The price of the European gas benchmark Title Transfer Facility (TTF) rose as much as 20 per cent to €36 per megawatt hour on Tuesday, extending a run that began last week when it rallied for the first week in 10.
TTF has fallen more than 90 per cent since the peak of the energy crisis from an all-time high above €340/MwH last summer as Europe refilled its stores and reduced its reliance on gas from Russia.
But the prices have been jolted by forecasts of hotter weather and supply outages extended at key fields in Norway, and traders are beginning to fret over the EU’s gas supplies despite its storage being unusually high for this time of year.
While the EU is on track to meet its target that its gas stores are 90 per cent full in November, traders worry that short-term demands could dent the plan.
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While Asian LNG demand has been subdued so far this year, “the base case is that north-east Asian buyers like Japan, China and South Korea will increase buying activity ahead of the winter heating season”, said Sam Reynolds, Asia LNG and gas research lead at the Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis. “This could lead to an uptick in global competition for supplies, with potentially higher prices as a result.”