Poll: General election voting intentions poll

Voting intentions in the General Election?

  • Alliance Party of Northern Ireland

    Votes: 2 0.3%
  • Conservative

    Votes: 254 41.6%
  • Democratic Unionist Party

    Votes: 1 0.2%
  • Green Party

    Votes: 40 6.5%
  • Labour

    Votes: 83 13.6%
  • Liberal Democrat

    Votes: 31 5.1%
  • Not voting/will spoil ballot

    Votes: 38 6.2%
  • Other party (not named)

    Votes: 4 0.7%
  • Plaid Cymru

    Votes: 1 0.2%
  • Respect Party

    Votes: 1 0.2%
  • Scottish National Party

    Votes: 25 4.1%
  • Social Democratic and Labour Party

    Votes: 1 0.2%
  • Sinn Fein

    Votes: 1 0.2%
  • UKIP

    Votes: 129 21.1%

  • Total voters
    611
  • Poll closed .
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It perplexes me too, I mean from a standpoint of logic UKIP only have one real policy and that's hold an EU referendum (Okay they have other racist/sexist/classist policies but they don't really count because if your voting because of them your not a moron you're a ****).

They are the only party to commit to 2% on defence. That alone gets my backing

UKIP are far from ideal, but the impact of them getting a few MP's will be far more substantial than that a victory for either Labour or Conservatives. Both have broadly the same policies.

You don't win an election by moving right.
That was Hague and Duncan Smiths and that creature Howard's error, you move centrally, that mean right votes right, and the centre wins it for you.

This election now we have a party with a single policy as a blip, they will suck up votes from extreme right and left accordingly. Hurting conservatives more than Labour, but both will take a swipe. You don't shift right to placate this bunch. Not over a single policy, as you lose the middle which wins elections.

I couldn't disagree more. What wins elections is having a powerful message that people can believe in. Its extremely hard to have a powerful message if you occupy the middle ground. The best thing the Tories can do is abandon the middle class and focus on winning over the working class and the wealthy; their traditional constituents.
 
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They are the only party to commit to 2% on defence. That alone gets my backing

UKIP are far from ideal, but the impact of them getting a few MP's will be far more substantial than that a victory for either Labour or Conservatives. Both have broadly the same policies.



I couldn't disagree more. What wins elections is having a powerful message that people can believe in. Its extremely hard to have a powerful message if you occupy the middle ground. The best thing the Tories can do is abandon the middle class and focus on winning over the working class and the wealthy; their traditional constituents.

When have the working class ever (in the majority) been the Tories traditional constituents?
 
So Millband want to scrip Non-Dom status. Nice. All those wealthy foreigners who come over hear and invest their money into UK business creating jobs and economic output can go elsewhere.

Good news for the Conservatives, UKIP's support is on the slide. If this continues and support goes back to the Tories we could hopefully get a Conservative majority. The SNP and go a crying into their lumpy porridge.
 
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Most of the people who vote for UKIP don't seem to grasp the fact that if we leave the EU, the likelihood is that you have to start applying for visas even if you want a quick weekend trip to Amsterdam.



OMFG how did we do it before? oh that's write we filled in a simple form. But it did stop the un-wanted people going anywhere.
 
Most of the people who vote for UKIP don't seem to grasp the fact that if we leave the EU, the likelihood is that you have to start applying for visas even if you want a quick weekend trip to Amsterdam.

There is a great many things they don't understand; increased trade expenses with EU countries, reduced trade volume, reduced GDP, around 5000euro less per person on average, increased costs of the immigration policy which will only negatively impact business, increased unemployment, far more red-tape and pen-pushers required, increased costs of phone calls abroad, harder to track criminal movements, British citizen living abroad e.g. retiring to south of Spain either requiring visas or being sent home.
1.7 million Brits live in the rest of the EU and if UKIP's policy is enacted then a majority of them would likely be sent home and those that manage to stay will be though applying for visas with a load of added cost, stress and time, with no Guarantee of success. Non-EU immigration into the EU is tightly controlled.


