Poll: The EU Referendum: How Will You Vote? (June Poll)

Should the United Kingdom remain a member of the European Union or leave the European Union?

  • Remain a member of the European Union

    Votes: 794 45.1%

  • Leave the European Union

    Votes: 965 54.9%
  • Total voters
    1,759
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I suspect remain will win, and before you know it Cameron will be off to a cushy job on the Brussels gravy train with a big fat 'LOL!' in our direction.
 
So the trend in GD seems to have gradually shifted more heavily towards leave. GD was actually quite accurate at predicting the General Election outcome which makes me think that the poll is somewhat reliable.

The bookies odd of 5/2 for exit look off to me and I am starting to think this thing could go either way. Previously I thought exit had no chance. Postal vote has gone now so we will see.
 
SpeedFreak said:
So the trend in GD seems to have gradually shifted more heavily towards leave. GD was actually quite accurate at predicting the General Election outcome which makes me think that the poll is somewhat reliable.
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I keep seeing this; it's not true: the last General Election poll was not a very good prediction. It overestimated the Tory vote by about 5%, the UKIP vote by 4%, the Greens by 3% and wildly underestimated the Labour vote. The only sense in which it was a "good prediction" was that it got the Tory's as the winners.
 
Hades said:
You would still be able to go on an EU holiday. You may need to fill in another form but that's about it.
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Buying property may be a bit trickier though and potentially moving abroad.

The one thing stopping me voting leave at the moment though is that I can see us giving away the free movement of people as a concession.
 
The Mad Rapper said:
So it was right then? :p
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As the saying goes, so is a broken clock twice a day, but you wouldn't want to use it to tell the time ;)

Its looking like a close call, so it may come down on the 50% chance that the OCUK poll is right, but it's not going to be reflective of the actual vote %

I do think whichever way this goes though, it's going to leave the country very divided, with 'I told you so' accusations flying from either side whenever anything negative happens afterwards, which is not going to be good in the slightest
 
Mr Jack said:
I keep seeing this; it's not true: the last General Election poll was not a very good prediction. It overestimated the Tory vote by about 5%, the UKIP vote by 4%, the Greens by 3% and wildly underestimated the Labour vote. The only sense in which it was a "good prediction" was that it got the Tory's as the winners.
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To be pedantic, OCuk overestimated the UKIP vote by 33% (4 percentage points).

OCuk attracts a disproportionately high number of people who fall towards the extremes of the political spectrum.
 
Gove ripping Faisal a new one.
When Gove said Faisal represented the elite he didn't like it one bit.
 
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I'm getting annoyed with the constant interruptions by Faisal - It's like he can't let him just get an answer out in full without shouting a load of *******'s at him.
 
Gove is looking like he doesn't even understand how an interview works, it would help if he could address the arguments instead of trying to battle Faisal.

His contempt for expert knowledge is astounding; what's his brilliant alternative to listening to people who know what they're talking about?
 
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