That Honda run was an unmitigated disaster, ...
I stated a while back that Honda won't be on the pace immediately.
It will take at least 1 year to get on par with rival engine makers.
That disastrous test they had, was exactly what I expected. It would've been a miracle had everything gone off without a hitch.
Some people on this board believed that it would be possible - I have no idea where they got this idea from. It would be the first time in recent history where a new engine has been competitive/reliable from day 1, without any on-track testing.
I also stated that it might be better to use the Merc engine, as this would give Alonso a chance at the title, from day 1. But McLaren clearly have their reasons for bringing in Honda.
A better idea would've been to ditch the Merc engine mid-season and switch to the Honda engine. This way, they might have been competitive in Race 1, 2015. Again, McLaren, I'm sure, had their reasons not to play it this way.
Honda will need at least 1 year to get the engine competitive. Remember, they are starting 1 year behind everybody else. In 2016, I still expect them to be behind, however, they have Alonso on their team who will definitely be able to make up a small difference. The reason why they need Alonso is that Hamilton will have a faster car. Their driver will need to beat Hamilton, in a slower car. Alonso is the only driver who has any chance of this. Why else would McLaren re-hire a driver who they effectively fired? A driver with whom management were no longer on speaking terms with?
The aero - I am expecting McLaren to deliver good aero in 2016. McLaren usually have good aero.
For McLaren, 2015 will be a year of embarrassment, self-pity and excuses. But 2016 is where McLaren bosses will expect Alonso, Honda and their engineers, to deliver.
Still, for us fans this is exciting. Drivers switching teams always throws up unexpected results - making it difficult for us to predict who will win races.