They just see a head-line with things like 10bn gross given to the EU annually, while ignoring any pay-backs to calculate the net, and ignoring any of the benefits that have increased the GDP and reduced business expenses, increased trade etc.

Look how much higher the UK GDP per capita is due to joining the EU:
http://www.voxeu.org/article/how-rich-nations-benefit-eu-membership

Do people voting UKIP really want all that money thrown away just so an eastern European isn't cleaning their work's toilets?

People are just to ignorant to see the benefits of supporting the poorer regions of the EU because they are just too short sighted to see the long term returns on investment by making countries like Poland, Portugal, Romania richer, higher trading partners. The whole of the UE benefits when these countries can rapidly increase their GDP through improved infrastructure, services and EU trade partners.
 
When was the last time a party won an election by leaving the middle ground and going with a 'powerful message'?

Well that is a tricky question to answer, because the centre ground is not a constant. But I'd argue that Thatcher shifted the Conservatives to the right. It could also be argued that New Labour broke from the traditional Labour centre ground and moved to the right. Both won primarily because they offered people hope above all else.

Increased trade expenses with EU countries

Says who? Free trade can be negotiated and may well be desirable given the EU exports more to us than vice versa. We might even be able to wiggle out way into NAFTA and thus get free trade with the EU through the back door.

reduced trade volume

This claim is surely based on your above claim being true. It also ignores increased opportunities outside of the EU.

reduced GDP, around 5000euro less per person on average

Based on your original claim being true. Ignoring possible opportunities to increase trade outside the EU.

increased costs of the immigration policy which will only negatively impact business

Trivial.

increased unemployment

Based on the original claim being true.

far more red-tape and pen-pushers required

Nonsense.

Increased costs of phone calls abroad

Unlikely.

harder to track criminal movements

You think the EU would stop cooperating because....?

British citizen living abroad e.g. retiring to south of Spain either requiring visas or being sent home.

Good! It means less British wealth being shipped off to Spain.

1.7 million Brits live in the rest of the EU and if UKIP's policy is enacted then a majority of them would likely be sent home and those that manage to stay will be though applying for visas with a load of added cost, stress and time, with no Guarantee of success. Non-EU immigration into the EU is tightly controlled.

Unlikely. Spain and Portugal for example greatly benefits from British expats investing their wealth into local economies, because they tend to be much richer than natives.
 
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The problem with you DP is that you simply will not acknowledge that there are issues around "the eastern european cleaning the toilet".


From your posts (the fact you said you had a PhD, work in Switzerland, UK and US), it shows that you are GROSSLY out of touch with most other people. I certainly don't begrudge you for it in the slightest, but the point is, that in certain areas people do feel let down.

Jobs are definitely harder to get, because frankly this countries education system is extremely poor, and its getting harder and harder to complete with a globalised world.

I've experienced first hand the effects of this. Its not a case of "lazy British people don't want to do the jobs", its far more a case of people not wanting to do jobs which have extremely poor working conditions, terrible pay and to which there is no hope for advancement or progress. These conditions are invariably bought about by people who come from less, and yet are still happy with what they get.

It is not sustainable or fair.

This isn't going to be combated by simply importing more people rather than trying to focus on core issues.

I'm all for immigration when its tightly controlled and the people coming in have exceptional skillsets that cannot be found in the UK (or to which investment cannot make possible).
 
So Millband want to scrip Non-Dom status. Nice. All those wealthy foreigners who come over hear and invest their money into UK business creating jobs and economic output can go elsewhere.

Good news for the Conservatives, UKIP's support is on the slide. If this continues and support goes back to the Tories we could hopefully get a Conservative majority. The SNP and go a crying into their lumpy porridge.


Something I have been pointing out for the last couple of months, the UKIP voter share is sliding steadily downwards. Of the the UKIPpers like robgum deny any such trend in their own little dream world.

UKIP vote share has dropped 25% on the last 6 months, and that shows with the expected seats have dropped from around 5 to around 3, and even then there is only really 1 certain UKIP seat (Clacton), Rochester and Strood could easily turn in to a conservative seat.




