon and Hirschberg in 'Circulating Testosterone as the Hormonal Basis of Sex Differences in Athletic Performance' which was cited during the IAAF case.
"CAS accepted this, and therefore accepted that the main driver of the marked sex difference in sport performance (10-12% on average) is the physical advantages conferred by having testosterone levels in the male range (7.7 - 29.4 nmol/L in blood) rather than the normal female range (06 - 1.68 nmol/L)".
Their studies did not actually show any such advantage and such assertions based on this are equally inconsistent (as to whether they are overall averages, entire population averages, or just limited to the best male vs best female), but again the actual numbers do not seem to matter to them or to most people involved in this discussion - It doesn't matter if an intersex athlete does beat anyone by 10-12%, it only matters that this is the advantage they are asserted to have.
It's an 'on average' figure across all Olympic disciplines.. which is why the advantage of being male varies so much across different events, as above some events the 'advantage' drops to under 5% and in others it rockets to 30%, the only thing that doesn't change is there is an advantage to being male.
And you don't find it odd that those events where the advantage is actually highest are
not included in the Restricted Events list?
The issue for me is that the IAAF/IOC have tried to be 'progressive' by allowing biological males who presented as female at birth (caster's condition) to race against women.
Well, no they haven't. They've banned those with Caster's condition... but they
have allowed those with conditions such as Dutee Chand, whose body they assert cannot use her high testosterone and thus derives no such T-associated advantage.
Caster's condition also results in high testosterone, but means her body cannot convert it to DHT - This firstly suggests to me that she also cannot derive any advantage from circulating testosterone, but secondly that her "male body" is
not the result of pubertal virilization because her DHT is ******, which is why she has female genitals. This is why I regard her as genetically male, but biologically female.
My actual issue with this, is that they allowed one DSD athlete on the above basis, but seemingly have not conducted a similar assessment of others with DSD conditions such as Semenya, to establish whether there actually is any such advantage from the testosterone on which she is banned. I would expect a fair approach to be a similar assessment of every individual DSD.
As pointed out in the article I've linked below, its extremely likely that Caster's condition would have been picked up at birth or at the latest in the weeks following and that they would be male on their birth certificate in a developed country.
I feel the evidence disagrees.
DSD conditions present on a widely variable spectrum. Some
do have very obvious differences and ambiguities at birth, and sometimes surgery is used to 'correct' things. Others present much later, while others still present with no such evidence at all.
You'll find plenty of stories from intersex people (and their parents, doctors, etc) in developed countries, who did not find out until there were differences in their pubertal development... Others still don't find out until they experience difficulties in conceiving and go to get fertility treatments.
In some cases, DSD conditions are even such that they can actually get pregnant.
In addition, Semenya herself was subjected to IAAF physical examination and clinical testing, to assess her sex, and was cleared to compete as a woman. This suggests that even experts from developed nations found no immediate signs of virilisation in the Stage 1 testing, which led to the Stage 2 and 3 that drilled down into her DNA to find the answers.
I would agree that it is
more likely her condition would have been identified in a more developed nation, or in any nation where intersexers might be more common... but that's nothing close to a guarantee.
I'm of the opinion that any biological male should be banned from competing against biological female regardless, doesn't matter if they are trans or intersex, they should be competing in the correct gender field. You'll note that there is zero issue for a biological female that presents as male competing against men, why do you think that is?
And that's why some DSDs are permitted by the regulations - They may well be (and actually are, by definition) genetically male, but the behaviour of their bodies classifies them as biologically female.
Kind of ironic don't you think.
About as ironic as rain on your wedding day, but that's one of the points I've always made about this.
Only 2 women would have got through the preliminaries (qualifying) and into the 100m heats proper and they would have both finished dead last
So to avoid any derailing debate about whether or not I can count - What would you say is the performance percentage gap between male and female athletes?
Think you should have a read of this personally
It was a pretty good read. A bit lacking on the specific medical science side, and asserting something as being '
clear evidence of an advantage', where other articles by scientific and medical professionals lean toward '
may be evidence of the
potential for advantage'.... the latter taking that perspective on the basis of insufficient evidence, questionable data, flawed methodologies, etc.
But generally enough sensibility for a general approach that I would give it a decent credibility. Certainly a lot more than any of the IAAF flunkeys.
I may be slightly biassed in my appreciation for Magness's opinion, as he uses some of the same articles and studies I do to draw the same opinions. He also seems to be mates with Ross Tucker, who wrote several of my favourite pieces that 'strongly object' to the IAAF's studies. Dunno if that matters any...
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It’s important to realize that in this argument you can be for division by sex and the CAS decision, but against how the IAAF is enforcing it"
What more can I say?
Again, it comes back to something that most people seem to agree on - There isn't enough (and in fact, barely any) data on actual, specific DSD-ers to
definitively say (beyond a very rough and shaky assumption) whether any of the widely variable conditions, or the individuals upon those spectrums, actually have any advantage, or whether those advantages are enough of a difference to make a difference.
Dowie's point is that there is nothing to suggest that Caster would be an 'elite' male athlete if they were to be completing in the men's competition, they would actually in all likelihood just be a very good 'county' level athlete.
He did eventually post something along those lines, in among the loaded questions, misrepresentations and other ********, yes.
However, she has been AFAB, raised as female and previously was even approved to compete as a female by the IAAF themselves. It's only since the subsequent moving of the goalposts that anything has really changed.
You seem to be assuming that as they are a) male and b) an OLYMPIC LEVEL ATHLETE, that they should be posting times similar to the very best male athletes. Do you not see the flaw in your argument?
That's how it is generally presented - She's male, she's got testosterone, she's got bulging muscles, she's got balls (and a micro-peen, don't forget), and she's in the Olympics... If she's 100% male, but not an Olympic level athlete, then we wouldn't be having this discussion.
As detailed above, I personally don't believe she's developed enough to be considered male and still question the seemingly-unsubstantiated assertions about any male-only advantages resulting from her condition... but my personal beliefs are not what I'm objecting to and challenging.
This guy seems to be a bit of a climate 'crisis' denier, i would never have guessed that someone who ascribes to the theory that intersex athletes such as Caster don't benefit from male biological/physical traits is also one of those /sarcasm
He has that reputation, which (funnily enough) appears to have been mostly inspired by the polarised opinions on the matter, as people seem to be all in favour of one side or the other - He himself has written about that:
https://www.thenewatlantis.com/publications/stuck-between-doom-and-denial
He also seems to have a history of upsetting people with his more nuanced perspectives:
https://www.desmog.com/roger-pielke-jr/
So not actually a denier, so much as just one of many academics publicly arguing amongst themselves and smearing each other, without making much actual progress on tackling climate change.
But if we're into discrediting people - Both Pierre-Yves Garnier (as in Bermon-Garnier's 2127 Observations study) and IAAF president Lamine Diack got in trouble for taking bribe-money to cover up Russian doping... although Garnier was only suspended by the IAAF's own ethics board, while Diack and his son were convicted on money laundering and bribery charges. Diack the younger seems also to have convictions for skimming 15mil off the IAAF and for being an accessory to bribery in the Russian doping cover-up.
Three staff members have been suspended by track and field's world governing body in an ethics investigation linked to Russian doping.
www.espn.co.uk