I think what is going to happen here is that there will be a "public" punishment and a "private" punishment. The private one will be hardly anything other than a huge slap on the wrist (let's face it the two perps have already left the team!). Then the "public" punishment will be way over the top but it will just be for the PR of trying to keep the sport credible and to make it seem that McLaren weren't treated excessively harsh in 2007.
I can't see this, If found guilty they will have to be punished more than McLaren. Remember the people in McLaren left as well to save the team. The crashing is far worse than what McLaren did.
anything but a bigger punishment, would fuel that FIA are biased and continue to erode the reputation of the sport.