Bad news for Labour this, and that also shows in the polls. A few months back Labour had a healthy and steady lead over the conservatives, now that is reversed.
 
Most of the people who vote for UKIP don't seem to grasp the fact that if we leave the EU, the likelihood is that you have to start applying for visas even if you want a quick weekend trip to Amsterdam.

I doubt it, they all want our business, so no visas will be needed.
 
"Populus’s poll has topline figures of CON 31%, LAB 33%, LDEM 10%, UKIP 15%, GRN 4%"

It hasn't changed much. Roll on voting time.
 
The problem with you DP is that you simply will not acknowledge that there are issues around "the eastern european cleaning the toilet".



From your posts (the fact you said you had a PhD, work in Switzerland, UK and US), it shows that you are GROSSLY out of touch with most other people. I certainly don't begrudge you for it in the slightest, but the point is, that in certain areas people do feel let down.

I do acknowledge that people feel let down, have fears and concerns, and that there are genuine issues in the UK that need resolve. What I don't acknowledge is that membership of the EU and current immigration has any significant effect on that. These problems would exist and indeed would be far worse if we were to withdraw; the UK would be poorer, companies would be trading less and struggling to get appropriate workers without increased costs and red-tape, there would be even less jobs, and less ability to find jobs outside the UK.

Jobs are definitely harder to get, because frankly this countries education system is extremely poor, and its getting harder and harder to complete with a globalised world.

Jobs are always harder to get in a recession, the best way to mitigate this is to increase the countries GDP and invest in the economy, not reduce investment and do things that would reduce GDP such as leave the EU. The globalised world is exactly why we need the EU, so workers have greater freedom to get employment within the EU and the increased GDP of being an EU member can create new jobs. Remember, immigration creates jobs, it doesn't take jobs away. Employment opportunities grow with the population size. For every X number of immigrants doing unskilled labour there needs to be a certain number of additional administrators, managers, service providers, retail opportunities, and there are X more people buying products, using services , paying taxes and contributing to the economy.

the globalised world means that we need to be able to compete with developing countries like India, China, Brazil etc., the EU facilitates increased competitiveness with them.

I've experienced first hand the effects of this. Its not a case of "lazy British people don't want to do the jobs", its far more a case of people not wanting to do jobs which have extremely poor working conditions, terrible pay and to which there is no hope for advancement or progress. These conditions are invariably bought about by people who come from less, and yet are still happy with what they get.

It is not sustainable or fair.
Those jobs exist regardless of immigration. People don't want to clean other's ****. Nothing is stopping British people doing those jobs, but as in other developed countries people actually like it when immigrants can do such menial work.

This isn't going to be combated by simply importing more people rather than trying to focus on core issues.
Similarly, reducing immigration also wont combat this situation. Britain need to grow its economy, increase the GDP, trade volume, export profits etc.

I'm all for immigration when its tightly controlled and the people coming in have exceptional skillsets that cannot be found in the UK (or to which investment cannot make possible).

And let the economy suffer massively because of that? People with exceptional skillsets already emigrate to the UK, so your proposal doesn't change that fact. It does cause massive issues for companies reliant on unskilled labour and will makes Britian's products and services less competitive globally, which as you just suggested is a big problem.
Britian has lost a lot of manufacturing due to uncompetitive wage costs in the globalized world, the last thing we want to happen is reduced Britains manufacturing to even lower levels, think of all the jobs lost and reduced GDP.


There are much bigger social issues in getting unskilled poorly educated British workers into productive jobs. Immigration doesn't change outlook. We need improved education including alternative education opportunities such as increased vocational studies and apprenticeships, changes to the benefits system so people don't get trapped and see it as an alternative lifestyle, reduced gap between the rich and the poor, increased investments in poorer areas to attract new business, increased incentives such as tax reductions of location business in poorer areas, incentives to attract foreign investment.

The deep rooted social issues in the poor unskilled laborers existed long before the recent increase in immigration. Poor areas of say Glasgow still existed, the people there had lower education standards, lower health standards, increased benefits, reduced employment rates and lower employability. It is those issues that need resolving. Immigration had no effect on that, it existed long before the EU even existed.

That is a tough problem that no-one in the world has resolved successfully. Just don't look for a convenient excuse that isn't there.
 
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Most of the people who vote for UKIP don't seem to grasp the fact that if we leave the EU, the likelihood is that you have to start applying for visas even if you want a quick weekend trip to Amsterdam.

Apply for a visa? You mean fill in a form on the plane and get a tourist visa on arrival, like most non-EU countries when you turn up with a UK passport.
 
Wait what?! :D

Isn't the New Labour shift to the centre ground the classic example of that?! You say they moved from their centre ground, but in this context it'd be better to say moving from the left, and their core vote, towards the centre ground, no?

Indeed.

Old Labour - Left

Old Conservative - Right

New Labour - Centre

Current Coalition - Centre (LibDem Centre Left + Conservative Centre Right)
 
Apply for a visa? You mean fill in a form on the plane and get a tourist visa on arrival, like most non-EU countries when you turn up with a UK passport.

For a holiday probably not but o olive, absolutely. 1.7 million Brits live in the EU. All of them would need some kind of visa to live in the EU, most of them will end up coming home and "taking our jerrbs!!!"
 
For a holiday probably not but o olive, absolutely. 1.7 million Brits live in the EU. All of them would need some kind of visa to live in the EU, most of them will end up coming home and "taking our jerrbs!!!"

If they're native brits then i don't see that as a problem
 
For a holiday probably not but o olive, absolutely. 1.7 million Brits live in the EU. All of them would need some kind of visa to live in the EU, most of them will end up coming home and "taking our jerrbs!!!"

"Worst" case scenario, they would all be subject to the same visa rules that non-EU use.
So that means a simple process for the already employed. A few months confusion for business owners, an easy application for those who have been there for many years, and some of the more recent migrants may have to return.

The majority would stay, and the majority of EU nationals living over here would stay too.
Its not about booting anyone out, its about controling the number entering.
 
Just to balance things I have suggest that the UK does get a lot of unskilled immigrants as evidence for why a points-based visa system wont work.


This gave the impression that all immigrants are unskilled, which is far form the truth. UK immigrants are 50-100% more likely to have a University degree than British adults
http://www.bbc.com/news/uk-24813467
The report also showed that in 2011, 32% of recent EEA immigrants and 43% of non-EEA immigrants had university degrees, compared with 21% of the British adult population.


Immigrants were 45% less likely to use state benefits.


The net results of which is that immigrants contributed far more than British adults:
  • EU and EEA immigrants contributed 34% in taxes than they received in benefits
  • Non-EEA immigrants contributed 2%
  • British adults had a net COST of 11%


So why would you want to limit immigration when it has such a positive effect on the economy? And a points based visa system will likely still aloow 35-50% of the current immigrants to enter anyway from their education, plus a fair percentage of others will be allowed in due to other skills required by employers, and a good chunk of the rest would be allowed in due to family ties.


UKIPpers go on about Australian or US immigration measures. Both those countries have higher immigration rates than the UK and explicitly include visas for unskilled laborers, for example seasonal agricultural visas and the like!

It seems even Nigal Farage has understood the issues with trying to reduce immigration rates, so now his latest policy is that there will be no cap at all, and instead just a lot more red-tape and expenses to appease his voters
 
Have you seen the clip the BBC have of Ed Balls saying it'll cost the UK money? Own goal o'clock :D.

Looks like it's just more dirty tricks from the Tories: http://www.theguardian.com/politics...ting-ed-balls-non-dom-video-to-mislead-voters

The full quote:

Ed Balls said:
I think that it is important that you make sure the non-dom rules work in a fair way. I think they were too lax in the past. Both the last Labour government and this Conservative government have tightened them up.

That is something I will continue to look at. I think if you abolish the whole status then probably it ends up costing Britain money because there will be some people who will then leave the country.<<<Tory released video halts here>>> But I think we can be tougher and we should be and we will.

Allowing the continued abuse of the non-dom rule is pretty much unjustifiable imo.
 
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